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<h1 itemprop="headline">Subsequent Program Participation of Former Social Security Disability Insurance Beneficiaries and Supplemental Security Income Recipients Whose Eligibility Ceased Because of Medical Improvement</h1>
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<div id="hByline">by <span itemprop="author">Jeffrey Hemmeter and Michelle Stegman</span><br>Social Security Bulletin, <abbr title="Volume">Vol.</abbr> 73, <abbr title="Number">No.</abbr> 2, 2013 (released May 2013)</div>
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<p id="synopsis" itemprop="description">The Social Security Administration (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>) periodically reviews the disabilities of Supplemental Security Income (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>) recipients and Social Security Disability Insurance (<abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>) beneficiaries to determine if their impairments still meet the requirements for program eligibility. For individuals whose eligibility was ceased after a full medical review from 2003 to 2008, we track subsequent program participation for up to 8 years. We use survival analyses to estimate the time until first return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and explore the differences in returns by various personal and programmatic characteristics such as age, disability type, time on program, and <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> expectations regarding medical improvement. Overall, we estimate that about 30 percent of <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients whose eligibility ceases because of medical improvement return to the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> program within 8 years. For <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only worker beneficiaries whose eligibility ceases, we estimate that 20 percent will return to the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> program within 8 years.</p>
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<hr />
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<div class="eightypercent">
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<p>Jeffrey Hemmeter and Michelle Stegman are economists with the Office of Program Development, Office of Program Development and Research, Office of Retirement and Disability Policy, Social Security Administration.</p>
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<p><i>Acknowledgments:</i> The authors are grateful to the following people for their comments on earlier versions of this article: David Weaver, Richard Balkus, Robert Weathers, Susan Wilschke, Susan Grad, Scott Muller, John Hennessey, Tom Hale, Eli Donkar, Michael Stephens, Ray Wise, Perry Cocke, John Tambornino, Manasi Deshpande, Timothy Moore, <abbr class="spell">MJ</abbr> Pencarski, Susan Kalasunas, Art Spencer, Judith O'Malley-Oceanak, and especially Bob Somers for his comments and assistance with the data. </p>
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<p>Contents of this publication are <a href="/policy/accessibility.html">not copyrighted</a>; any items may be reprinted, but citation of the <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> as the source is requested. The findings and conclusions presented in the <i>Bulletin</i> are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Social Security Administration.</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<h2>Introduction</h2>
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<div class="abbrtable">
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<table role="presentation">
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<caption>Selected Abbreviations</caption>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr></td>
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<td>continuing disability review</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr></td>
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<td>cumulative incidence function</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr></td>
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<td>Disability Determination Service</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></td>
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<td>Disability Insurance</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></td>
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<td>full medical review</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr></td>
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<td>substantial gainful activity</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr></td>
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<td>Social Security Administration</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></td>
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<td>Supplemental Security Income</td>
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</tr>
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</table>
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</div>
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<p>Each year, the Social Security Administration (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>) reviews the status of several hundred thousand Social Security Disability Insurance (<abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>) beneficiaries and Supplemental Security Income (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>) recipients to determine if their medical conditions have improved enough since their last favorable determination of eligibility to allow them to engage in substantial gainful activity (<abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>). To be eligible for the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> disability program, an individual must have limited income and resources and be unable to engage in <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr> because of a medically determinable physical or mental impairment that can be expected to result in death or last for at least 12 continuous months.<sup><a href="#mn1" id="mt1">1</a></sup> To qualify for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>, an individual must have a work history sufficient to attain insured status in addition to meeting the medical requirement.<sup><a href="#mn2" id="mt2">2</a></sup> At the time of award, or the last favorable review of eligibility, a date is set to revisit the individual's medical eligibility for continued participation. Because reviewing each case helps ensure that only eligible individuals receive payments, it is necessary for maintaining program integrity.</p>
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<p>These periodic reviews, required by law, are called continuing disability reviews (<abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s). In order to keep the workload manageable and to limit administrative costs, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> initiates the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> process by using statistical models to identify individuals with characteristics indicating potential medical improvement. Based on those model results, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> conducts a full medical review (<abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>) only for cases deemed most likely to involve medical improvement. To individuals with a lower likelihood of medical improvement, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> sends a "mailer" asking for more information to help determine if a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> is necessary.</p>
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<p>During a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> and the state Disability Determination Service (<abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr>) collect medical information about the participant and determine whether evidence of medical improvement exists. If the individual's condition has improved since the most recent favorable decision such that he or she is able to engage in <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>, program eligibility ceases; if not, the individual continues to receive <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments and a date is set for a future review.<sup><a href="#mn3" id="mt3">3</a></sup> <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s are estimated to be highly cost effective, saving approximately $9.30 for every dollar spent on them (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012b).<sup><a href="#mn4" id="mt4">4</a></sup> For that reason, the 2011 deficit-reduction plan exempted <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> allocations from congressional spending caps, and the Obama administration requested an increase in <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> funding in the 2012 budget.<sup><a href="#mn5" id="mt5">5</a></sup></p>
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<p>The focus on program integrity comes at a time of substantial increases in <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> participation. From 1990 through 2011, the numbers of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries grew from about 3.0 million to 8.6 million and disabled <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients increased from 3.3 million to 6.9 million (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012c, 2012d, 2012f). Although much of the increase is simply due to the aging and growth of the population, some have argued that the programs have become relatively more attractive to <span class="nobr">low-wage</span> individuals and those with moderate disabilities, especially during economic downturns (for example, Autor and Duggan 2003, 2006; Black, Daniel, and Sanders 2002; and Rupp and Stapleton 1998). Additionally, there is some evidence that states have transferred some of the costs formerly borne under Temporary Assistance for Needy Families onto the federal <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> program (Burkhauser and Daly 2011; Schmidt and Sevak 2004; Kubik 1999, 2003; Wamhoff and Wiseman 2005/2006). The 1990 <i>Sullivan <abbr title="versus">v.</abbr> Zebley</i> Supreme Court decision greatly expanded <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> eligibility for children, although welfare reform in the <span class="nobr">mid-1990s</span> required <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> to review cases allowed during that period. Regardless, the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> child population grew substantially in the 1990s, and many recipients continue receiving <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> as adults. In light of the increasing program costs associated with increasing participation, it is important for <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> to ensure that only those truly eligible for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> remain in the programs.</p>
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<p>Although a few studies have looked at <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries who medically recover (for example, Hennessey and Dykacz 1993; Dykacz and Hennessey 1989; Treitel 1979; and Schmulowitz 1973), we have not found similar studies of <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients.<sup><a href="#mn6" id="mt6">6</a></sup> The <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> studies have focused on earnings of former beneficiaries rather than subsequent program participation after a cessation decision. A few studies that look at subsequent return (Hennessey and Dykacz 1993; Dykacz and Hennessey 1989; Dykacz 1998) do not differentiate between medical and <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>-based recovery.<sup><a href="#mn7" id="mt7">7</a></sup></p>
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<p>Understanding what happens to individuals after their eligibility ceases because of medical improvement is important given recent calls across the government for stronger program integrity. Additionally, although actuaries from <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services incorporate returns in their models of the savings derived from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s, it is important for policymakers to better understand the impact of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s on program participation patterns.</p>
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<p>In this article, we provide new information on the experiences of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients after receiving a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> that resulted in eligibility cessation. Specifically, we look at subsequent <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> participation of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries and former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients. Although this study does not address whether <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s current <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> policy is adequate or how well the social safety net is working in general, we provide descriptive information on formerly eligible participants and highlight which subgroups are most likely to return to program participation.</p>
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<h2><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Process</h2>
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<p>The date for which a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> is scheduled is called the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> diary date. That date is set during the last favorable decision, which in many cases is the time of award. <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> categorizes diaries into one of three groups according to the individual's prospects for medical improvement, and the diary type determines the timing of the scheduled <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>. If medical improvement is expected, the diary date is within 3 years of the last favorable decision. For cases in which <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> deems medical improvement possible, a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> is scheduled for 3 years after the last favorable decision. If medical improvement is not expected, a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> is scheduled for 5 to 7 years after the last favorable decision. When the diary date approaches, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> either "directly releases" the individual for a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> or sends the individual a mailer containing a questionnaire seeking information to determine whether a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> is necessary.<sup><a href="#mn8" id="mt8">8</a></sup></p>
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<p>To help determine who is directly released for a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> and who receives a mailer, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> uses a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profiling model based on administrative information to "score" the likelihood of medical improvement. <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> groups the results into three categories of likelihood of medical improvement—high, medium, or low—using cutoff scores that have not changed over time. Generally, high-scoring individuals undergo a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, and medium- or low-scoring <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries and adult <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients receive a mailer. However, as limited funding in recent years has restricted resources and experienced staff, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> and the <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr>s have further prioritized <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s. As a result, some individuals do not receive their scheduled review until years later.<sup><a href="#mn9" id="mt9">9</a></sup></p>
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<p>If a mailer recipient's responses indicate medical improvement, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> releases the case for a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>;<sup><a href="#mn10" id="mt10">10</a></sup> otherwise, the agency simply sets a new <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> diary date. For a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, the <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> gathers medical information from the individual's medical care sources or orders consultative examinations from the treatment provider or other physicians.<sup><a href="#mn11" id="mt11">11</a></sup> A disability examiner and medical expert then determine if the individual's condition has improved since the last favorable decision to such an extent that he or she can perform <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>. If there has been no improvement, the individual is "continued" on the program and the <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> examiner sets a date for the next <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>. If the individual has medically improved enough to perform <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>, the examiner makes a "cessation" decision, which the individual may appeal.<sup><a href="#mn12" id="mt12">12</a></sup> Benefits stop after a <span class="nobr">3-month</span> grace period (the month of the decision and the following 2 months) unless the beneficiary appeals the decision and requests continuation of benefits during the appeal.<sup><a href="#mn13" id="mt13">13</a></sup> In fiscal year 2010, over 90 percent of initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decisions for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> disabled-worker beneficiaries and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> adult recipients were continuations (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012b).</p>
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<p>The process described above has changed over time. One important example is that, as <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> moved toward statistical profiling, the agency started conducting <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s for a sample of cases—a "profile sample"— that would not otherwise have received one. <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s for the profile sample must be completed each year to validate the profiling model. We do not use the profile sample in our estimates because of the varying procedures under which they were drawn over the period we analyze.</p>
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<h2>Data Sources and Methodology</h2>
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<p>In this study, we use data from Social Security administrative records. The primary source is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall file, which contains information on all centrally initiated <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s with a <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> determination.<sup><a href="#mn14" id="mt14">14</a></sup> We used an extract of the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall file covering calendar years 2003 through 2008.<sup><a href="#mn15" id="mt15">15</a></sup> That period includes <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted after the funding dedicated to processing <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s was reduced. The file does not contain records for individuals who received a mailer unless their responses indicated possible medical improvement, in which case they went on to receive a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> (subject to agency resources).</p>
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<p>The file contains the date and result of the initial <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision by the <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> as well as the final appellate decision at the time the file was extracted. We use those data to identify records for which the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> led to a final cessation and to define the year of the initial decision. We also use that file to create several variables likely to be correlated with return to program participation:</p>
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<ul>
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<li><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> diary type (medical improvement expected, not expected, or possible);</li>
|
|
<li><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score (high, medium, or low);</li>
|
|
<li>whether the individual received a mailer or was directly released for a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>;</li>
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<li>whether the individual had a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>;</li>
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<li>whether a consultative examination was requested during the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>;</li>
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<li>the adjudicative level of the decision under which the individual first entered the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> program (initial, reconsideration, Administrative Law Judge or higher, or unknown); and</li>
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<li>the disability considered to be the primary impairment prior to the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>.</li>
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</ul>
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<p>In addition, the file contains the date the individual became eligible for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, the date of birth (used to establish age at the time of the initial decision<sup><a href="#mn16" id="mt16">16</a></sup>), sex, race, and state of residence, which may also be correlated with return to the program. For individuals receiving both <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>, we use the eligibility date and adjudicative level of whichever program they entered first.</p>
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<p>We merged the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall file with <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s Numident file to obtain dates of death. If a record was missing the date of birth, we used the Supplemental Security Record and the Master Beneficiary Record (program databases covering applicants and beneficiaries for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>) to obtain it.</p>
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<p>We also merged those files with <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s Master Earnings File to create a measure of preeligibility earnings. We use the average earnings in the 5 years preceding the individual's date of eligibility to derive that measure. In our analyses, we include the program-specific earnings quartile of our target population. For example, we use the earnings of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only disabled-worker beneficiaries to define the quartiles for that group. For <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, we combine the two lowest quartiles because their median earnings are very close to $0.</p>
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<p>To determine if an individual returned to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, we merged the data described above with <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s Disability Research File. We used that file to identify the date of the first successful postcessation application. A successful application is determined by whether benefits are awarded; postallowance technical denials are omitted. We are able to follow individuals in all of those data files through 2010.</p>
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<h3>Target Populations</h3>
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<p>All three of the target populations in this article consist of adults aged <span class="nobr">18–59</span> who participated in disability programs administered by <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> until their eligibility ceased because of a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> finding of medical improvement. The groups comprise former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only disabled-worker beneficiaries (individuals who did not also receive <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments, hereafter called "<abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers"), former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients (individuals who did not also receive <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits), and former disabled-worker concurrent beneficiaries (individuals who received both <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments, hereafter called "concurrent workers"). The <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s that produced the cessation decisions were conducted during <span class="nobr">2003–2008.</span></p>
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<p>We restricted the target populations for various reasons. We removed individuals belonging to the profile sample, as well as those for whom a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> determined reeligibility during a period of expedited reinstatement.<sup><a href="#mn17" id="mt17">17</a></sup> We removed records with missing or inconsistent dates, such as those indicating that an individual died before becoming eligible. We also removed individuals who appealed a cessation decision and were awaiting a new decision or still had time to file an appeal between their last cessation decision and the date the file was created. Because we focus on subsequent program participation, we excluded individuals whose eligibility did not cease. We observed the members of our sample through age 62 (as discussed below in the Analytical Methods section). Therefore, we omitted individuals who reached age 60 before their initial <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision and those who turned 62 before their final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision in order to ensure adequate followup time.<sup><a href="#mn18" id="mt18">18</a></sup> We also excluded <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients who died before the final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision or whose <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score was missing. Those exclusions leave target populations of 33,376 <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, 24,514 <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and 17,742 concurrent workers.<sup><a href="#mn19" id="mt19">19</a></sup> Appendix <a href="#tableA1">Table <span class="nobr">A-1</span></a> presents the number of records eliminated in each step of the selection process.</p>
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<h3>Limitations</h3>
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<p><abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> process is complex and dynamic. When considering our results, the reader should remember that our primary analysis pools data for several years under varying <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> policies. For example, different types of participants may have been targeted in certain years because of perceived cost savings or changes in the profiling model. Moreover, other <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> policies can also affect a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision, complicating the definitional boundaries of our target populations. For example, Section 301 of the Social Security Disability Amendments of 1980 (Public Law 96-265) allows individuals to continue receiving payments even if they have received a cessation decision as long as they participate in an approved vocational program and make progress toward their employment goals. Because our observation period for each individual begins with the date of the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision, the outcomes for former participants in our target population who use the Section 301 provisions and those who do not might differ. We cannot identify Section 301 use in our data (however, usage is generally low).</p>
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<p>Our estimates also cannot anticipate future changes in funding for <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s, the stringency of the reviews and the eligibility requirements, and the extent to which <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> uses its profiling model. The interaction of those and other factors could lead, for example, to an increase in the number of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted. However, depending on the underlying causes and other circumstances, an increase in <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s could result in program returns that differ in either direction from our estimates.</p>
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<h2>Analytical Methods</h2>
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<p>In this section, we discuss the cumulative incidence functions (<abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s) and proportional hazard regressions used in our analysis. We also address collinearity issues.</p>
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|
<h3>Cumulative Incidence Functions (<abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s)</h3>
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|
<p>Our primary goal is to estimate, among <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients whose eligibility ceased because of medical improvement, the percentage who subsequently returned to either the same program or the opposite program. If returning to the program was the only possible outcome and we observed all individuals over a consistent period, we would simply divide the number of individuals who returned by the number of people whose eligibility ceased. Unfortunately, neither of those conditions holds. Our observation periods range from 2 years to 8 years, depending on the year of the individual's <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>. Additionally, certain life events will compete with that outcome in other ways; death, for example, obviously precludes program return. Also, disability is no longer a factor in the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> eligibility determination once an individual reaches age 65, and after a person reaches full retirement age (between 65 and 67 years, depending on year of birth), disability no longer affects Social Security benefit eligibility. Accurate estimates of program return must account for such factors.</p>
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|
<p>To address those issues, we compute <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s measuring the cumulative percentage of individuals from each target population who return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after the final cessation decision. <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s estimate the probability of an event (such as returning to the program) when competing risks exist (Gooley and others 1999). For our analysis, we treat attainment of age 62 (which we refer to as early retirement or, simply, retirement) and death as competing events or risks.<sup><a href="#mn20" id="mt20">20</a></sup> Once individuals attain age 62 or die, they are no longer at risk of returning and thus provide no information about the probability of program return. Without controlling for those competing events, our estimates would assume such individuals could still return later, artificially decreasing estimated returns. Dropping the individuals who experience those events from our analysis would similarly bias our results. Thus, we estimate the probability that an individual returns to the program, allowing for the risk of dying or reaching age 62 by the end of our follow-up period (December 31, 2010). Our measure of time covers the period from the date of the final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision to the first of those events.</p>
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<p>Marubini and Valsecchi (1995) show that the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s can be estimated by</p>
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<div class="equation">
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</math>
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<p class="noindent">where <i>j</i> represents the event of interest (return to the program),
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is the overall Kaplan-Meier survival function (that is, an estimate of the probability of neither returning, dying, nor reaching age 62 by time <i>t<sub>k</sub></i>), <i>d<sub>jk</sub></i> is the number of individuals returning at time <i>t<sub>k</sub></i>, and <i>n<sub>k</sub></i> is the count of those at risk of returning at time <i>t<sub>k</sub></i>. Thus, it is the sum of the products of the survival estimate at time <i>t<sub>k</sub></i> and the hazard at time <i>t<sub>k</sub></i> of event <i>j</i>,
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<p>As described above, we are able to track program return, death, and early retirement through December 31, 2010 (the censoring date); however, we present only the results for program return. We estimate the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s in monthly increments and the maximum observable time span in our data is 96 months, or 8 years.<sup><a href="#mn21" id="mt21">21</a>,<a href="#mn22" id="mt22">22</a></sup></p>
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<h3>Regressions</h3>
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<p>Because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> does not control for other variables that may affect return to the program, we ran Cox proportional hazard regressions on the hazard of successfully reapplying to the program to control for the characteristics of our population. Like other types of regression (such as ordinary least squares), Cox regressions provide estimates of the relative contribution of the covariates to the outcome, which in this case is the risk (or "hazard") of returning to the program over a given period of time. The exponentiated coefficients from this regression are known as hazard ratios and are interpreted similarly to odds ratios from logistic regressions: Hazard ratios greater than 1 indicate a higher risk of return relative to the reference group and those less than 1 indicate a lower risk.</p>
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<p>The time dimension is one of the primary differences between Cox regressions and static regressions: Cox regressions estimate whether an event occurs, controlling for the timing of the event. As with the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s, Cox regressions control for the diverse followup times within the sample. Individuals no longer at risk of returning to the program are censored and thus drop from subsequent periods in the analysis. Unlike the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s, though, competing events do not hinder our ability to estimate the risk of return; that is, we can estimate the risk of return by treating competing events (death and early retirement age) as censored at the time they occur.<sup><a href="#mn23" id="mt23">23</a></sup></p>
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<p>In all our empirical models, we stratify our analyses by year of initial <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> determination, state of residence, sex, and race, allowing for separate baseline hazard functions for groups identified by those characteristics but constraining the coefficients (and hazard ratios) to be equal.<sup><a href="#mn24" id="mt24">24</a></sup> We do so because the different <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> policies, funding, and resources, and the variation in state policies and economies, likely affect the baseline hazard of return in each state and year in different ways. Stratification allows the effect of the other covariates in our empirical model to be proportional to the differing baseline hazards. Although this method eliminates our ability to estimate hazard ratios for the stratification variables, it also helps satisfy the proportionality assumption discussed in the following paragraph. However, future work may further consider the distributional aspects of program return.</p>
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<p>The Cox regressions rely on the proportionality between the hazard and each covariate being constant over time. Grambsch and Therneau (1994) suggested a test of the proportionality assumption using scaled Schoenfeld residuals.<sup><a href="#mn25" id="mt25">25</a></sup> Those residuals (essentially the covariate value for a person actually experiencing an event minus the expected value of the event) are independent of time if the proportionality assumption is satisfied. After running that test on our empirical models, we determined that our data do not satisfy the proportionality assumption for the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent worker models. For the empirical model of return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> by former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, the problematic variables were <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score, history of a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>, and preeligibility earnings quartile. In addition to those variables, the age variables did not satisfy the proportional hazards assumption in the empirical model of the return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> by concurrent workers. For the empirical model of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers entering <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, the problematic variables were <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score, history of a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>, and mailer-recipient status. For the empirical model of concurrent workers returning to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, the problematic variables were history of a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> and diary type.</p>
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<p>For the problematic variables, we allow the hazard ratios to take on different values at different times. To minimize the effect of imposing a functional form on the relationship with time and to keep the empirical models computationally feasible, we allow each of the variables to have different hazard ratios for each year of followup, combining the seventh and eighth years because of small cell sizes. For example, we include a separate hazard ratio to capture the effect of a high <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score in the first year after the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, the second year after the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, and so on up to <span class="nobr">7+</span> years after the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>.<sup><a href="#mn26" id="mt26">26</a></sup> The resulting general empirical model is:</p>
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<p class="noindent">where <i>h<sub>i</sub></i>(<i>t</i>) is the hazard for stratification group <i>i</i> at time <i>t</i>, <i>h</i><sub>0<i>i</i></sub>(<i>t</i>) is the baseline hazard,<sup><a href="#mn27" id="mt27">27</a></sup> the <i>β<sub>s</sub></i> are the coefficients, and the <i>x<sub>s</sub></i> are the main variables. The last term on the right-hand side of the equation captures the time-varying effects, where <i>γ<sub>m</sub></i> is the effect of variable <i>z<sub>m</sub></i> <i>m</i> years after the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> (and is not included in the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only empirical model). In the estimation, the coefficients (<i>β<sub>s</sub></i> and <i>γ<sub>m</sub></i>) are constrained to be equal across stratification groups. All empirical models use the Efron method for treating tied events.<sup><a href="#mn28" id="mt28">28</a></sup></p>
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<h3>Multicollinearity</h3>
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<p>Because of the number and the nature of the variables in our models, our estimates may suffer from multicollinearity, causing individual hazard ratios to become difficult to interpret and standard errors to be inflated. However, excluding problem variables could lead to omitted-variables bias, also causing difficult-to-interpret hazard ratios.</p>
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<p>We tested for multicollinearity by first looking for high correlation coefficients between our variables, but did not find any we deemed especially problematic (that is, greater than 0.30). We also formally tested for multicollinearity by estimating the variance inflation factor for each variable, which is 1/(1-R<sup>2</sup>) where the R<sup>2</sup> comes from a regression using each independent variable as the dependent variable. Because multicollinearity applies to the independent variables, functional form is irrelevant. Variance inflation factors above 10 signify multicollinearity issues. Very few variance inflation factors exceeded 4, and only one was above 10. The problematic variables were <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score and years in the program. Many of our variables are included in the model estimating the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score, so its status as potentially problematic is not surprising. We also ran separate regressions subsetting on each value of our independent variables; and although hazard ratios differ across regressions, and levels of significance vary, we did not discern any consistent patterns. Additionally, there are large differences in population when we subset by those variables, which may also affect statistical significance.</p>
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|
<p>Given the lack of clear evidence for multicollinearity from the variance inflation factor, low correlation coefficients, and results from subgroup-specific regressions, we do not exclude any variables from our Cox regressions or present subgroup-specific regressions. We generally focus on the direction of the hazard ratios, not their magnitudes. Thus, our regressions should be viewed as primarily exploratory or descriptive in nature, suggesting groups to focus on more closely in future research.</p>
|
|
<h2>Characteristics of the Formerly Eligible Population</h2>
|
|
<p>Table 1 shows demographic and programmatic characteristics of our target populations of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers. It covers all cases in which eligibility cessation was the outcome of a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> conducted during calendar years <span class="nobr">2003–2008</span> and for which potential appeals have expired or been exhausted. The majority (74 percent) of formerly eligible <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers are aged <span class="nobr">30–49</span> (with 31 percent aged <span class="nobr">30–39</span> and 43 percent aged <span class="nobr">40–49</span>). Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients are somewhat younger, with 36 percent younger than 30 and another 28 percent aged <span class="nobr">30–39.</span> The age distribution of concurrent workers falls somewhere in the middle, with <span class="nobr">two-thirds</span> between ages 30 and 49 and <span class="nobr">one-quarter</span> who are younger than 30.</p>
|
|
<div class="table" id="table1">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table 1. </span>Descriptive characteristics of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers whose <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s resulted in eligibility cessation during <span class="nobr">2003–2008</span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Concurrent workers</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">Number</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3">Number </th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4">Number</th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4">Percent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r1" headers="c1">Total</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c5">33,376</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c6">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c7">24,514</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c8">100.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c9">17,742</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c10">100.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c5">1,226</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c6">3.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c7">1,468</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c8">6.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c9">506</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c10">2.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c5">22,718</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c6">68.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c7">19,643</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c8">80.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c9">11,457</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c10">64.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r2 c1">Expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c5">9,432</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c6">28.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c7">3,403</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c8">13.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c9">5,779</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c10">32.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r6 c1">Low</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c5">2,874</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c6">8.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c7">1,298</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c8">5.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c9">747</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c10">4.2</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c5">4,845</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c6">14.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c7">3,835</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c8">15.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c9">3,289</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c10">18.5</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c5">25,657</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c6">76.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c7">19,381</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c8">79.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c9">13,706</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c10">77.3</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r10 c1">Younger than 30</th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c5">2,926</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c6">8.8</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c7">8,729</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c8">35.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c9">4,442</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c10">25.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c5">10,189</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c6">30.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c7">6,920</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c8">28.2</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c9">6,057</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c10">34.1</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c5">14,348</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c6">43.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c7">6,787</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c8">27.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c9">5,718</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c10">32.2</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c5">5,913</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c6">17.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c7">2,078</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c8">8.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c9">1,525</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c10">8.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c5">974</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c6">2.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c9">930</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c10">5.2</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c5">9,045</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c6">27.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c9">4,863</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c10">27.4</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c7">2,304</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c8">9.4</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c5">9,376</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c6">28.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c7">4,733</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c8">19.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c9">4,603</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c10">25.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r20" headers="r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c2 c5">13,981</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c2 c6">41.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c3 c7">17,477</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c3 c8">71.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c4 c9">7,346</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c4 c10">41.4</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r21" headers="c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r21 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c2 c5">3,586</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c2 c6">10.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c3 c7">732</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c3 c8">3.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c4 c9">1,065</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c4 c10">6.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r21 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c2 c5">456</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c2 c6">1.4</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c3 c7">4,805</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c3 c8">19.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c4 c9">993</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c4 c10">5.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r21 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c2 c5">1,984</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c2 c6">5.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c3 c7">2,381</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c3 c8">9.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c4 c9">1,711</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c4 c10">9.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r21 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c2 c5">9,916</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c2 c6">29.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c3 c7">8,603</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c3 c8">35.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c4 c9">6,976</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c4 c10">39.3</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r26" headers="r21 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r21 r26 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c2 c5">599</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c2 c6">1.8</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c3 c7">603</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c3 c8">2.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c4 c9">301</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c4 c10">1.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r21 r26 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c2 c5">1,852</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c2 c6">5.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c3 c7">1,378</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c3 c8">5.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c4 c9">1,026</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c4 c10">5.8</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r21 r26 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c2 c5">1,437</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c2 c6">4.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c3 c7">453</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c3 c8">1.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c4 c9">625</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c4 c10">3.5</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r21 r26 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c2 c5">531</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c2 c6">1.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c3 c7">503</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c3 c8">2.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c4 c9">302</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c4 c10">1.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r21 r26 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c2 c5">1,574</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c2 c6">4.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c3 c7">381</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c3 c8">1.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c4 c9">484</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c4 c10">2.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r21 r26 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c2 c5">1,823</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c2 c6">5.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c3 c7">540</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c3 c8">2.2</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c4 c9">507</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c4 c10">2.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r33" headers="r21 r26 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c2 c5">5,158</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c2 c6">15.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c3 c7">1,220</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c3 c8">5.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c4 c9">1,744</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c4 c10">9.8</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r21 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c2 c5">3,117</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c2 c6">9.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c3 c7">848</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c3 c8">3.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c4 c9">1,392</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c4 c10">7.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r21 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c2 c5">683</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c2 c6">2.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c3 c7">413</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c3 c8">1.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c4 c9">348</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c4 c10">2.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r36" headers="r21 c1">Unknown <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c2 c5">660</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c2 c6">2.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c3 c7">1,654</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c3 c8">6.8</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c4 c9">268</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c4 c10">1.5</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r37" headers="c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r37 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c2 c5">23,701</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c2 c6">71.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c3 c7">17,506</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c3 c8">71.4</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c4 c9">14,724</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c4 c10">83.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r39" headers="r37 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c2 c5">9,675</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c2 c6">29.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c3 c7">7,008</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c3 c8">28.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c4 c9">3,018</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c4 c10">17.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r40" headers="c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r40 c1">Initial application</th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c2 c5">720</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c2 c6">2.2</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c3 c7">3,683</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c3 c8">15.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c4 c9">544</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c4 c10">3.1</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r40 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c2 c5">21,921</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c2 c6">65.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c3 c7">16,913</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c3 c8">69.0</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c4 c9">11,652</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c4 c10">65.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r40 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c2 c5">3,450</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c2 c6">10.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c3 c7">2,040</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c3 c8">8.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c4 c9">2,068</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c4 c10">11.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r44" headers="r40 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c2 c5">7,285</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c2 c6">21.8</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c3 c7">1,878</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c3 c8">7.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c4 c9">3,478</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c4 c10">19.6</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r45" headers="c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r45 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c2 c5">26,233</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c2 c6">78.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c3 c7">18,607</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c3 c8">75.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c4 c9">13,617</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c4 c10">76.8</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r47" headers="r45 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c2 c5">7,143</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c2 c6">21.4</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c3 c7">5,907</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c3 c8">24.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c4 c9">4,125</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c4 c10">23.3</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r48" headers="c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r48 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c2 c5">19,209</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c2 c6">57.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c3 c7">12,142</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c3 c8">49.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c4 c9">9,393</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c4 c10">52.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r50" headers="r48 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c2 c5">14,167</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c2 c6">42.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c3 c7">12,372</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c3 c8">50.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c4 c9">8,349</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c4 c10">47.1</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r51" headers="c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r51 c1">Younger than 18</th>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c3 c7">6,991</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c3 c8">28.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r51 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c3 c7">17,523</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c3 c8">71.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r54" headers="c1">Calendar year of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r54 c1">2003</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c2 c5">7,582</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c2 c6">22.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c3 c7">9,888</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c3 c8">40.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c4 c9">4,022</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c4 c10">22.7</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r54 c1">2004</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c2 c5">7,640</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c2 c6">22.9</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c3 c7">8,110</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c3 c8">33.1</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c4 c9">4,076</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c4 c10">23.0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r54 c1">2005</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c2 c5">8,066</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c2 c6">24.2</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c3 c7">4,295</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c3 c8">17.5</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c4 c9">4,162</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c4 c10">23.5</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r54 c1">2006</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c2 c5">4,782</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c2 c6">14.3</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c3 c7">1,130</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c3 c8">4.6</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c4 c9">2,677</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c4 c10">15.1</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r59" headers="r54 c1">2007</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c2 c5">3,084</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c2 c6">9.2</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c3 c7">678</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c3 c8">2.8</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c4 c9">1,752</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c4 c10">9.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r60" headers="r54 c1">2008</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c2 c5">2,222</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c2 c6">6.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c3 c7">413</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c3 c8">1.7</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c4 c9">1,053</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r60 c4 c10">5.9</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Rounded components of percentage distributions do not necessarily sum to 100.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>The most common impairments among former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers are certain mental disorders (combined and categorized under "other mental disorders") and musculoskeletal system diseases (30 percent and 16 percent of the target population, respectively). Among former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, we see the largest proportions in the other mental disorders (35 percent) and intellectual disabilities (20 percent) categories. Nearly 40 percent of former concurrent workers have other mental disorders, far outnumbering individuals in any other diagnosis category. Those impairments are similarly the most common among <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> disabled-worker beneficiaries and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> adult recipient populations overall (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012a, 2012b).</p>
|
|
<p>The most common diary type in each of the target populations is possible medical improvement, with 68 percent of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, 80 percent of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and 65 percent of former concurrent workers. Those expected to medically improve comprise the next largest share of each target population, with 28 percent of the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only group, 14 percent of the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only group, and 33 percent of the concurrent group. Very few individuals are not expected to medically improve. This is not surprising because those judged least likely to medically recover would generally not receive a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, thus excluding them from our target population.</p>
|
|
<p>Pluralities of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent workers (both more than 41 percent) and a majority of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients (71 percent) had been program participants for 6 years or longer; another <span class="nobr">one-quarter</span> of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent workers had participated for 4 to 5 years. Those large shares may result from a decline in <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> funding and a growing backlog of cases. We note that over <span class="nobr">three-quarters</span> of each target population did not have a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> prior to the current one, and over 60 percent have had medical improvement deemed possible (meaning a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> scheduled every 3 years).</p>
|
|
<p>About 70 percent of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent workers and 90 percent of <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients had their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> during the first half of our study period (<span class="nobr">2003–2005</span>). The decline in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s in the latter half of the period is most likely due to a decrease in the number of cases sent for review because of lower funding. Year-to-year differences in the percentage of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s may also be related to changing <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> policies in <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>. Appendix Tables <a href="#tableB1"><span class="nobr">B-1</span></a> through <a href="#tableB3"><span class="nobr">B-3</span></a> report statistics for each target population in the first (2003) and last (2008) <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> years we analyze.<sup><a href="#mn29" id="mt29">29</a></sup></p>
|
|
<h2>Return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></h2>
|
|
<p>In this section, we present estimates of the return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years of a final cessation decision. We begin with the estimates of the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s for the full target populations and follow with estimates for subsetting characteristics. We then turn to the regression results, focusing separately on each target population's return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>.</p>
|
|
<h3><abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> Results</h3>
|
|
<p>We estimate the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s of return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> for each beneficiary type, that is, the probability that a former participant successfully applies for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> by a given month. As stated earlier, we follow individuals until they successfully reapply for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> (depending on the empirical model), they attain age 62, they die, or December 31, 2010, whichever occurred first.<sup><a href="#mn30" id="mt30">30</a></sup> We present estimates of program return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> in Chart 1 and to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> in Chart 2.</p>
|
|
<p>Recall that we are measuring the time from the final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision to the application that leads to a new award. Given the large volume of appeals and the <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> backlog, it likely takes several more months until the first payment is received by those who return. However, in most circumstances, back payments will cover the time from favorable eligibility determination to first payment.</p>
|
|
<p>We estimate that about 20 percent of our <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only target population and 21 percent of concurrent workers will return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> within 8 years of an eligibility cessation due to medical improvement (Chart 1). More than <span class="nobr">one-half</span> of those returns occur within the first few years of the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>—at 3 years, roughly 11 percent of each group had returned.</p>
|
|
<div class="chartCenter">
|
|
<div class="chart700" id="chart1">
|
|
<div class="title">Chart 1.<br>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers who successfully applied to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision</div>
|
|
<div class="scrollChart"><img src="v73n2p1-chart01.gif" alt="Line chart with tabular version below." width="700" height="342" /></div>
|
|
<div class="table altTable"><a class="altToggle" href="">Show as table</a>
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table equivalent for Chart 1. </span>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers who successfully applied to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stubHeading" scope="col">Months after <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Concurrent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">1</th>
|
|
<td>0.00</td>
|
|
<td>0.00</td>
|
|
<td>0.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">2</th>
|
|
<td>0.16</td>
|
|
<td>0.03</td>
|
|
<td>0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">3</th>
|
|
<td>0.29</td>
|
|
<td>0.08</td>
|
|
<td>0.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">4</th>
|
|
<td>0.56</td>
|
|
<td>0.13</td>
|
|
<td>0.67</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">5</th>
|
|
<td>1.05</td>
|
|
<td>0.18</td>
|
|
<td>1.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">6</th>
|
|
<td>1.47</td>
|
|
<td>0.24</td>
|
|
<td>1.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">7</th>
|
|
<td>1.90</td>
|
|
<td>0.30</td>
|
|
<td>2.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">8</th>
|
|
<td>2.31</td>
|
|
<td>0.37</td>
|
|
<td>2.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">9</th>
|
|
<td>2.71</td>
|
|
<td>0.43</td>
|
|
<td>3.19</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">10</th>
|
|
<td>3.14</td>
|
|
<td>0.51</td>
|
|
<td>3.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">11</th>
|
|
<td>3.49</td>
|
|
<td>0.60</td>
|
|
<td>3.96</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">12</th>
|
|
<td>3.85</td>
|
|
<td>0.68</td>
|
|
<td>4.37</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">13</th>
|
|
<td>4.15</td>
|
|
<td>0.72</td>
|
|
<td>4.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">14</th>
|
|
<td>4.52</td>
|
|
<td>0.80</td>
|
|
<td>5.31</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">15</th>
|
|
<td>4.89</td>
|
|
<td>0.90</td>
|
|
<td>5.70</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">16</th>
|
|
<td>5.17</td>
|
|
<td>0.97</td>
|
|
<td>6.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">17</th>
|
|
<td>5.46</td>
|
|
<td>1.05</td>
|
|
<td>6.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">18</th>
|
|
<td>5.81</td>
|
|
<td>1.10</td>
|
|
<td>6.70</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">19</th>
|
|
<td>6.09</td>
|
|
<td>1.17</td>
|
|
<td>6.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">20</th>
|
|
<td>6.41</td>
|
|
<td>1.21</td>
|
|
<td>7.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">21</th>
|
|
<td>6.67</td>
|
|
<td>1.29</td>
|
|
<td>7.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">22</th>
|
|
<td>6.90</td>
|
|
<td>1.33</td>
|
|
<td>7.96</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">23</th>
|
|
<td>7.13</td>
|
|
<td>1.39</td>
|
|
<td>8.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">24</th>
|
|
<td>7.37</td>
|
|
<td>1.45</td>
|
|
<td>8.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">25</th>
|
|
<td>7.60</td>
|
|
<td>1.51</td>
|
|
<td>8.82</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">26</th>
|
|
<td>7.87</td>
|
|
<td>1.58</td>
|
|
<td>9.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">27</th>
|
|
<td>8.12</td>
|
|
<td>1.62</td>
|
|
<td>9.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">28</th>
|
|
<td>8.34</td>
|
|
<td>1.68</td>
|
|
<td>9.55</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">29</th>
|
|
<td>8.64</td>
|
|
<td>1.76</td>
|
|
<td>9.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">30</th>
|
|
<td>8.89</td>
|
|
<td>1.84</td>
|
|
<td>9.96</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">31</th>
|
|
<td>9.12</td>
|
|
<td>1.91</td>
|
|
<td>10.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">32</th>
|
|
<td>9.36</td>
|
|
<td>1.97</td>
|
|
<td>10.41</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">33</th>
|
|
<td>9.61</td>
|
|
<td>2.03</td>
|
|
<td>10.63</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">34</th>
|
|
<td>9.78</td>
|
|
<td>2.07</td>
|
|
<td>10.82</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">35</th>
|
|
<td>10.00</td>
|
|
<td>2.14</td>
|
|
<td>10.97</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">36</th>
|
|
<td>10.23</td>
|
|
<td>2.18</td>
|
|
<td>11.22</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">37</th>
|
|
<td>10.43</td>
|
|
<td>2.24</td>
|
|
<td>11.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">38</th>
|
|
<td>10.67</td>
|
|
<td>2.31</td>
|
|
<td>11.72</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">39</th>
|
|
<td>10.86</td>
|
|
<td>2.41</td>
|
|
<td>11.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">40</th>
|
|
<td>11.09</td>
|
|
<td>2.50</td>
|
|
<td>12.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">41</th>
|
|
<td>11.28</td>
|
|
<td>2.54</td>
|
|
<td>12.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">42</th>
|
|
<td>11.48</td>
|
|
<td>2.61</td>
|
|
<td>12.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">43</th>
|
|
<td>11.68</td>
|
|
<td>2.71</td>
|
|
<td>12.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">44</th>
|
|
<td>11.82</td>
|
|
<td>2.80</td>
|
|
<td>13.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">45</th>
|
|
<td>12.08</td>
|
|
<td>2.86</td>
|
|
<td>13.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">46</th>
|
|
<td>12.24</td>
|
|
<td>2.94</td>
|
|
<td>13.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">47</th>
|
|
<td>12.41</td>
|
|
<td>3.01</td>
|
|
<td>13.61</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">48</th>
|
|
<td>12.59</td>
|
|
<td>3.09</td>
|
|
<td>13.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">49</th>
|
|
<td>12.81</td>
|
|
<td>3.18</td>
|
|
<td>13.96</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">50</th>
|
|
<td>12.98</td>
|
|
<td>3.25</td>
|
|
<td>14.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">51</th>
|
|
<td>13.22</td>
|
|
<td>3.34</td>
|
|
<td>14.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">52</th>
|
|
<td>13.40</td>
|
|
<td>3.45</td>
|
|
<td>14.53</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">53</th>
|
|
<td>13.64</td>
|
|
<td>3.52</td>
|
|
<td>14.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">54</th>
|
|
<td>13.85</td>
|
|
<td>3.58</td>
|
|
<td>14.89</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">55</th>
|
|
<td>14.03</td>
|
|
<td>3.65</td>
|
|
<td>15.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">56</th>
|
|
<td>14.20</td>
|
|
<td>3.72</td>
|
|
<td>15.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">57</th>
|
|
<td>14.37</td>
|
|
<td>3.76</td>
|
|
<td>15.55</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">58</th>
|
|
<td>14.51</td>
|
|
<td>3.81</td>
|
|
<td>15.67</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">59</th>
|
|
<td>14.70</td>
|
|
<td>3.87</td>
|
|
<td>15.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">60</th>
|
|
<td>14.89</td>
|
|
<td>3.92</td>
|
|
<td>15.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">61</th>
|
|
<td>15.09</td>
|
|
<td>4.01</td>
|
|
<td>16.04</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">62</th>
|
|
<td>15.20</td>
|
|
<td>4.07</td>
|
|
<td>16.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">63</th>
|
|
<td>15.39</td>
|
|
<td>4.11</td>
|
|
<td>16.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">64</th>
|
|
<td>15.60</td>
|
|
<td>4.20</td>
|
|
<td>16.53</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">65</th>
|
|
<td>15.79</td>
|
|
<td>4.28</td>
|
|
<td>16.66</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">66</th>
|
|
<td>15.93</td>
|
|
<td>4.36</td>
|
|
<td>16.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">67</th>
|
|
<td>16.05</td>
|
|
<td>4.44</td>
|
|
<td>16.84</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">68</th>
|
|
<td>16.22</td>
|
|
<td>4.51</td>
|
|
<td>16.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">69</th>
|
|
<td>16.33</td>
|
|
<td>4.59</td>
|
|
<td>17.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">70</th>
|
|
<td>16.48</td>
|
|
<td>4.67</td>
|
|
<td>17.25</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">71</th>
|
|
<td>16.62</td>
|
|
<td>4.76</td>
|
|
<td>17.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">72</th>
|
|
<td>16.79</td>
|
|
<td>4.80</td>
|
|
<td>17.58</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">73</th>
|
|
<td>16.95</td>
|
|
<td>4.85</td>
|
|
<td>17.76</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">74</th>
|
|
<td>17.10</td>
|
|
<td>4.91</td>
|
|
<td>17.88</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">75</th>
|
|
<td>17.27</td>
|
|
<td>5.00</td>
|
|
<td>17.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">76</th>
|
|
<td>17.39</td>
|
|
<td>5.09</td>
|
|
<td>18.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">77</th>
|
|
<td>17.55</td>
|
|
<td>5.18</td>
|
|
<td>18.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">78</th>
|
|
<td>17.74</td>
|
|
<td>5.29</td>
|
|
<td>18.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">79</th>
|
|
<td>17.85</td>
|
|
<td>5.36</td>
|
|
<td>18.63</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">80</th>
|
|
<td>18.01</td>
|
|
<td>5.41</td>
|
|
<td>18.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">81</th>
|
|
<td>18.20</td>
|
|
<td>5.51</td>
|
|
<td>18.90</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">82</th>
|
|
<td>18.25</td>
|
|
<td>5.58</td>
|
|
<td>19.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">83</th>
|
|
<td>18.29</td>
|
|
<td>5.68</td>
|
|
<td>19.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">84</th>
|
|
<td>18.45</td>
|
|
<td>5.73</td>
|
|
<td>19.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">85</th>
|
|
<td>18.63</td>
|
|
<td>5.78</td>
|
|
<td>19.27</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">86</th>
|
|
<td>18.73</td>
|
|
<td>5.83</td>
|
|
<td>19.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">87</th>
|
|
<td>18.84</td>
|
|
<td>5.88</td>
|
|
<td>19.72</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">88</th>
|
|
<td>18.98</td>
|
|
<td>5.92</td>
|
|
<td>19.76</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">89</th>
|
|
<td>19.00</td>
|
|
<td>5.96</td>
|
|
<td>19.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">90</th>
|
|
<td>19.06</td>
|
|
<td>6.06</td>
|
|
<td>20.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">91</th>
|
|
<td>19.12</td>
|
|
<td>6.15</td>
|
|
<td>20.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">92</th>
|
|
<td>19.20</td>
|
|
<td>6.19</td>
|
|
<td>20.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">93</th>
|
|
<td>19.25</td>
|
|
<td>6.19</td>
|
|
<td>20.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">94</th>
|
|
<td>19.54</td>
|
|
<td>6.19</td>
|
|
<td>20.31</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">95</th>
|
|
<td>19.54</td>
|
|
<td>6.37</td>
|
|
<td>20.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">96</th>
|
|
<td>19.54</td>
|
|
<td>6.37</td>
|
|
<td>20.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="noNotes" colspan="4"> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="firstNote">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</div>
|
|
<div class="lastNote">NOTE: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>A much smaller percentage of the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only group successfully applies for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> eligibility ceases (6 percent). Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients must establish a sufficient work history to become eligible for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>. We cannot determine how many quarters of coverage those individuals had prior to entering <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>; some may only have needed a few quarters while others may have needed many. However, former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients with higher preparticipation earnings are more likely to subsequently enter <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> than those with lower preparticipation earnings.</p>
|
|
<p>We estimate that almost 30 percent of the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only group will return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years of a final eligibility cessation (Chart 2). Unsurprisingly, concurrent workers return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> at about the same rate as they return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> (22 percent). We estimate that 11 percent of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers will successfully apply for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments within 8 years.<sup><a href="#mn31" id="mt31">31</a></sup></p>
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<div class="chartCenter">
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<div class="chart700" id="chart2">
|
|
<div class="title">Chart 2.<br>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers who successfully applied to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision</div>
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<div class="scrollChart"><img src="v73n2p1-chart02.gif" alt="Line chart with tabular version below." width="700" height="342" /></div>
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<div class="table altTable"><a class="altToggle" href="">Show as table</a>
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<table>
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<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table equivalent for Chart 2. </span>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, and concurrent workers who successfully applied to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision</caption>
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<colgroup span="1" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
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<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
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<thead>
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<tr>
|
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<th class="stubHeading" scope="col">Months after <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only</th>
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<th scope="col"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only</th>
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<th scope="col">Concurrent</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
|
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<tbody>
|
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<tr>
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<th class="stub0" scope="row">1</th>
|
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<td>0.00</td>
|
|
<td>0.00</td>
|
|
<td>0.00</td>
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</tr>
|
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<tr>
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<th class="stub0" scope="row">2</th>
|
|
<td>0.11</td>
|
|
<td>0.51</td>
|
|
<td>0.26</td>
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</tr>
|
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<tr>
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<th class="stub0" scope="row">3</th>
|
|
<td>0.22</td>
|
|
<td>1.04</td>
|
|
<td>0.52</td>
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|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">4</th>
|
|
<td>0.41</td>
|
|
<td>1.86</td>
|
|
<td>0.82</td>
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</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">5</th>
|
|
<td>0.68</td>
|
|
<td>2.72</td>
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|
<td>1.44</td>
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</tr>
|
|
<tr>
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<th class="stub0" scope="row">6</th>
|
|
<td>0.93</td>
|
|
<td>3.54</td>
|
|
<td>1.97</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">7</th>
|
|
<td>1.17</td>
|
|
<td>4.25</td>
|
|
<td>2.37</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">8</th>
|
|
<td>1.37</td>
|
|
<td>4.90</td>
|
|
<td>2.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">9</th>
|
|
<td>1.59</td>
|
|
<td>5.52</td>
|
|
<td>3.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">10</th>
|
|
<td>1.83</td>
|
|
<td>6.12</td>
|
|
<td>3.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">11</th>
|
|
<td>1.98</td>
|
|
<td>6.70</td>
|
|
<td>4.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">12</th>
|
|
<td>2.17</td>
|
|
<td>7.23</td>
|
|
<td>4.41</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">13</th>
|
|
<td>2.33</td>
|
|
<td>7.80</td>
|
|
<td>4.89</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">14</th>
|
|
<td>2.56</td>
|
|
<td>8.32</td>
|
|
<td>5.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">15</th>
|
|
<td>2.72</td>
|
|
<td>8.99</td>
|
|
<td>5.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">16</th>
|
|
<td>2.86</td>
|
|
<td>9.51</td>
|
|
<td>6.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">17</th>
|
|
<td>3.03</td>
|
|
<td>10.08</td>
|
|
<td>6.58</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">18</th>
|
|
<td>3.18</td>
|
|
<td>10.56</td>
|
|
<td>6.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">19</th>
|
|
<td>3.33</td>
|
|
<td>10.91</td>
|
|
<td>7.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">20</th>
|
|
<td>3.52</td>
|
|
<td>11.29</td>
|
|
<td>7.61</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">21</th>
|
|
<td>3.68</td>
|
|
<td>11.67</td>
|
|
<td>8.01</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">22</th>
|
|
<td>3.83</td>
|
|
<td>12.05</td>
|
|
<td>8.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">23</th>
|
|
<td>3.99</td>
|
|
<td>12.37</td>
|
|
<td>8.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">24</th>
|
|
<td>4.11</td>
|
|
<td>12.73</td>
|
|
<td>9.04</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">25</th>
|
|
<td>4.27</td>
|
|
<td>13.09</td>
|
|
<td>9.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">26</th>
|
|
<td>4.43</td>
|
|
<td>13.40</td>
|
|
<td>9.71</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">27</th>
|
|
<td>4.56</td>
|
|
<td>13.78</td>
|
|
<td>9.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">28</th>
|
|
<td>4.70</td>
|
|
<td>14.14</td>
|
|
<td>10.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">29</th>
|
|
<td>4.86</td>
|
|
<td>14.53</td>
|
|
<td>10.56</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">30</th>
|
|
<td>5.02</td>
|
|
<td>14.85</td>
|
|
<td>10.76</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">31</th>
|
|
<td>5.19</td>
|
|
<td>15.16</td>
|
|
<td>11.01</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">32</th>
|
|
<td>5.34</td>
|
|
<td>15.45</td>
|
|
<td>11.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">33</th>
|
|
<td>5.47</td>
|
|
<td>15.79</td>
|
|
<td>11.47</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">34</th>
|
|
<td>5.58</td>
|
|
<td>16.13</td>
|
|
<td>11.70</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">35</th>
|
|
<td>5.71</td>
|
|
<td>16.50</td>
|
|
<td>11.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">36</th>
|
|
<td>5.86</td>
|
|
<td>16.82</td>
|
|
<td>12.19</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">37</th>
|
|
<td>5.95</td>
|
|
<td>17.11</td>
|
|
<td>12.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">38</th>
|
|
<td>6.06</td>
|
|
<td>17.46</td>
|
|
<td>12.67</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">39</th>
|
|
<td>6.20</td>
|
|
<td>17.79</td>
|
|
<td>12.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">40</th>
|
|
<td>6.38</td>
|
|
<td>18.13</td>
|
|
<td>13.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">41</th>
|
|
<td>6.50</td>
|
|
<td>18.40</td>
|
|
<td>13.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">42</th>
|
|
<td>6.59</td>
|
|
<td>18.63</td>
|
|
<td>13.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">43</th>
|
|
<td>6.71</td>
|
|
<td>18.96</td>
|
|
<td>13.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">44</th>
|
|
<td>6.80</td>
|
|
<td>19.26</td>
|
|
<td>14.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">45</th>
|
|
<td>6.90</td>
|
|
<td>19.49</td>
|
|
<td>14.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">46</th>
|
|
<td>7.02</td>
|
|
<td>19.73</td>
|
|
<td>14.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">47</th>
|
|
<td>7.12</td>
|
|
<td>20.03</td>
|
|
<td>14.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">48</th>
|
|
<td>7.22</td>
|
|
<td>20.35</td>
|
|
<td>14.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">49</th>
|
|
<td>7.31</td>
|
|
<td>20.66</td>
|
|
<td>14.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">50</th>
|
|
<td>7.41</td>
|
|
<td>20.88</td>
|
|
<td>15.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">51</th>
|
|
<td>7.57</td>
|
|
<td>21.16</td>
|
|
<td>15.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">52</th>
|
|
<td>7.69</td>
|
|
<td>21.42</td>
|
|
<td>15.56</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">53</th>
|
|
<td>7.85</td>
|
|
<td>21.69</td>
|
|
<td>15.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">54</th>
|
|
<td>7.97</td>
|
|
<td>21.97</td>
|
|
<td>16.04</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">55</th>
|
|
<td>8.05</td>
|
|
<td>22.23</td>
|
|
<td>16.22</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">56</th>
|
|
<td>8.17</td>
|
|
<td>22.49</td>
|
|
<td>16.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">57</th>
|
|
<td>8.24</td>
|
|
<td>22.77</td>
|
|
<td>16.62</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">58</th>
|
|
<td>8.30</td>
|
|
<td>23.02</td>
|
|
<td>16.77</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">59</th>
|
|
<td>8.40</td>
|
|
<td>23.26</td>
|
|
<td>16.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">60</th>
|
|
<td>8.50</td>
|
|
<td>23.47</td>
|
|
<td>17.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">61</th>
|
|
<td>8.58</td>
|
|
<td>23.70</td>
|
|
<td>17.36</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">62</th>
|
|
<td>8.65</td>
|
|
<td>23.87</td>
|
|
<td>17.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">63</th>
|
|
<td>8.75</td>
|
|
<td>24.13</td>
|
|
<td>17.75</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">64</th>
|
|
<td>8.83</td>
|
|
<td>24.35</td>
|
|
<td>17.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">65</th>
|
|
<td>8.95</td>
|
|
<td>24.54</td>
|
|
<td>17.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">66</th>
|
|
<td>9.04</td>
|
|
<td>24.74</td>
|
|
<td>18.25</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">67</th>
|
|
<td>9.13</td>
|
|
<td>24.96</td>
|
|
<td>18.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">68</th>
|
|
<td>9.23</td>
|
|
<td>25.13</td>
|
|
<td>18.41</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">69</th>
|
|
<td>9.33</td>
|
|
<td>25.31</td>
|
|
<td>18.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">70</th>
|
|
<td>9.43</td>
|
|
<td>25.55</td>
|
|
<td>18.71</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">71</th>
|
|
<td>9.53</td>
|
|
<td>25.72</td>
|
|
<td>18.89</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">72</th>
|
|
<td>9.59</td>
|
|
<td>25.91</td>
|
|
<td>19.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">73</th>
|
|
<td>9.69</td>
|
|
<td>26.06</td>
|
|
<td>19.22</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">74</th>
|
|
<td>9.79</td>
|
|
<td>26.28</td>
|
|
<td>19.36</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">75</th>
|
|
<td>9.92</td>
|
|
<td>26.50</td>
|
|
<td>19.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">76</th>
|
|
<td>9.99</td>
|
|
<td>26.72</td>
|
|
<td>19.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">77</th>
|
|
<td>10.05</td>
|
|
<td>26.88</td>
|
|
<td>19.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">78</th>
|
|
<td>10.17</td>
|
|
<td>27.10</td>
|
|
<td>20.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">79</th>
|
|
<td>10.26</td>
|
|
<td>27.26</td>
|
|
<td>20.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">80</th>
|
|
<td>10.33</td>
|
|
<td>27.41</td>
|
|
<td>20.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">81</th>
|
|
<td>10.45</td>
|
|
<td>27.59</td>
|
|
<td>20.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">82</th>
|
|
<td>10.51</td>
|
|
<td>27.67</td>
|
|
<td>20.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">83</th>
|
|
<td>10.56</td>
|
|
<td>27.93</td>
|
|
<td>20.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">84</th>
|
|
<td>10.67</td>
|
|
<td>28.04</td>
|
|
<td>20.76</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">85</th>
|
|
<td>10.76</td>
|
|
<td>28.20</td>
|
|
<td>20.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">86</th>
|
|
<td>10.81</td>
|
|
<td>28.31</td>
|
|
<td>21.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">87</th>
|
|
<td>10.84</td>
|
|
<td>28.39</td>
|
|
<td>21.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">88</th>
|
|
<td>10.90</td>
|
|
<td>28.56</td>
|
|
<td>21.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">89</th>
|
|
<td>10.93</td>
|
|
<td>28.61</td>
|
|
<td>21.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">90</th>
|
|
<td>10.93</td>
|
|
<td>28.78</td>
|
|
<td>21.44</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">91</th>
|
|
<td>10.96</td>
|
|
<td>28.87</td>
|
|
<td>21.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">92</th>
|
|
<td>11.00</td>
|
|
<td>28.98</td>
|
|
<td>21.58</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">93</th>
|
|
<td>11.00</td>
|
|
<td>29.17</td>
|
|
<td>21.65</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">94</th>
|
|
<td>11.07</td>
|
|
<td>29.23</td>
|
|
<td>21.72</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">95</th>
|
|
<td>11.07</td>
|
|
<td>29.59</td>
|
|
<td>21.79</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">96</th>
|
|
<td>11.07</td>
|
|
<td>29.59</td>
|
|
<td>21.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="noNotes" colspan="4"> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="firstNote">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</div>
|
|
<div class="lastNote">NOTE: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>Note that the estimated <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s at year 8 reflect the experiences of the earliest <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s in our target population. However, the greatest risk of return, measured by the slope of the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>, is in the first few years after the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>. Although <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s increase over time, they do so at diminishing rates.<sup><a href="#mn32" id="mt32">32</a></sup></p>
|
|
<h3><abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s by Subsetting Characteristics</h3>
|
|
<p>Table 2 presents the estimated cumulative incidence of successfully applying for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years of cessation for each target population by characteristic. The first line replicates the final values of the overall <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s in Charts 1 and 2 (that is, the average return after 8 years).</p>
|
|
<div class="table" id="table2">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table 2. </span>Cumulative incidence of successful reapplication to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision reached during <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> by former program type and beneficiary characteristics (in percent)</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Former concurrent workers, return to—</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r1" headers="c1">Total</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c5">19.54</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c6">11.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c7">6.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c8">29.59</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c9">20.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c10">21.79</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c5">26.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c6">17.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c7">8.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c8">31.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c9">27.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c10">28.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c5">18.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c6">11.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c7">6.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c8">29.78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c9">19.64</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c10">21.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r2 c1">Expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c5">19.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c6">9.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c7">6.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c8">27.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c9">21.66</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c10">20.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r6 c1">Low</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c5">17.76</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c6">10.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c7">4.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c8">32.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c9">22.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c10">27.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c5">19.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c6">10.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c7">5.98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c8">33.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c9">21.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c10">22.77</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c5">19.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c6">11.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c7">6.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c8">28.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c9">20.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c10">20.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r10 c1">Younger than 30</th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c5">16.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c6">11.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c7">6.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c8">22.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c9">18.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c10">17.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c5">15.90</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c6">10.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c7">6.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c8">28.65</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c9">17.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c10">19.75</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c5">21.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c6">11.84</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c7">6.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c8">37.84</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c9">22.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c10">24.49</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c5">22.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c6">9.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c7">5.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c8">38.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c9">30.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c10">28.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c5">22.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c6">6.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c9">20.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c10">16.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c5">22.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c6">10.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c9">23.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c10">21.72</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c7">6.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c8">30.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c5">22.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c6">12.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c7">6.35</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c8">35.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c9">22.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c10">25.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r20" headers="r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c2 c5">15.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c2 c6">10.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c3 c7">6.43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c3 c8">27.73</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c4 c9">16.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r20 c4 c10">19.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r21" headers="c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r21 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c2 c5">18.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c2 c6">7.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c3 c7">6.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c3 c8">18.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c4 c9">19.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r22 c4 c10">16.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r21 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c2 c5">23.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c2 c6">22.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c3 c7">6.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c3 c8">26.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c4 c9">20.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r23 c4 c10">27.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r21 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c2 c5">28.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c2 c6">22.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c3 c7">6.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c3 c8">38.46</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c4 c9">25.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r24 c4 c10">28.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r21 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c2 c5">18.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c2 c6">11.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c3 c7">5.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c3 c8">27.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c4 c9">20.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r25 c4 c10">20.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r26" headers="r21 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r21 r26 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c2 c5">22.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c2 c6">11.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c3 c7">9.88</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c3 c8">34.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c4 c9">22.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r27 c4 c10">19.90</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r21 r26 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c2 c5">16.64</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c2 c6">10.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c3 c7">7.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c3 c8">30.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c4 c9">17.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r28 c4 c10">19.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r21 r26 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c2 c5">27.01</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c2 c6">13.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c3 c7">10.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c3 c8">41.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c4 c9">27.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r29 c4 c10">26.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r21 r26 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c2 c5">24.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c2 c6">14.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c3 c7">3.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c3 c8">27.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c4 c9">19.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r30 c4 c10">22.67</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r21 r26 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c2 c5">18.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c2 c6">9.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c3 c7">3.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c3 c8">29.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c4 c9">18.86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r31 c4 c10">16.79</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r21 r26 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c2 c5">30.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c2 c6">13.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c3 c7">12.88</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c3 c8">34.55</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c4 c9">26.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r32 c4 c10">23.49</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r33" headers="r21 r26 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c2 c5">17.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c2 c6">9.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c3 c7">5.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c3 c8">33.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c4 c9">20.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r26 r33 c4 c10">22.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r21 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c2 c5">15.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c2 c6">8.98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c3 c7">4.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c3 c8">25.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c4 c9">15.59</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r34 c4 c10">17.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r21 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c2 c5">19.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c2 c6">11.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c3 c7">9.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c3 c8">27.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c4 c9">22.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r35 c4 c10">21.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r36" headers="r21 c1">Unknown <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c2 c5">14.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c2 c6">8.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c3 c7">6.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c3 c8">31.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c4 c9">15.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r21 r36 c4 c10">20.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r37" headers="c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r37 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c2 c5">19.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c2 c6">10.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c3 c7">6.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c3 c8">28.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c4 c9">20.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r38 c4 c10">21.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r39" headers="r37 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c2 c5">18.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c2 c6">11.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c3 c7">5.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c3 c8">31.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c4 c9">22.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r37 r39 c4 c10">23.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r40" headers="c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r40 c1">Initial application</th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c2 c5">20.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c2 c6">10.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c3 c7">6.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c3 c8">28.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c4 c9">20.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r41 c4 c10">21.61</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r40 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c2 c5">19.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c2 c6">11.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c3 c7">6.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c3 c8">31.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c4 c9">21.44</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r42 c4 c10">22.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r40 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c2 c5">16.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c2 c6">10.76</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c3 c7">5.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c3 c8">32.67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c4 c9">18.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r43 c4 c10">20.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r44" headers="r40 c1">Unknown </th>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c2 c5">19.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c2 c6">14.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c3 c7">6.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c3 c8">30.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c4 c9">19.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r40 r44 c4 c10">19.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r45" headers="c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r45 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c2 c5">22.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c2 c6">12.59</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c3 c7">6.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c3 c8">33.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c4 c9">23.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r46 c4 c10">24.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r47" headers="r45 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c2 c5">7.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c2 c6">5.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c3 c7">6.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c3 c8">18.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c4 c9">10.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r45 r47 c4 c10">11.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r48" headers="c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r48 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c2 c5">19.86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c2 c6">11.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c3 c7">6.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c3 c8">31.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c4 c9">21.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r49 c4 c10">22.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r50" headers="r48 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c2 c5">19.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c2 c6">10.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c3 c7">5.81</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c3 c8">28.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c4 c9">19.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r48 r50 c4 c10">20.37</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r51" headers="c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r51 c1">Younger than 18</th>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c3 c7">5.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c3 c8">21.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r52 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r51 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c3 c7">6.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c3 c8">32.85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r51 r53 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r54" headers="c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r54 c1">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c2 c5">17.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c2 c6">15.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c4 c9">16.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r55 c4 c10">21.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r54 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c2 c5">21.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c2 c6">13.87</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c4 c9">19.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r56 c4 c10">23.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r54 c1">Lowest or second (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c3 c7">5.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c3 c8">28.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r57 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r54 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c2 c5">20.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c2 c6">10.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c3 c7">6.64</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c3 c8">30.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c4 c9">22.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r58 c4 c10">21.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r59" headers="r54 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c2 c5">18.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c2 c6">4.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c3 c7">7.87</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c3 c8">31.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c4 c9">23.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r54 r59 c4 c10">19.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>The estimated percentages of successful <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> application vary substantially across characteristics. In general, those for whom <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> does not expect medical improvement are more likely to return within 8 years than the groups for whom medical improvement is expected or deemed possible. A higher percentage of older individuals tend to return to their original program (or to either program for former concurrent workers), compared with the overall return averages. The return percentage for those with a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> is lower than average across all categories; correspondingly, the percentage is higher than average among those without a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>.</p>
|
|
<p>Among those diagnosed with schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders, circulatory system diseases, and genitourinary system diseases, we estimate higher-than-average percentages returning to each program from all three former program types. We estimate lower-than-average percentages returning among those with neoplasms, digestive system diseases, and injuries from all three target populations. The other characteristic groups show less variation across program types.</p>
|
|
<h2>Regression Results</h2>
|
|
<p>We estimated Cox proportional hazard regressions of the time to first successful postcessation <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> application, controlling for the characteristics described earlier. Table 3 presents the hazard model results for program returns. The aggregate hazard ratios for the entire study period appear in the upper panel of Table 3 and the hazard ratios of the time-varying effects in each model are shown in the lower panel. Recall that the variables we include as time-varying are those that did not satisfy the proportionality assumptions of each Cox regression. Note that the methodology we use to estimate the time-varying effects creates separate observations for each distinct time period during which we observe an individual. Thus, an individual who, for example, has a medium <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score and is observed for 4 years in the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only regressions will have four different observations in the data, one for each calendar year after cessation. As a result, the number of observations for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent regressions shown in Table 3 is substantially higher than the total sample values given in Table 1; but the observations for the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only regressions, which do not include time-varying effects, match the Table 1 values. Appendix <a href="#tableC1">Table <span class="nobr">C-1</span></a> presents standard errors for the regressions.</p>
|
|
<div class="table" id="table3">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table 3. </span>Proportional hazard regression results (hazard ratios) of time to first successful application to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years of a <span class="nobr">2003–2008</span> <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by former program type and beneficiary characteristics</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Former concurrent workers, return to—</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th class="panel" colspan="6" id="r1">Aggregate effects</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="r1 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r1 r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c5">1.40***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c6">1.43***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c7">2.26***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c8">1.09</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r2 r3 c4 c9">1.31**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r1 r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c5">1.14***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c6">1.22***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c7">1.21*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c8">1.07</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c4 c9">1.10</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r1 r2 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="r1 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r1 r6 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r1 r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c7">0.88</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c8">0.91</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c4 c10">0.83*</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r1 r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c7">1.33</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c8">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r6 r9 c4 c10">0.78**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r1 r10 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c5">1.25***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c6">1.35***</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c7">0.80**</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c8">1.27***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r12 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c4 c10">1.37***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c5">1.83***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c6">1.75***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c7">0.87</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c8">1.83***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r13 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c4 c10">1.91***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c5">2.32***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c6">1.76***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c7">1.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c8">2.20***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r14 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c4 c10">2.37***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="r1 c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 2 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c5">0.94</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c6">1.18</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c4 c9">1.03</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c4 c10">1.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c5">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c6">1.21</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c7">0.78*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c8">1.09</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c4 c9">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c4 c10">1.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r20" headers="r1 r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c2 c5">0.76***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r20 c2 c6">1.08</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r20 c3 c7">0.85*</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c3 c8">1.19***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r20 c4 c9">0.86</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r20 c4 c10">1.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r21" headers="r1 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r1 r21 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r22 c2 c5">0.98</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r22 c2 c6">0.86</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r22 c3 c7">0.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c3 c8">0.54***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r22 c4 c9">0.82*</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r22 c4 c10">0.80**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r1 r21 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r23 c2 c5">1.34**</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c2 c6">1.71***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r23 c3 c7">1.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c3 c8">1.21***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r23 c4 c9">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r23 c4 c10">1.26**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r1 r21 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c2 c5">1.92***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c2 c6">2.17***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r24 c3 c7">1.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c3 c8">1.41***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c4 c9">1.56***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c4 c10">1.44***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r1 r21 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c2 c5">1.17***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c2 c6">1.34***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r25 c3 c7">1.01</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r25 c3 c8">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r25 c4 c9">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r25 c4 c10">1.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r26" headers="r1 r21 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c2 c5">1.20*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c2 c6">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c3 c7">1.58*</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c3 c8">1.27**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c4 c9">1.11</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c4 c10">0.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Nervous system and sense organs</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c2 c5">1.02</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c2 c6">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c3 c7">1.21</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c3 c8">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c4 c9">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c4 c10">0.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c2 c5">1.35***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c2 c6">1.49***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c3 c7">1.18</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c3 c8">1.15</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c4 c9">1.14</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c4 c10">1.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c2 c5">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c2 c6">1.15</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c3 c7">0.74</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c3 c8">1.02</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c4 c9">1.01</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c4 c10">1.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c2 c5">0.92</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c2 c6">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c3 c7">0.72</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c3 c8">0.84</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c4 c9">0.75**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c4 c10">0.81</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c2 c5">1.48***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c2 c6">1.41***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c3 c7">2.16***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c3 c8">1.21*</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c4 c9">1.32**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c4 c10">1.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r33" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r1 r21 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c2 c5">0.83***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r34 c2 c6">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r34 c3 c7">0.92</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r34 c3 c8">0.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c4 c9">0.69***</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r21 r34 c4 c10">0.79**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r1 r21 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c2 c5">1.09</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c2 c6">1.18</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c3 c7">1.59*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c3 c8">1.12</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c4 c9">1.14</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r35 c4 c10">1.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r36" headers="r1 r21 c1">Unknown <sup>b</sup></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c2 c5">0.87</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c2 c6">0.86</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c3 c7">1.16</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c3 c8">1.01</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c4 c9">0.77</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r21 r36 c4 c10">0.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r37" headers="r1 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r1 r37 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r38 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r39" headers="r1 r37 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r39 c2 c5">0.95</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r39 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c3 c7">0.57***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r39 c3 c8">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r39 c4 c9">1.02</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r37 r39 c4 c10">1.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r40" headers="r1 c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r1 r40 c1">Initial application (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r41 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r1 r40 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c2 c5">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c2 c6">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c3 c7">0.82</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c3 c8">0.94</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c4 c9">1.10</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r42 c4 c10">1.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r1 r40 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c2 c5">0.88***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r43 c2 c6">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r43 c3 c7">0.80*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r43 c3 c8">1.01</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r43 c4 c9">0.91</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r43 c4 c10">0.96</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r44" headers="r1 r40 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c2 c5">1.04</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c2 c6">1.19</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c3 c7">1.08</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c3 c8">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c4 c9">0.98</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r40 r44 c4 c10">0.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r45" headers="r1 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r1 r45 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r46 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r47" headers="r1 r45 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r47 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r47 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r47 c3 c7">1.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c3 c8">0.58***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r47 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r45 r47 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r48" headers="r1 c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r1 r48 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r49 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r50" headers="r1 r48 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r48 r50 c2 c5">0.94**</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r50 c2 c6">0.93*</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r48 r50 c3 c7">0.89*</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c3 c8">0.87***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c4 c9">0.84***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c4 c10">0.84***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r51" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r1 r51 c1">Younger than 18 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r52 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r1 r51 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c3 c7">1.16</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c3 c8">1.09*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r51 r53 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r54" headers="r1 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r1 r54 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r55 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r1 r54 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r56 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r54 r56 c2 c6">0.89**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r56 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r56 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r56 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r56 c4 c10">1.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r1 r54 c1">Lowest or second (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r57 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r1 r54 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r58 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c2 c6">0.62***</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r54 r58 c3 c7">1.20**</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r58 c3 c8">0.93*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r58 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r58 c4 c10">0.90*</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r59" headers="r1 r54 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r59 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c2 c6">0.30***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c3 c7">1.63***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c3 c8">0.82***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r54 r59 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c4 c10">0.73***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th colspan="6" class="panel" id="r60">Time-varying effects</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r61" headers="r60 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r62" headers="r60 r61 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r63" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c4 c10">1.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r64" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c4 c10">1.57**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r65" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c4 c10">0.90</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r66" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c4 c10">1.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r67" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c4 c10">1.71*</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r68" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c4 c10">0.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r69" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c4 c10">0.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r70" headers="r60 r61 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r71" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c4 c10">1.23**</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r72" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c4 c10">1.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r73" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c4 c10">1.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r74" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c4 c10">1.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r75" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c4 c10">1.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r76" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c4 c10">1.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r77" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c4 c10">0.92</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r78" headers="r60 r61 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r61 r78 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r79" headers="r60 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r80" headers="r60 r79 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r80 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r81" headers="r60 r79 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r82" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c2 c5">0.81*</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c2 c6">0.62***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c4 c9">1.70**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r83" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c2 c5">0.61***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c2 c6">0.72*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c4 c9">0.76</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r84" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c2 c5">0.74**</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c2 c6">0.70*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c4 c9">0.65*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r85" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c2 c5">1.16</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c2 c6">0.82</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c4 c9">1.79</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r86" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c2 c5">1.28</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c2 c6">1.36</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c4 c9">0.86</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r87" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c2 c5">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c2 c6">0.63</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c4 c9">0.23***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r88" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c2 c5">0.78</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c2 c6">1.76</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c4 c9">1.60</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r89" headers="r60 r79 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r90" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c2 c5">0.73***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c2 c6">0.77</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c4 c9">1.15</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r91" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c2 c5">0.68***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c2 c6">0.72*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c4 c9">0.75</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r92" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c2 c5">0.74**</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c2 c6">0.72*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c4 c9">0.68</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r93" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c2 c5">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c2 c6">0.62**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c4 c9">1.97*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r94" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c2 c5">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c2 c6">1.60</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c4 c9">0.82</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r95" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c2 c5">1.25</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c2 c6">0.49**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c4 c9">0.42**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r96" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c2 c5">0.75</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c2 c6">1.41</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c4 c9">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r97" headers="r60 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r98" headers="r60 r97 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r98 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r99" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r100" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c4 c9">1.47***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r101" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c4 c9">1.35***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r102" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c4 c9">0.99</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r103" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c4 c9">1.16</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r104" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c4 c9">1.25</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r105" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c4 c9">1.17</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r106" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c4 c9">0.73</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r107" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r108" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c4 c9">1.80***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r109" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c4 c9">1.79***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r110" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c4 c9">1.54***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r111" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c4 c9">1.50**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r112" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c4 c9">1.72***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r113" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c4 c9">1.94**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r114" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c4 c9">0.76</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r115" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r116" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c4 c9">2.61***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r117" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c4 c9">2.51***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r118" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c4 c9">2.21***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r119" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c4 c9">2.81***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r120" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c4 c9">2.85***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r121" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c4 c9">2.77**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r122" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c4 c9">0.44</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r123" headers="r60 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r124" headers="r60 r123 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r124 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r125" headers="r60 r123 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r126" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c2 c6">1.11</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r127" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c2 c6">0.98</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r128" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c2 c6">1.15</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r129" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c2 c6">0.59***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r130" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c2 c6">1.08</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r131" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c2 c6">0.78</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r132" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c2 c6">0.90</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r133" headers="r60 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r134" headers="r60 r133 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r134 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r135" headers="r60 r133 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r136" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c2 c5">0.21***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c2 c6">0.17***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c4 c9">0.19***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c4 c10">0.23***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r137" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c2 c5">0.31***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c2 c6">0.29***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c4 c9">0.24***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c4 c10">0.28***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r138" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c2 c5">0.28***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c2 c6">0.34***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c4 c9">0.37***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c4 c10">0.40***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r139" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c2 c5">0.35***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c2 c6">0.42***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c4 c9">0.35***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c4 c10">0.37***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r140" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c2 c5">0.34***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c2 c6">0.42***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c4 c9">0.42***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c4 c10">0.37***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r141" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c2 c5">0.45***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c2 c6">0.50***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c4 c9">0.48***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c4 c10">0.42***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r142" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c2 c5">0.27***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c2 c6">0.25***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c4 c9">0.43***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c4 c10">0.41***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r143" headers="r60 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r144" headers="r60 r143 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r144 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r145" headers="r60 r143 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r146" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c2 c5">1.10</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c4 c9">1.19</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r147" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c2 c5">1.14</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c4 c9">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r148" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c2 c5">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c4 c9">1.29*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r149" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c2 c5">1.05</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c4 c9">1.41*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r150" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c2 c5">1.25*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c4 c9">1.42*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r151" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c2 c5">2.06***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c4 c9">1.58*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r152" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c2 c5">1.15</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c4 c9">1.21</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r153" headers="r60 r143 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r154" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c2 c5">1.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c4 c9">1.21</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r155" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c2 c5">0.92</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c4 c9">1.05</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r156" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c2 c5">0.82*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c4 c9">1.48**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r157" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c2 c5">1.01</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c4 c9">1.49**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r158" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c2 c5">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c4 c9">1.53**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r159" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c2 c5">1.43*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c4 c9">1.35</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r160" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c2 c5">1.56**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c4 c9">1.75*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r161" headers="r60 r143 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r162" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c2 c5">0.75***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c4 c9">1.21</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r163" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c2 c5">0.78***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c4 c9">0.95</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r164" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c2 c5">0.74***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c4 c9">1.19</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r165" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c2 c5">0.70***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c4 c9">1.83***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r166" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c2 c5">0.96</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c4 c9">1.30</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r167" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c2 c5">1.52**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c4 c9">1.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r168" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c2 c5">0.83</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c4 c9">2.60***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr class="shaded">
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r169" headers="r60 c1">Observations</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c2 c5">168,675</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c2 c6">174,736</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c3 c7">24,514</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c3 c8">24,514</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c4 c9">87,471</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r60 r169 c4 c10">87,050</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">* = statistically significant at the 0.1 level.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">** = statistically significant at the 0.05 level.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">*** = statistically significant at the 0.01 level.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">a. Included as a time-varying effect because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> did not satisfy the proportionality assumption. See lower panel.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">b. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">c. No time-varying Cox regression was calculated because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> (shown in the upper panel) satisfied the proportionality assumption.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<h3>Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only Workers</h3>
|
|
<p>All else being equal, former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers have a higher risk (hazard) of returning to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> if they were older or judged less likely to improve according to the diary type. To illustrate, the hazard ratio of 1.40 for the medical improvement not expected group implies that the group, in any given year after cessation, had 1.40 times the risk of returning to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> as did the reference group (for which medical improvement was expected). Alternatively, those with higher <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile scores (that is, more likely to have their eligibility ceased according to <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s profiling model) have a lower risk of return—although this effect diminishes after 3 years. For example, in the first year after cessation, the high <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile-score group's hazard ratio of 0.73 indicates that the risk of return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> for members of this group was only 73 percent of that for members of the low profile-score group. In the fourth year after cessation, however, there is no difference in risk of return between the two groups (the hazard ratio is 1.06 and is not statistically significant). Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers with a lower risk of return include those who had a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>, those who required a consultative examination, and those who were on the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> program for 6 or more years (compared with those who were on <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> for fewer than 2 years).</p>
|
|
<p>Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers in the highest preeligibility earnings quartiles are less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> within 4 years than are those in the lowest quartile, all else being equal. Relative to those with musculoskeletal system and connective tissue impairments, individuals with intellectual disabilities are much more likely to return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>, as are those with schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders; other mental disorders; endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases; circulatory system diseases; and genitourinary system diseases, all else being equal. Individuals with injuries have a lower risk of return than do those with musculoskeletal impairments. Also, those initially allowed at the Administrative Law Judge level or higher have a lower risk of return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> than do those allowed at the initial adjudication level.</p>
|
|
<p>Although the magnitudes differ, the signs and significance of the hazard ratios of subsequent <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> participation for former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers are generally similar to those for subsequent <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> participation. The hazard ratios of individuals previously on <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> for 6 or more years, those allowed at the Administrative Law Judge level or higher, and those with injuries are not significant in the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> empirical model. Consistent with the means-tested nature of <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers in higher preeligibility earnings quartiles have a lower risk of successfully applying for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> than do those with earnings in the lowest quartile.</p>
|
|
<h3>Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only Recipients</h3>
|
|
<p>All else held equal, former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients have a higher risk of successfully applying for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> if they are considered less likely to medically improve (as judged by diary type) and if they had higher preeligibility earnings. Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients who were on the program for 4 years or more, received a mailer, or required a consultative examination have a lower risk of successfully applying for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>. Additionally, those with endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases, genitourinary system diseases, and "other" impairments are more likely than those with musculoskeletal and connective tissue impairments to apply successfully for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>.</p>
|
|
<p>The characteristics influencing return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> by former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients differ from those influencing successful application for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>. For example, the diary type and mailer status hazard ratios are not statistically significant in the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> regression. Additionally, those with a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> are less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, and those who were aged 18 or older at the time they first entered <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> are more likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. Neither of those variables is significant in the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-return model. Older individuals are also more likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. As would be expected, those with higher preeligibility earnings are less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, although we found them more likely to successfully apply for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> cessation.</p>
|
|
<h3>Former Concurrent Workers</h3>
|
|
<p>In the empirical models for former concurrent workers, those not expected to medically improve are more likely to return to each program, but those with medical improvement deemed possible are more likely to return only to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. In the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> empirical model, those effects are sporadic; in cases where medical improvement is not expected, the hazard ratios are statistically significant in only the second and fifth years (1.57 and 1.71, respectively), and where improvement is deemed possible, only the first-year estimate (1.23) is significant. Individuals with higher <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile scores are less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, but those effects fluctuate in the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> empirical model, with some hazard ratios above 1 and others below 1 in no consistent pattern. In both empirical models, those with a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> and those who required a consultative examination are less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. The hazard ratios for the highest two earnings quartiles in the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-return empirical model are statistically significant, with individuals in those quartiles less likely to return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. In the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> empirical model, the estimates suggest higher earners are somewhat more likely to enter <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>, but the hazard ratios vary over the followup period. Older individuals are also more likely to return to each program.</p>
|
|
<p>Individuals with schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders are more likely to return to either program than are those with musculoskeletal and connective tissue impairments; those with neoplasms and injuries are less likely to return. Former concurrent workers with intellectual disabilities are more likely to return to the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> program. As for the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> program, individuals with digestive systems diseases are less likely to return, while those with genitourinary system diseases are more likely.</p>
|
|
<h2>Year-Specific Estimates</h2>
|
|
<p>As discussed earlier, our aggregate results pool several cohort years together, resulting in heterogeneous target populations. Therefore, the estimated <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s may mask differences in the rates of program return between yearly cohorts. To explore that possibility, we present the estimates of the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s for each <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cohort year for former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers returning to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> (Chart 3) and former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients returning to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> (Chart 4) through the maximum followup time.<sup><a href="#mn33" id="mt33">33</a></sup></p>
|
|
<div class="chartCenter">
|
|
<div class="chart700" id="chart3">
|
|
<div class="title">Chart 3.<br>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers who successfully reapplied to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> year</div>
|
|
<div class="scrollChart"><img src="v73n2p1-chart03.gif" alt="Line chart with tabular version below." width="700" height="275" /></div>
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<div class="table altTable"><a class="altToggle" href="">Show as table</a>
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table equivalent for Chart 3. </span>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers who successfully reapplied to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> year</caption>
|
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<colgroup span="1" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
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<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stubHeading" scope="col">Months after <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2003</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2004</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2005</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2006</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2007</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2008</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">1</th>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">2</th>
|
|
<td>0.18</td>
|
|
<td>0.12</td>
|
|
<td>0.14</td>
|
|
<td>0.23</td>
|
|
<td>0.16</td>
|
|
<td>0.14</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">3</th>
|
|
<td>0.30</td>
|
|
<td>0.26</td>
|
|
<td>0.29</td>
|
|
<td>0.38</td>
|
|
<td>0.32</td>
|
|
<td>0.14</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">4</th>
|
|
<td>0.49</td>
|
|
<td>0.63</td>
|
|
<td>0.48</td>
|
|
<td>0.75</td>
|
|
<td>0.55</td>
|
|
<td>0.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">5</th>
|
|
<td>0.86</td>
|
|
<td>1.05</td>
|
|
<td>1.08</td>
|
|
<td>1.30</td>
|
|
<td>1.10</td>
|
|
<td>1.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">6</th>
|
|
<td>1.36</td>
|
|
<td>1.43</td>
|
|
<td>1.43</td>
|
|
<td>1.80</td>
|
|
<td>1.56</td>
|
|
<td>1.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">7</th>
|
|
<td>1.78</td>
|
|
<td>1.95</td>
|
|
<td>1.85</td>
|
|
<td>2.34</td>
|
|
<td>1.85</td>
|
|
<td>1.49</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">8</th>
|
|
<td>2.26</td>
|
|
<td>2.42</td>
|
|
<td>2.24</td>
|
|
<td>2.68</td>
|
|
<td>2.14</td>
|
|
<td>1.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">9</th>
|
|
<td>2.56</td>
|
|
<td>2.83</td>
|
|
<td>2.60</td>
|
|
<td>3.01</td>
|
|
<td>2.89</td>
|
|
<td>2.39</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">10</th>
|
|
<td>2.98</td>
|
|
<td>3.44</td>
|
|
<td>2.94</td>
|
|
<td>3.35</td>
|
|
<td>3.05</td>
|
|
<td>3.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">11</th>
|
|
<td>3.31</td>
|
|
<td>3.76</td>
|
|
<td>3.31</td>
|
|
<td>3.79</td>
|
|
<td>3.34</td>
|
|
<td>3.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">12</th>
|
|
<td>3.71</td>
|
|
<td>4.02</td>
|
|
<td>3.60</td>
|
|
<td>4.21</td>
|
|
<td>3.84</td>
|
|
<td>3.94</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">13</th>
|
|
<td>4.08</td>
|
|
<td>4.33</td>
|
|
<td>3.85</td>
|
|
<td>4.59</td>
|
|
<td>4.00</td>
|
|
<td>4.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">14</th>
|
|
<td>4.44</td>
|
|
<td>4.70</td>
|
|
<td>4.27</td>
|
|
<td>4.73</td>
|
|
<td>4.54</td>
|
|
<td>4.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">15</th>
|
|
<td>4.85</td>
|
|
<td>5.01</td>
|
|
<td>4.64</td>
|
|
<td>5.16</td>
|
|
<td>4.87</td>
|
|
<td>4.88</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">16</th>
|
|
<td>5.16</td>
|
|
<td>5.17</td>
|
|
<td>4.89</td>
|
|
<td>5.52</td>
|
|
<td>5.34</td>
|
|
<td>5.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">17</th>
|
|
<td>5.51</td>
|
|
<td>5.46</td>
|
|
<td>5.09</td>
|
|
<td>5.88</td>
|
|
<td>5.54</td>
|
|
<td>5.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">18</th>
|
|
<td>5.91</td>
|
|
<td>5.81</td>
|
|
<td>5.45</td>
|
|
<td>6.22</td>
|
|
<td>5.81</td>
|
|
<td>5.84</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">19</th>
|
|
<td>6.20</td>
|
|
<td>6.17</td>
|
|
<td>5.74</td>
|
|
<td>6.46</td>
|
|
<td>6.12</td>
|
|
<td>5.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">20</th>
|
|
<td>6.45</td>
|
|
<td>6.54</td>
|
|
<td>6.06</td>
|
|
<td>6.89</td>
|
|
<td>6.39</td>
|
|
<td>6.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">21</th>
|
|
<td>6.70</td>
|
|
<td>6.76</td>
|
|
<td>6.29</td>
|
|
<td>7.23</td>
|
|
<td>6.70</td>
|
|
<td>6.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">22</th>
|
|
<td>6.98</td>
|
|
<td>7.01</td>
|
|
<td>6.55</td>
|
|
<td>7.38</td>
|
|
<td>6.87</td>
|
|
<td>6.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">23</th>
|
|
<td>7.32</td>
|
|
<td>7.25</td>
|
|
<td>6.74</td>
|
|
<td>7.60</td>
|
|
<td>7.01</td>
|
|
<td>6.63</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">24</th>
|
|
<td>7.60</td>
|
|
<td>7.44</td>
|
|
<td>6.97</td>
|
|
<td>7.86</td>
|
|
<td>7.36</td>
|
|
<td>6.68</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">25</th>
|
|
<td>7.82</td>
|
|
<td>7.64</td>
|
|
<td>7.30</td>
|
|
<td>8.13</td>
|
|
<td>7.54</td>
|
|
<td>6.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">26</th>
|
|
<td>8.15</td>
|
|
<td>7.92</td>
|
|
<td>7.52</td>
|
|
<td>8.37</td>
|
|
<td>7.75</td>
|
|
<td>7.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">27</th>
|
|
<td>8.43</td>
|
|
<td>8.21</td>
|
|
<td>7.74</td>
|
|
<td>8.66</td>
|
|
<td>7.93</td>
|
|
<td>7.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">28</th>
|
|
<td>8.68</td>
|
|
<td>8.39</td>
|
|
<td>8.01</td>
|
|
<td>8.92</td>
|
|
<td>8.11</td>
|
|
<td>7.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">29</th>
|
|
<td>8.93</td>
|
|
<td>8.76</td>
|
|
<td>8.29</td>
|
|
<td>9.19</td>
|
|
<td>8.43</td>
|
|
<td>7.49</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">30</th>
|
|
<td>9.14</td>
|
|
<td>9.12</td>
|
|
<td>8.48</td>
|
|
<td>9.52</td>
|
|
<td>8.57</td>
|
|
<td>7.56</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">31</th>
|
|
<td>9.37</td>
|
|
<td>9.32</td>
|
|
<td>8.73</td>
|
|
<td>9.77</td>
|
|
<td>8.86</td>
|
|
<td>7.62</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">32</th>
|
|
<td>9.62</td>
|
|
<td>9.62</td>
|
|
<td>8.94</td>
|
|
<td>10.02</td>
|
|
<td>9.12</td>
|
|
<td>7.70</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">33</th>
|
|
<td>9.95</td>
|
|
<td>9.84</td>
|
|
<td>9.16</td>
|
|
<td>10.31</td>
|
|
<td>9.23</td>
|
|
<td>7.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">34</th>
|
|
<td>10.08</td>
|
|
<td>10.04</td>
|
|
<td>9.34</td>
|
|
<td>10.60</td>
|
|
<td>9.34</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">35</th>
|
|
<td>10.33</td>
|
|
<td>10.17</td>
|
|
<td>9.53</td>
|
|
<td>10.90</td>
|
|
<td>9.72</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">36</th>
|
|
<td>10.54</td>
|
|
<td>10.34</td>
|
|
<td>9.75</td>
|
|
<td>11.29</td>
|
|
<td>9.91</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">37</th>
|
|
<td>10.80</td>
|
|
<td>10.41</td>
|
|
<td>9.97</td>
|
|
<td>11.63</td>
|
|
<td>10.06</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">38</th>
|
|
<td>11.07</td>
|
|
<td>10.57</td>
|
|
<td>10.20</td>
|
|
<td>12.05</td>
|
|
<td>10.14</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">39</th>
|
|
<td>11.23</td>
|
|
<td>10.73</td>
|
|
<td>10.46</td>
|
|
<td>12.23</td>
|
|
<td>10.24</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">40</th>
|
|
<td>11.39</td>
|
|
<td>10.96</td>
|
|
<td>10.77</td>
|
|
<td>12.44</td>
|
|
<td>10.51</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">41</th>
|
|
<td>11.58</td>
|
|
<td>11.19</td>
|
|
<td>11.01</td>
|
|
<td>12.51</td>
|
|
<td>10.63</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">42</th>
|
|
<td>11.78</td>
|
|
<td>11.38</td>
|
|
<td>11.22</td>
|
|
<td>12.70</td>
|
|
<td>10.77</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">43</th>
|
|
<td>11.95</td>
|
|
<td>11.59</td>
|
|
<td>11.45</td>
|
|
<td>12.94</td>
|
|
<td>10.86</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">44</th>
|
|
<td>12.08</td>
|
|
<td>11.74</td>
|
|
<td>11.62</td>
|
|
<td>13.06</td>
|
|
<td>10.86</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">45</th>
|
|
<td>12.36</td>
|
|
<td>12.01</td>
|
|
<td>11.88</td>
|
|
<td>13.27</td>
|
|
<td>10.86</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">46</th>
|
|
<td>12.51</td>
|
|
<td>12.16</td>
|
|
<td>12.06</td>
|
|
<td>13.44</td>
|
|
<td>11.08</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">47</th>
|
|
<td>12.70</td>
|
|
<td>12.37</td>
|
|
<td>12.21</td>
|
|
<td>13.57</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">48</th>
|
|
<td>12.88</td>
|
|
<td>12.52</td>
|
|
<td>12.42</td>
|
|
<td>13.74</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">49</th>
|
|
<td>13.15</td>
|
|
<td>12.72</td>
|
|
<td>12.64</td>
|
|
<td>13.91</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">50</th>
|
|
<td>13.30</td>
|
|
<td>12.95</td>
|
|
<td>12.83</td>
|
|
<td>13.99</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">51</th>
|
|
<td>13.53</td>
|
|
<td>13.27</td>
|
|
<td>13.03</td>
|
|
<td>14.17</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">52</th>
|
|
<td>13.69</td>
|
|
<td>13.47</td>
|
|
<td>13.23</td>
|
|
<td>14.26</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">53</th>
|
|
<td>13.92</td>
|
|
<td>13.85</td>
|
|
<td>13.40</td>
|
|
<td>14.40</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">54</th>
|
|
<td>14.20</td>
|
|
<td>14.05</td>
|
|
<td>13.59</td>
|
|
<td>14.49</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">55</th>
|
|
<td>14.46</td>
|
|
<td>14.23</td>
|
|
<td>13.76</td>
|
|
<td>14.58</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">56</th>
|
|
<td>14.61</td>
|
|
<td>14.46</td>
|
|
<td>13.88</td>
|
|
<td>14.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">57</th>
|
|
<td>14.80</td>
|
|
<td>14.67</td>
|
|
<td>14.04</td>
|
|
<td>14.79</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">58</th>
|
|
<td>14.95</td>
|
|
<td>14.81</td>
|
|
<td>14.18</td>
|
|
<td>14.84</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">59</th>
|
|
<td>15.13</td>
|
|
<td>15.03</td>
|
|
<td>14.38</td>
|
|
<td>14.99</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">60</th>
|
|
<td>15.32</td>
|
|
<td>15.23</td>
|
|
<td>14.55</td>
|
|
<td>15.14</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">61</th>
|
|
<td>15.55</td>
|
|
<td>15.49</td>
|
|
<td>14.64</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">62</th>
|
|
<td>15.72</td>
|
|
<td>15.56</td>
|
|
<td>14.75</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">63</th>
|
|
<td>15.94</td>
|
|
<td>15.72</td>
|
|
<td>14.91</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">64</th>
|
|
<td>16.22</td>
|
|
<td>15.94</td>
|
|
<td>15.02</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">65</th>
|
|
<td>16.47</td>
|
|
<td>16.08</td>
|
|
<td>15.21</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">66</th>
|
|
<td>16.65</td>
|
|
<td>16.20</td>
|
|
<td>15.31</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">67</th>
|
|
<td>16.76</td>
|
|
<td>16.31</td>
|
|
<td>15.46</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">68</th>
|
|
<td>16.95</td>
|
|
<td>16.47</td>
|
|
<td>15.60</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">69</th>
|
|
<td>17.07</td>
|
|
<td>16.56</td>
|
|
<td>15.70</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">70</th>
|
|
<td>17.24</td>
|
|
<td>16.70</td>
|
|
<td>15.83</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">71</th>
|
|
<td>17.43</td>
|
|
<td>16.79</td>
|
|
<td>15.93</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">72</th>
|
|
<td>17.59</td>
|
|
<td>16.99</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">73</th>
|
|
<td>17.80</td>
|
|
<td>17.09</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">74</th>
|
|
<td>17.96</td>
|
|
<td>17.23</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">75</th>
|
|
<td>18.17</td>
|
|
<td>17.34</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">76</th>
|
|
<td>18.32</td>
|
|
<td>17.43</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">77</th>
|
|
<td>18.46</td>
|
|
<td>17.60</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">78</th>
|
|
<td>18.63</td>
|
|
<td>17.83</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">79</th>
|
|
<td>18.74</td>
|
|
<td>17.94</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">80</th>
|
|
<td>18.89</td>
|
|
<td>18.12</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">81</th>
|
|
<td>19.09</td>
|
|
<td>18.28</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">82</th>
|
|
<td>19.15</td>
|
|
<td>18.28</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">83</th>
|
|
<td>19.19</td>
|
|
<td>18.28</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">84</th>
|
|
<td>19.35</td>
|
|
<td>18.53</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">85</th>
|
|
<td>19.52</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">86</th>
|
|
<td>19.62</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">87</th>
|
|
<td>19.73</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">88</th>
|
|
<td>19.87</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">89</th>
|
|
<td>19.89</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">90</th>
|
|
<td>19.95</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">91</th>
|
|
<td>20.01</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">92</th>
|
|
<td>20.09</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">93</th>
|
|
<td>20.14</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">94</th>
|
|
<td>20.42</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">95</th>
|
|
<td>20.42</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">96</th>
|
|
<td>20.42</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="noNotes" colspan="7"> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="firstNote">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</div>
|
|
<div class="lastNote">NOTE: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="chartCenter">
|
|
<div class="chart700" id="chart4">
|
|
<div class="title">Chart 4.<br>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients who successfully reapplied to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> year</div>
|
|
<div class="scrollChart"><img src="v73n2p1-chart04.gif" alt="Line chart with tabular version below." width="700" height="275" /></div>
|
|
<div class="table altTable"><a class="altToggle" href="">Show as table</a>
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table equivalent for Chart 4. </span>Estimated percentage of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients who successfully reapplied to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after their <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> year</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stubHeading" scope="col">Months after <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2003</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2004</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2005</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2006</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2007</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">2008</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">1</th>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">2</th>
|
|
<td>0.42</td>
|
|
<td>0.68</td>
|
|
<td>0.37</td>
|
|
<td>0.44</td>
|
|
<td>0.88</td>
|
|
<td>0.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">3</th>
|
|
<td>0.92</td>
|
|
<td>1.23</td>
|
|
<td>0.98</td>
|
|
<td>0.97</td>
|
|
<td>1.33</td>
|
|
<td>0.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">4</th>
|
|
<td>1.69</td>
|
|
<td>2.10</td>
|
|
<td>1.68</td>
|
|
<td>2.21</td>
|
|
<td>2.36</td>
|
|
<td>1.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">5</th>
|
|
<td>2.54</td>
|
|
<td>3.02</td>
|
|
<td>2.37</td>
|
|
<td>3.45</td>
|
|
<td>2.95</td>
|
|
<td>2.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">6</th>
|
|
<td>3.22</td>
|
|
<td>3.96</td>
|
|
<td>3.42</td>
|
|
<td>3.98</td>
|
|
<td>3.54</td>
|
|
<td>3.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">7</th>
|
|
<td>3.96</td>
|
|
<td>4.59</td>
|
|
<td>4.12</td>
|
|
<td>4.87</td>
|
|
<td>4.42</td>
|
|
<td>3.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">8</th>
|
|
<td>4.62</td>
|
|
<td>5.20</td>
|
|
<td>4.87</td>
|
|
<td>5.49</td>
|
|
<td>4.87</td>
|
|
<td>4.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">9</th>
|
|
<td>5.28</td>
|
|
<td>5.80</td>
|
|
<td>5.36</td>
|
|
<td>6.37</td>
|
|
<td>5.60</td>
|
|
<td>5.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">10</th>
|
|
<td>5.94</td>
|
|
<td>6.24</td>
|
|
<td>5.87</td>
|
|
<td>7.35</td>
|
|
<td>6.79</td>
|
|
<td>6.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">11</th>
|
|
<td>6.45</td>
|
|
<td>6.88</td>
|
|
<td>6.61</td>
|
|
<td>7.53</td>
|
|
<td>7.25</td>
|
|
<td>6.82</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">12</th>
|
|
<td>7.07</td>
|
|
<td>7.34</td>
|
|
<td>7.13</td>
|
|
<td>8.06</td>
|
|
<td>7.55</td>
|
|
<td>7.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">13</th>
|
|
<td>7.64</td>
|
|
<td>8.04</td>
|
|
<td>7.50</td>
|
|
<td>8.59</td>
|
|
<td>8.00</td>
|
|
<td>7.58</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">14</th>
|
|
<td>8.22</td>
|
|
<td>8.52</td>
|
|
<td>7.92</td>
|
|
<td>8.86</td>
|
|
<td>8.62</td>
|
|
<td>8.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">15</th>
|
|
<td>8.88</td>
|
|
<td>9.19</td>
|
|
<td>8.62</td>
|
|
<td>9.31</td>
|
|
<td>9.71</td>
|
|
<td>9.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">16</th>
|
|
<td>9.40</td>
|
|
<td>9.78</td>
|
|
<td>9.07</td>
|
|
<td>9.76</td>
|
|
<td>10.34</td>
|
|
<td>9.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">17</th>
|
|
<td>9.94</td>
|
|
<td>10.36</td>
|
|
<td>9.63</td>
|
|
<td>10.65</td>
|
|
<td>10.97</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">18</th>
|
|
<td>10.47</td>
|
|
<td>10.80</td>
|
|
<td>10.10</td>
|
|
<td>11.19</td>
|
|
<td>10.17</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">19</th>
|
|
<td>10.82</td>
|
|
<td>11.17</td>
|
|
<td>10.43</td>
|
|
<td>11.46</td>
|
|
<td>11.61</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">20</th>
|
|
<td>11.28</td>
|
|
<td>11.53</td>
|
|
<td>10.83</td>
|
|
<td>11.56</td>
|
|
<td>11.78</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">21</th>
|
|
<td>11.63</td>
|
|
<td>11.87</td>
|
|
<td>11.18</td>
|
|
<td>11.92</td>
|
|
<td>13.26</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">22</th>
|
|
<td>11.97</td>
|
|
<td>12.34</td>
|
|
<td>11.49</td>
|
|
<td>12.47</td>
|
|
<td>13.92</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">23</th>
|
|
<td>12.21</td>
|
|
<td>12.75</td>
|
|
<td>11.89</td>
|
|
<td>12.66</td>
|
|
<td>14.09</td>
|
|
<td>9.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">24</th>
|
|
<td>12.54</td>
|
|
<td>13.10</td>
|
|
<td>12.37</td>
|
|
<td>12.75</td>
|
|
<td>14.43</td>
|
|
<td>11.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">25</th>
|
|
<td>12.93</td>
|
|
<td>13.44</td>
|
|
<td>12.75</td>
|
|
<td>12.94</td>
|
|
<td>14.77</td>
|
|
<td>11.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">26</th>
|
|
<td>13.17</td>
|
|
<td>13.81</td>
|
|
<td>13.10</td>
|
|
<td>13.22</td>
|
|
<td>15.29</td>
|
|
<td>11.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">27</th>
|
|
<td>13.57</td>
|
|
<td>14.12</td>
|
|
<td>13.56</td>
|
|
<td>13.32</td>
|
|
<td>15.98</td>
|
|
<td>11.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">28</th>
|
|
<td>13.92</td>
|
|
<td>14.53</td>
|
|
<td>13.85</td>
|
|
<td>13.70</td>
|
|
<td>16.33</td>
|
|
<td>12.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">29</th>
|
|
<td>14.34</td>
|
|
<td>14.82</td>
|
|
<td>14.33</td>
|
|
<td>13.99</td>
|
|
<td>16.69</td>
|
|
<td>13.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">30</th>
|
|
<td>14.62</td>
|
|
<td>15.18</td>
|
|
<td>14.59</td>
|
|
<td>14.58</td>
|
|
<td>17.23</td>
|
|
<td>13.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">31</th>
|
|
<td>14.96</td>
|
|
<td>15.45</td>
|
|
<td>14.88</td>
|
|
<td>15.17</td>
|
|
<td>17.59</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">32</th>
|
|
<td>15.24</td>
|
|
<td>15.72</td>
|
|
<td>15.20</td>
|
|
<td>15.37</td>
|
|
<td>17.96</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">33</th>
|
|
<td>15.63</td>
|
|
<td>16.10</td>
|
|
<td>15.35</td>
|
|
<td>15.77</td>
|
|
<td>18.33</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">34</th>
|
|
<td>15.97</td>
|
|
<td>16.44</td>
|
|
<td>15.79</td>
|
|
<td>15.87</td>
|
|
<td>18.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">35</th>
|
|
<td>16.37</td>
|
|
<td>16.80</td>
|
|
<td>16.16</td>
|
|
<td>16.07</td>
|
|
<td>19.09</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">36</th>
|
|
<td>16.69</td>
|
|
<td>17.18</td>
|
|
<td>16.41</td>
|
|
<td>16.17</td>
|
|
<td>19.47</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">37</th>
|
|
<td>16.98</td>
|
|
<td>17.45</td>
|
|
<td>16.79</td>
|
|
<td>16.27</td>
|
|
<td>19.47</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">38</th>
|
|
<td>17.29</td>
|
|
<td>17.81</td>
|
|
<td>17.27</td>
|
|
<td>16.58</td>
|
|
<td>19.47</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">39</th>
|
|
<td>17.71</td>
|
|
<td>18.04</td>
|
|
<td>17.67</td>
|
|
<td>16.58</td>
|
|
<td>19.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">40</th>
|
|
<td>18.07</td>
|
|
<td>18.41</td>
|
|
<td>18.06</td>
|
|
<td>16.58</td>
|
|
<td>19.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">41</th>
|
|
<td>18.41</td>
|
|
<td>18.60</td>
|
|
<td>18.31</td>
|
|
<td>16.79</td>
|
|
<td>19.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">42</th>
|
|
<td>18.66</td>
|
|
<td>18.80</td>
|
|
<td>18.49</td>
|
|
<td>17.33</td>
|
|
<td>19.71</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">43</th>
|
|
<td>19.00</td>
|
|
<td>19.13</td>
|
|
<td>18.75</td>
|
|
<td>17.65</td>
|
|
<td>20.54</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">44</th>
|
|
<td>19.32</td>
|
|
<td>19.48</td>
|
|
<td>19.04</td>
|
|
<td>17.65</td>
|
|
<td>20.54</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">45</th>
|
|
<td>19.49</td>
|
|
<td>19.66</td>
|
|
<td>19.46</td>
|
|
<td>17.98</td>
|
|
<td>21.26</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">46</th>
|
|
<td>19.68</td>
|
|
<td>19.96</td>
|
|
<td>19.70</td>
|
|
<td>18.31</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">47</th>
|
|
<td>19.94</td>
|
|
<td>20.33</td>
|
|
<td>19.99</td>
|
|
<td>18.54</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">48</th>
|
|
<td>20.26</td>
|
|
<td>20.70</td>
|
|
<td>20.21</td>
|
|
<td>18.76</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">49</th>
|
|
<td>20.55</td>
|
|
<td>20.99</td>
|
|
<td>20.66</td>
|
|
<td>19.11</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">50</th>
|
|
<td>20.76</td>
|
|
<td>21.18</td>
|
|
<td>20.93</td>
|
|
<td>19.22</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">51</th>
|
|
<td>21.10</td>
|
|
<td>21.41</td>
|
|
<td>21.13</td>
|
|
<td>19.59</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">52</th>
|
|
<td>21.33</td>
|
|
<td>21.67</td>
|
|
<td>21.48</td>
|
|
<td>19.98</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">53</th>
|
|
<td>21.62</td>
|
|
<td>21.98</td>
|
|
<td>21.65</td>
|
|
<td>19.98</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">54</th>
|
|
<td>21.89</td>
|
|
<td>22.25</td>
|
|
<td>22.04</td>
|
|
<td>20.12</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">55</th>
|
|
<td>22.05</td>
|
|
<td>22.63</td>
|
|
<td>22.35</td>
|
|
<td>20.12</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">56</th>
|
|
<td>22.28</td>
|
|
<td>22.98</td>
|
|
<td>22.55</td>
|
|
<td>20.12</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">57</th>
|
|
<td>22.67</td>
|
|
<td>23.17</td>
|
|
<td>22.75</td>
|
|
<td>20.31</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">58</th>
|
|
<td>22.89</td>
|
|
<td>23.44</td>
|
|
<td>23.01</td>
|
|
<td>20.79</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">59</th>
|
|
<td>23.10</td>
|
|
<td>23.77</td>
|
|
<td>23.19</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">60</th>
|
|
<td>23.34</td>
|
|
<td>23.95</td>
|
|
<td>23.37</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">61</th>
|
|
<td>23.67</td>
|
|
<td>24.13</td>
|
|
<td>23.43</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">62</th>
|
|
<td>23.89</td>
|
|
<td>24.26</td>
|
|
<td>23.49</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">63</th>
|
|
<td>24.14</td>
|
|
<td>24.56</td>
|
|
<td>23.70</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">64</th>
|
|
<td>24.37</td>
|
|
<td>24.73</td>
|
|
<td>24.03</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">65</th>
|
|
<td>24.57</td>
|
|
<td>24.95</td>
|
|
<td>24.11</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">66</th>
|
|
<td>24.71</td>
|
|
<td>25.26</td>
|
|
<td>24.20</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">67</th>
|
|
<td>24.92</td>
|
|
<td>25.53</td>
|
|
<td>24.35</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">68</th>
|
|
<td>25.17</td>
|
|
<td>25.63</td>
|
|
<td>24.35</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">69</th>
|
|
<td>25.41</td>
|
|
<td>25.76</td>
|
|
<td>24.35</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">70</th>
|
|
<td>25.77</td>
|
|
<td>25.86</td>
|
|
<td>24.45</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">71</th>
|
|
<td>25.95</td>
|
|
<td>26.04</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">72</th>
|
|
<td>26.13</td>
|
|
<td>26.24</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">73</th>
|
|
<td>26.32</td>
|
|
<td>26.35</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">74</th>
|
|
<td>26.54</td>
|
|
<td>26.55</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">75</th>
|
|
<td>26.78</td>
|
|
<td>26.73</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">76</th>
|
|
<td>27.01</td>
|
|
<td>26.95</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">77</th>
|
|
<td>27.23</td>
|
|
<td>26.98</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">78</th>
|
|
<td>27.45</td>
|
|
<td>27.20</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">79</th>
|
|
<td>27.62</td>
|
|
<td>27.33</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">80</th>
|
|
<td>27.81</td>
|
|
<td>27.40</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">81</th>
|
|
<td>28.00</td>
|
|
<td>27.49</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">82</th>
|
|
<td>28.10</td>
|
|
<td>27.55</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">83</th>
|
|
<td>28.34</td>
|
|
<td>27.84</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">84</th>
|
|
<td>28.47</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">85</th>
|
|
<td>28.62</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">86</th>
|
|
<td>28.73</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">87</th>
|
|
<td>28.81</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">88</th>
|
|
<td>28.98</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">89</th>
|
|
<td>29.03</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">90</th>
|
|
<td>29.20</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">91</th>
|
|
<td>29.29</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">92</th>
|
|
<td>29.40</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">93</th>
|
|
<td>29.58</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">94</th>
|
|
<td>29.64</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">95</th>
|
|
<td>30.00</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="row">96</th>
|
|
<td>30.00</td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="noNotes" colspan="7"> </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="firstNote">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</div>
|
|
<div class="lastNote">NOTE: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>For both programs, there is substantial overlap of the cohort-year estimates over time—program return is fairly similar in every followup month for each yearly cohort. However, for former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, there is some evidence of a downward shift—the curves are somewhat flatter in successive cohorts. We compared the <span class="nobr">95-percent</span> confidence intervals of the 2003 and 2008 cohorts, the earliest and latest in our sample, to determine the extent of that trend. The confidence intervals for those two cohorts overlap for all but the last 3 months of their common followup time (not shown in the charts). The difference between those two cohorts at the end of the common followup period is about 2 percentage points, but over the first year and a half they are virtually identical.<sup><a href="#mn34" id="mt34">34</a></sup></p>
|
|
<p>That finding may result from a tightening of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> funding over the period—inflation-adjusted <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> funding decreased from about $659 million in fiscal year 2003 to just over $300 million in fiscal year 2008.<sup><a href="#mn35" id="mt35">35</a></sup> With the drop in funding, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> reduced the number of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s (for both <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>) by about 400,000. Combined with the improved profiling models used during the period, the fewer <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s were increasingly targeted to individuals less likely to qualify for benefits and arguably less likely to return to the program. Following the later cohorts for longer periods will help determine whether this is a long-standing result or an inconsequential blip in the data.<sup><a href="#mn36" id="mt36">36</a></sup></p>
|
|
<p>Based on a comparison of the confidence intervals, a similar trend does not appear among former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, which may be due to the smaller populations with ceased <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> eligibility in each year (down to just over 400 in 2008; the confidence intervals overlap for all years). Plots of cross-program participation and former concurrent beneficiary returns show trends similar to those for same-program returns (not shown).</p>
|
|
<p>For the Cox regressions, recall that stratification imposes identical hazard ratio estimates on each yearly stratum. To obtain yearly estimates, we also ran proportional hazard regressions for each yearly cohort to reveal any systematic changes in the estimated hazard ratios over time. Table 4 presents year-specific Cox regressions of same-program return (Appendix <a href="#tableD1">Table <span class="nobr">D-1</span></a> presents standard errors). For the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only population, we show regressions for the 2003 and 2008 cohorts. For the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only population we show regressions for the 2003 cohort and, because the 2008 cohort is small, a pooled 2007/2008 cohort. We limit the regressions to the maximum followup period for the 2008 cohort (36 months, counting the month of eligibility cessation as month 1). As in the prior regressions, we continue to stratify by state, sex, and race, and allow for time-varying effects of variables that do not pass proportional hazards tests. Additionally, some variable categories needed to be combined because of small sample sizes; thus, the yearly models differ from those for pooled regressions.</p>
|
|
<div class="table" id="table4">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table 4. </span>Proportional hazard regression results (hazard ratios) of time to first successful reapplication to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 3 years of a 2003 or 2008 <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by selected beneficiary characteristics</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="4" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, returned to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> within 3 years of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> in—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, returned to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 3 years of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> in—</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c4" headers="c2">2003</th>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">2008</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c3">2003</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3">2007/2008 <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th class="panel" colspan="4" id="r1">Aggregate effects</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="r1 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r1 r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c4">0.91</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c5">1.50</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c6">1.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c7">0.97</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r1 r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c4">1.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c5">1.04</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c6">1.11*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c7">0.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r1 r2 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="r1 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r1 r6 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r1 r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c4">0.93</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c5">0.62</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c6">1.03</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c7">0.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r1 r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c4">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c5">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c6">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c7">0.79</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r1 r10 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c4">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c5">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c6">1.28***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c7">0.67</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c4">1.68***</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c5">2.11*</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c6">1.81***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c7">0.74</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c4">2.13***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c5">3.27***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c6">2.01***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c7">1.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="r1 c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c4">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c5">1.13</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 6 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r1 r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c4">0.95</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c5">0.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c6">0.88***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c7">0.77</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r20" headers="r1 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r21" headers="r1 r20 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r21 c2 c4">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r21 c2 c5">0.69</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r21 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r21 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r1 r20 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r22 c2 c4">1.58*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r22 c2 c5">2.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r22 c3 c6">1.22***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r22 c3 c7">1.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r1 r20 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c2 c4">1.86***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r23 c2 c5">1.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c3 c6"><sup>d </sup>1.17***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c3 c7"><sup>d</sup> 0.91***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r1 r20 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r24 c2 c4">1.16</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r24 c2 c5">0.86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c3 c6"><sup>d </sup>1.17***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c3 c7"><sup>d</sup> 0.91***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r1 r20 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r26" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r26 c2 c4">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r26 c2 c5">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r26 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r26 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Nervous system and sense organs</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c2 c4">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c2 c5">0.66</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c3 c6">0.92</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c3 c7">0.84</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c2 c4">1.46***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c2 c5">1.58</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c2 c4">1.03</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c2 c5">1.55</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c2 c4">0.80</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c2 c5">0.38</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r31 c2 c4">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r31 c2 c5">b</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r31 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r31 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r33" headers="r1 r20 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r1 r20 r33 c2 c4">0.77**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r33 c2 c5">0.94</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r33 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r33 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r1 r20 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r34 c2 c4">0.88</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r34 c2 c5">0.74</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r34 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r34 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r1 r20 c1">Unknown <sup>e</sup></th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r35 c2 c4">0.88</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r35 c2 c5">1.55</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r35 c3 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r20 r35 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r36" headers="r1 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r37" headers="r1 r36 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r37 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r37 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r37 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r37 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r1 r36 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r38 c2 c4">1.08</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r38 c2 c5">0.75</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r38 c3 c6">1.11*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r36 r38 c3 c7">0.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r39" headers="r1 c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r40" headers="r1 r39 c1">Initial application (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r40 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r40 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r40 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r40 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r1 r39 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r41 c2 c4">1.02</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r41 c2 c5">0.62</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r41 c3 c6">0.97</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r41 c3 c7">0.76</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r1 r39 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r42 c2 c4">0.92</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r42 c2 c5">1.09</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r42 c3 c6">1.06</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r42 c3 c7">0.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r1 r39 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r43 c2 c4">0.90</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r43 c2 c5">1.52</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r43 c3 c6">0.94</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r39 r43 c3 c7">0.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r44" headers="r1 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r45" headers="r1 r44 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r44 r45 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r44 r45 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r44 r45 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r44 r45 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r1 r44 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c2 c4">0.37***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c2 c5">0.12***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c3 c6">0.65***</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c3 c7">0.48***</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r47" headers="r1 c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r48" headers="r1 r47 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r48 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r48 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r48 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r48 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r1 r47 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r49 c2 c4">0.98</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r49 c2 c5">0.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r49 c3 c6">0.89***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r47 r49 c3 c7">0.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r50" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r51" headers="r1 r50 c1">Younger than 18 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r51 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r51 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r51 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r51 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r1 r50 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r52 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r52 c3 c6">1.04</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r50 r52 c3 c7">1.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r53" headers="r1 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r54" headers="r1 r53 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r54 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r54 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r54 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r54 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r1 r53 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r55 c2 c4">1.27***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r55 c2 c5">1.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r55 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r55 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r1 r53 c1">Lowest or second (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r56 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r56 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r56 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r56 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r1 r53 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r57 c2 c4">1.07</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r57 c2 c5">0.84</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r57 c3 c6">0.98</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r57 c3 c7">1.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r1 r53 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r58 c2 c4">0.87</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r58 c2 c5">0.78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r58 c3 c6">0.86***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r1 r53 r58 c3 c7">0.95</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th colspan="4" class="panel" id="r59">Time-varying effects</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r60" headers="r59 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r61" headers="r59 r60 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r61 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r61 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r61 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r61 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r62" headers="r59 r60 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r63" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c2 c4">0.68*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c2 c5">0.70</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r64" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c2 c4">1.07</td>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c2 c5">0.41*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r65" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c2 c4">1.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c2 c5">0.14***</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r66" headers="r59 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r67" headers="r59 r66 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r67 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r67 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r67 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r67 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r68" headers="r59 r66 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r69" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c2 c4">1.05</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c2 c5">0.87</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r70" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c2 c4">1.28</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c2 c5">1.39</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r71" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c2 c4">1.10</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c2 c5">2.54</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r72" headers="r59 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r73" headers="r59 r72 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r74" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r75" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align2asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c2 c4">0.28*</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c2 c5">2.84</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r76" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c2 c4">1.33</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c2 c5">0.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r77" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c2 c4">1.53**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c2 c5">0.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r78" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r79" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c2 c4">1.14</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c2 c5">1.03</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r80" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c2 c4">1.32</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c2 c5">2.00</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r81" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c2 c4">1.98***</td>
|
|
<td class="align1asterisk" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c2 c5">6.17**</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c3 c6">f</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c3 c7">f</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r82" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr class="shaded">
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r83" headers="r59 c1">Observations</th>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r83 c2 c4">21,671</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r83 c2 c5">6,061</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r83 c3 c6">9,888</td>
|
|
<td class="align3asterisks" headers="r59 r83 c3 c7">1,091</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="5">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">NOTES: Covers cases with cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in 2003 or 2008 (and, for former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, 2007), and followed through 2010.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">* = statistically significant at the 0.1 level.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">** = statistically significant at the 0.05 level.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">*** = statistically significant at the 0.01 level.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">a. Data for 2007 and 2008 are pooled because of the small <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only sample size for 2008.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">b. Included as a time-varying effect because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> did not satisfy the proportionality assumption. See lower panel.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">c. Sample size too small to permit statistically meaningful estimates.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">d. Categories were pooled to provide a sample large enough to permit statistically meaningful estimates.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">e. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="5">f. No time-varying Cox regression was calculated because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> shown in the upper panel satisfied the proportionality assumption.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<p>Some hazard ratios change in magnitude and for others the direction of the risk of return changes. The only effect that is statistically significant and consistent across target populations for both years is the decreased risk of returning for those who have had a prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>. We also see an increased risk of return for individuals who are older (with the exception of the 2007/2008 <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> regression). In general, few hazard ratios are statistically significant at commonly accepted levels and even fewer are significant in the 2008 and 2007/2008 regressions. However, this is likely due to small sample sizes, leaving us unable to determine the extent to which the hazard ratios have changed over time.</p>
|
|
<h2>Conclusion</h2>
|
|
<p>In this article, we provide data to address the question: Do individuals who lose disability benefits because of medical improvement return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>? We estimate that for adults whose program eligibility ceased because of medical improvement, 30 percent of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients and 22 percent of former concurrent workers will return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years. We estimate that about 20 percent of former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers and about 21 percent of former concurrent workers will return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> within 8 years of the cessation decision.</p>
|
|
<p>Our empirical models use several variables that are also used by <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> in the profiling model that predicts the likelihood of medical recovery and therefore determines who receives a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>. Thus, the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score is highly significant in our empirical models for former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers and, to some extent, for former concurrent workers who return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. In our view, that result demonstrates the usefulness of the profiling model not just for determining who is likely to improve medically at the time of the <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>, but also who is likely to stay off the program in the future.</p>
|
|
<p>If funding restricts the number of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s to less-than-optimal levels, then some individuals whose eligibility could have ceased will instead continue receiving benefits. Against that scenario, increasing the number of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s would likely increase overall savings. However, the program return rate for individuals receiving those additional <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s could exceed that for individuals undergoing current (restricted-level) <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s within a particular type of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> (for example, <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> worker, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> adult, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> child); in that case, the cost/savings ratio would decline. To understand why, consider that beneficiaries whose eligibility ceases are among the least likely to have a severe disability. Thus, if the number of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s within a particular category were to increase above current restricted levels, then beneficiaries losing eligibility in <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s they otherwise would not receive are likely to have somewhat more severe disabilities, and be somewhat more likely to return to the program, than those losing eligibility in current-level <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s. Consequently, an increase in certain <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s could lead to a higher program return rate within that category, thereby decreasing the savings per dollar spent even though overall program savings would still increase. It is important to reiterate that savings per dollar spent is highly dependent on the composition of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> types as well as assumptions regarding interest rates and cost-of-living adjustments. </p>
|
|
<p>By limiting our analysis to <span class="nobr">post-<abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr></span> outcomes before age 62, our results likely describe a lower bound on program return. Individuals may be eligible for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> based on their disability (and income and resources) until they reach age 65; thereafter, the disability requirement no longer applies. Similarly, individuals can receive <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits until they reach their full retirement age. Eligibility at those older ages may be amplified by worsening health. Thus, some individuals in our target population may still return to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> after what we termed early retirement; however, relatively few people reach age 62 during our observation period, so the effect of those sample restrictions on our estimates may be of little import.</p>
|
|
<p>One broader concern not considered in this article is the general health of individuals whose disability program participation ceases because they have medically improved to the point where they no longer meet <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s eligibility requirements. Such individuals may still have substantial disabilities and limitations. We also cannot tell if those who return to the programs do so because their original disability worsens, or if they reapply because of a new disabling condition.<sup><a href="#mn37" id="mt37">37</a></sup></p>
|
|
<p>This article focused on a program-integrity aspect of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s. Although most formerly eligible individuals remain off the program, we did not consider their economic situation. Future research should examine the extent to which formerly eligible beneficiaries and recipients reenter the labor force. The availability of employment opportunities likely affects program return. Additionally, further exploration of income (especially at the family level) and use of other programs (for example, vocational rehabilitation) for formerly eligible beneficiaries may also shed more light on why some individuals return to the program and others do not.</p>
|
|
<h2>Appendices</h2>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableA1">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table A-1. </span>Sample sizes and selection procedures</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:6em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:6em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:6em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Restriction</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Concurrent workers</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Number</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Percent</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Number</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Percent</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Number</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Percent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall file extract (<span class="nobr">2003–2008</span>)</th>
|
|
<td>598,728</td>
|
|
<td>100.00</td>
|
|
<td>571,003</td>
|
|
<td>100.00</td>
|
|
<td>320,412</td>
|
|
<td>100.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup">Individuals removed from sample</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile sample or expedited reinstatement cases<sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td>111,234</td>
|
|
<td>18.58</td>
|
|
<td>96,617</td>
|
|
<td>16.92</td>
|
|
<td>46,394</td>
|
|
<td>14.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision is missing or precedes initial <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision </th>
|
|
<td>37</td>
|
|
<td>0.01</td>
|
|
<td>37</td>
|
|
<td>0.01</td>
|
|
<td>31</td>
|
|
<td>0.01</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Died before final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td>1,005</td>
|
|
<td>0.17</td>
|
|
<td>798</td>
|
|
<td>0.14</td>
|
|
<td>445</td>
|
|
<td>0.14</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Awaiting appeal decision or still has time to appeal</th>
|
|
<td>682</td>
|
|
<td>0.11</td>
|
|
<td>163</td>
|
|
<td>0.03</td>
|
|
<td>479</td>
|
|
<td>0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Reached aged 60 before initial <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision or age 62 before final <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td>11,071</td>
|
|
<td>1.85</td>
|
|
<td>12,703</td>
|
|
<td>2.22</td>
|
|
<td>2,748</td>
|
|
<td>0.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Eligibility did not cease or <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score is missing</th>
|
|
<td>441,323</td>
|
|
<td>73.71</td>
|
|
<td>436,171</td>
|
|
<td>76.39</td>
|
|
<td>252,573</td>
|
|
<td>78.83</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup">Final sample size</th>
|
|
<td>33,376</td>
|
|
<td>5.57</td>
|
|
<td>24,514</td>
|
|
<td>4.29</td>
|
|
<td>17,742</td>
|
|
<td>5.54</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTE: Rounded components of percentage distributions do not necessarily sum to 100.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Expedited reinstatement cases are actually <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s for individuals who have had their benefits ceased and are filing for benefits through an expedited process under which they must undergo a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> to have benefits reinstated. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableB1">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table B-1. </span>Descriptive characteristics of adult <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers whose <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s resulted in eligibility cessation, 2003 and 2008</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">2003</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">2008</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">Number</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3">Number </th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4">Percentage points</th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4">Percent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r1" headers="c1">Total</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c5">7,582</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c6">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c7">2,222</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c8">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c5">264</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c6">3.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c7">139</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c8">6.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c9">2.78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c10">79.89</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c5">5,142</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c6">67.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c7">1,652</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c8">74.35</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c9">6.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c10">9.63</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r2 c1">Expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c5">2,176</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c6">28.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c7">431</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c8">19.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c9">-9.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c10">-32.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r6 c1">Low</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c5">553</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c6">7.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c7">173</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c8">7.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c9">0.50</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c10">6.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c5">950</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c6">12.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c7">601</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c8">27.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c9">14.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c10">115.88</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c5">6,079</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c6">80.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c7">1,448</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c8">65.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c9">-15.01</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c10">-18.72</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r10 c1">Younger than 30</th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c5">679</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c6">8.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c7">153</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c8">6.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c9">-2.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c10">-23.10</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c5">2,483</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c6">32.75</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c7">660</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c8">29.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c9">-3.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c10">-9.31</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c5">3,216</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c6">42.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c7">971</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c8">43.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c9">1.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c10">3.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c5">1,204</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c6">15.88</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c7">438</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c8">19.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c9">3.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c10">24.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c5">87</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c6">1.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c5">2,552</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c6">33.66</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c7">187</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c8">8.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c9">-25.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c10">-74.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c5">2,169</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c6">28.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c7">573</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c8">25.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c9">-2.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c10">-9.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c5">2,774</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c6">36.59</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c7">1,462</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c8">65.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c9">29.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c10">79.83</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r20" headers="c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r21" headers="r20 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c2 c5">913</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c2 c6">12.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c3 c7">208</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c3 c8">9.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c4 c9">-2.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c4 c10">-22.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r20 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c2 c5">95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c2 c6">1.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c3 c7">36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c3 c8">1.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c4 c9">0.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c4 c10">29.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r20 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c2 c5">401</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c2 c6">5.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c3 c7">168</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c3 c8">7.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c4 c9">2.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c4 c10">42.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r20 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c2 c5">2,117</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c2 c6">27.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c3 c7">725</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c3 c8">32.63</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c4 c9">4.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c4 c10">16.87</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r20 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r26" headers="r20 r25 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c2 c5">183</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c2 c6">2.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c3 c7">32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c3 c8">1.44</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c4 c9">-0.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c4 c10">-40.25</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r20 r25 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c2 c5">424</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c2 c6">5.59</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c3 c7">118</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c3 c8">5.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c4 c9">-0.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c4 c10">-5.01</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r20 r25 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c2 c5">304</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c2 c6">4.01</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c3 c7">98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c3 c8">4.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c4 c9">0.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c4 c10">9.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r20 r25 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c2 c5">116</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c2 c6">1.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c3 c7">40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c3 c8">1.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c4 c9">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c4 c10">17.65</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r20 r25 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c2 c5">360</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c2 c6">4.75</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c3 c7">85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c3 c8">3.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c4 c9">-0.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c4 c10">-19.37</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r20 r25 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c2 c5">407</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c2 c6">5.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c3 c7">132</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c3 c8">5.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c4 c9">0.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c4 c10">10.61</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r20 r25 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c2 c5">1,121</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c2 c6">14.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c3 c7">369</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c3 c8">16.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c4 c9">1.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c4 c10">12.31</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r33" headers="r20 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c2 c5">820</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c2 c6">10.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c3 c7">130</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c3 c8">5.85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c4 c9">-4.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c4 c10">-45.93</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r20 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c2 c5">142</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c2 c6">1.87</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c3 c7">43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c3 c8">1.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c4 c9">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c4 c10">3.74</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r20 c1">Unknown <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c2 c5">179</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c2 c6">2.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c3 c7">38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c3 c8">1.71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c4 c9">-0.65</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c4 c10">-27.54</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r36" headers="c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r37" headers="r36 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c2 c5">6,358</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c2 c6">83.86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c3 c7">952</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c3 c8">42.84</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c4 c9">-41.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c4 c10">-48.91</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r36 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c2 c5">1,224</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c2 c6">16.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c3 c7">1,270</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c3 c8">57.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c4 c9">41.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c4 c10">254.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r39" headers="c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r40" headers="r39 c1">Initial application</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c2 c5">311</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c2 c6">4.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c3 c7">47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c3 c8">2.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c4 c9">-1.98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c4 c10">-48.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r39 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c2 c5">4,815</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c2 c6">63.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c3 c7">1,394</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c3 c8">62.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c4 c9">-0.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c4 c10">-1.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r39 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c2 c5">758</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c2 c6">10.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c3 c7">227</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c3 c8">10.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c4 c9">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c4 c10">2.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r39 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c2 c5">1,698</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c2 c6">22.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c3 c7">554</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c3 c8">24.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c4 c9">2.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c4 c10">11.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r44" headers="c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r45" headers="r44 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c2 c5">6,150</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c2 c6">81.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c3 c7">1,626</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c3 c8">73.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c4 c9">-7.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c4 c10">-9.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r44 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c2 c5">1,432</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c2 c6">18.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c3 c7">596</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c3 c8">26.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c4 c9">7.93</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c4 c10">41.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r47" headers="c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r48" headers="r47 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c2 c5">4,396</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c2 c6">57.98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c3 c7">1,082</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c3 c8">48.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c4 c9">-9.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c4 c10">-16.02</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r47 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c2 c5">3,186</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c2 c6">42.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c3 c7">1,140</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c3 c8">51.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c4 c9">9.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c4 c10">22.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r50" headers="c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r51" headers="r50 c1">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c2 c5">1,899</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c2 c6">25.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c3 c7">607</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c3 c8">27.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c4 c9">2.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c4 c10">9.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r50 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c2 c5">1,952</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c2 c6">25.75</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c3 c7">592</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c3 c8">26.64</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c4 c9">0.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c4 c10">3.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r50 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c2 c5">1,865</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c2 c6">24.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c3 c7">545</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c3 c8">24.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c4 c9">-0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c4 c10">-0.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r54" headers="r50 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c2 c5">1,866</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c2 c6">24.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c3 c7">478</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c3 c8">21.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c4 c9">-3.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c4 c10">-12.60</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Rounded components of percentage distributions do not necessarily sum to 100.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">(X) = suppressed to avoid disclosing information about particular individuals.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Impairment type is missing in the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableB2">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table B-2. </span>Descriptive characteristics of adult <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients whose <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s resulted in eligibility cessation, 2003 and 2008</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">2003</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">2008</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">Number</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3">Number </th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4">Percentage points</th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4">Percent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r1" headers="c1">Total</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c5">9,888</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c6">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c7">413</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c8">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c5">433</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c6">4.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c7">71</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c8">17.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c9">12.81</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c10">292.47</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c5">7,859</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c6">79.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c7">315</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c8">76.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c9">-3.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c10">-4.04</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r2 c1">Expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c5">1,596</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c6">16.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c7">27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c8">6.54</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c9">-9.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c10">-59.48</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r6 c1">Low</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c5">661</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c6">6.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c7">47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c8">11.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c9">4.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c10">70.36</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c5">1,373</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c6">13.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c7">118</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c8">28.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c9">14.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c10">105.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c5">7,854</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c6">79.43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c7">248</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c8">60.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c9">-19.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c10">-24.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r10 c1">Younger than 30</th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c5">3,671</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c6">37.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c7">85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c8">20.58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c9">-16.55</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c10">-80.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c5">2,784</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c6">28.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c7">115</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c8">27.85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c9">-0.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c10">-1.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c5">2,710</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c6">27.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c7">124</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c8">30.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c9">2.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c10">8.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c5">723</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c6">7.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c7">89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c8">21.55</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c9">14.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c10">66.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c5">1,144</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c6">11.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c5">1,988</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c6">20.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c5">6,756</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c6">68.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c7">408</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c8">98.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c9">30.46</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c10">30.83</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r19" headers="c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r20" headers="r19 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c2 c5">301</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c2 c6">3.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r20 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r21" headers="r19 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c2 c5">1,735</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c2 c6">17.55</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c3 c7">108</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c3 c8">26.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c4 c9">8.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r21 c4 c10">32.89</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r19 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c2 c5">873</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c2 c6">8.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c3 c7">57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c3 c8">13.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c4 c9">4.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r22 c4 c10">36.01</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r19 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c2 c5">3,330</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c2 c6">33.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c3 c7">159</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c3 c8">38.50</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c4 c9">4.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r23 c4 c10">12.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r19 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r25" headers="r19 r24 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c2 c5">332</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c2 c6">3.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c3 c7">12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c3 c8">2.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c4 c9">-0.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r25 c4 c10">-15.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r26" headers="r19 r24 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c2 c5">598</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c2 c6">6.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c3 c7">22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c3 c8">5.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c4 c9">-0.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r26 c4 c10">-13.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r19 r24 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c2 c5">194</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c2 c6">1.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r27 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r19 r24 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c2 c5">216</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c2 c6">2.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r28 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r19 r24 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c2 c5">189</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c2 c6">1.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r29 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r19 r24 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c2 c5">221</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c2 c6">2.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r30 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r19 r24 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c2 c5">557</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c2 c6">5.63</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c3 c7">13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c3 c8">3.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c4 c9">-2.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r24 r31 c4 c10">-78.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r32" headers="r19 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c2 c5">333</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c2 c6">3.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r32 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r33" headers="r19 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c2 c5">176</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c2 c6">1.78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r33 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r19 c1">Unknown <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c2 c5">833</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c2 c6">8.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c3 c7">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c3 c8">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c4 c9">(X)</td>
|
|
<td headers="r19 r34 c4 c10">(X)</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r35" headers="c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r36" headers="r35 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c2 c5">7,541</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c2 c6">76.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c3 c7">90</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c3 c8">21.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c4 c9">-54.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r36 c4 c10">-71.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r37" headers="r35 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c2 c5">2,347</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c2 c6">23.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c3 c7">323</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c3 c8">78.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c4 c9">54.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r35 r37 c4 c10">229.44</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r38" headers="c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r39" headers="r38 c1">Initial application</th>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c2 c5">1,661</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c2 c6">16.80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c3 c7">48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c3 c8">11.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c4 c9">-5.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r39 c4 c10">-30.83</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r40" headers="r38 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c2 c5">6,623</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c2 c6">66.98</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c3 c7">308</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c3 c8">74.58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c4 c9">7.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r40 c4 c10">11.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r38 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c2 c5">813</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c2 c6">8.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c3 c7">25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c3 c8">6.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c4 c9">-2.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r41 c4 c10">-26.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r38 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c2 c5">791</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c2 c6">8.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c3 c7">32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c3 c8">7.75</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c4 c9">-0.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r38 r42 c4 c10">-3.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r43" headers="c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r44" headers="r43 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c2 c5">7,886</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c2 c6">79.75</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c3 c7">264</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c3 c8">63.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c4 c9">-15.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r44 c4 c10">-19.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r45" headers="r43 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c2 c5">2,002</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c2 c6">20.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c3 c7">149</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c3 c8">36.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c4 c9">15.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r43 r45 c4 c10">78.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r46" headers="c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r47" headers="r46 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c2 c5">4,700</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c2 c6">47.53</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c3 c7">228</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c3 c8">55.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c4 c9">7.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r47 c4 c10">16.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r48" headers="r46 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c2 c5">5,188</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c2 c6">52.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c3 c7">185</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c3 c8">44.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c4 c9">-7.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r46 r48 c4 c10">-14.64</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r49" headers="c1">Age at initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r50" headers="r49 c1">Younger than 18</th>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c2 c5">2,743</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c2 c6">27.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c3 c7">106</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c3 c8">25.67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c4 c9">-2.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r50 c4 c10">-7.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r51" headers="r49 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c2 c5">7,145</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c2 c6">72.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c3 c7">307</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c3 c8">74.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c4 c9">2.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r49 r51 c4 c10">2.86</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r52" headers="c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r52 c1">Lowest or second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c2 c5">4,880</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c2 c6">49.35</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c3 c7">204</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c3 c8">49.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c4 c9">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r53 c4 c10">0.10</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r54" headers="r52 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c2 c5">2,497</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c2 c6">25.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c3 c7">113</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c3 c8">27.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c4 c9">2.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r54 c4 c10">8.36</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r52 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c2 c5">2,507</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c2 c6">25.35</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c3 c7">96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c3 c8">23.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c4 c9">-2.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r52 r55 c4 c10">-8.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Rounded components of percentage distributions do not necessarily sum to 100.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">(X) = suppressed to avoid disclosing information about particular individuals.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Impairment type is missing in the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableB3">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table B-3. </span>Descriptive characteristics of adult concurrent workers whose <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s resulted in eligibility cessation, 2003 and 2008</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">2003</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">2008</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">Number</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3">Number </th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3">Percent</th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4">Percentage points</th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4">Percent</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r1" headers="c1">Total</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c5">4,022</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c2 c6">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c7">1,053</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c3 c8">100.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r2 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c5">113</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c2 c6">2.81</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c7">46</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c3 c8">4.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c9">1.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r3 c4 c10">55.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c5">2,667</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c2 c6">66.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c7">761</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c3 c8">72.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c9">5.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r4 c4 c10">8.99</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r2 c1">Expected</th>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c5">1,242</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c2 c6">30.88</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c7">246</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c3 c8">23.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c9">-7.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r2 r5 c4 c10">-24.35</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r6 c1">Low</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c5">186</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c2 c6">4.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c7">56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c3 c8">5.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c9">0.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r7 c4 c10">15.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c5">650</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c2 c6">16.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c7">272</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c3 c8">25.83</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c9">9.67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r8 c4 c10">59.84</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c5">3,186</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c2 c6">79.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c7">725</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c3 c8">68.85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c9">-10.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r6 r9 c4 c10">-13.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r10 c1">Younger than 30</th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c5">1,029</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c2 c6">25.58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c7">232</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c3 c8">22.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c9">-3.55</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r11 c4 c10">-16.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c5">1,449</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c2 c6">36.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c7">362</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c3 c8">34.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c9">-1.65</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r12 c4 c10">-4.80</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c5">1,271</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c2 c6">31.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c7">343</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c3 c8">32.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c9">0.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r13 c4 c10">2.98</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c5">273</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c2 c6">6.79</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c7">116</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c3 c8">11.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c9">4.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r10 r14 c4 c10">38.38</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r15 c1">Fewer than 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c5">123</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c2 c6">3.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c7">10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c3 c8">0.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c9">-2.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r16 c4 c10">-222.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c5">1,416</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c2 c6">35.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c7">89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c3 c8">8.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c9">-26.76</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r17 c4 c10">-316.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c5">1,063</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c2 c6">26.43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c7">260</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c3 c8">24.69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c9">-1.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r18 c4 c10">-7.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c5">1,420</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c2 c6">35.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c7">694</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c3 c8">65.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c9">30.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r15 r19 c4 c10">46.43</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r20" headers="c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r21" headers="r20 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c2 c5">279</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c2 c6">6.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c3 c7">56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c3 c8">5.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c4 c9">-1.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r21 c4 c10">-30.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r20 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c2 c5">220</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c2 c6">5.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c3 c7">86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c3 c8">8.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c4 c9">2.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r22 c4 c10">33.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r20 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c2 c5">347</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c2 c6">8.63</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c3 c7">154</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c3 c8">14.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c4 c9">5.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r23 c4 c10">40.97</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r20 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c2 c5">1,481</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c2 c6">36.82</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c3 c7">411</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c3 c8">39.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c4 c9">2.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r24 c4 c10">5.66</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r20 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r26" headers="r20 r25 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c2 c5">78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c2 c6">1.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c3 c7">21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c3 c8">1.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c4 c9">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r26 c4 c10">2.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r20 r25 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c2 c5">251</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c2 c6">6.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c3 c7">52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c3 c8">4.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c4 c9">-1.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r27 c4 c10">-26.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r20 r25 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c2 c5">132</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c2 c6">3.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c3 c7">27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c3 c8">2.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c4 c9">-0.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r28 c4 c10">-28.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r20 r25 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c2 c5">67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c2 c6">1.67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c3 c7">17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c3 c8">1.61</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c4 c9">-0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r29 c4 c10">-3.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r20 r25 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c2 c5">119</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c2 c6">2.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c3 c7">21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c3 c8">1.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c4 c9">-0.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r30 c4 c10">-48.74</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r20 r25 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c2 c5">124</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c2 c6">3.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c3 c7">30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c3 c8">2.85</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c4 c9">-0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r31 c4 c10">-8.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r20 r25 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c2 c5">410</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c2 c6">10.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c3 c7">89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c3 c8">8.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c4 c9">-1.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r25 r32 c4 c10">-20.59</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r33" headers="r20 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c2 c5">365</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c2 c6">9.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c3 c7">58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c3 c8">5.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c4 c9">-3.57</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r33 c4 c10">-64.79</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r20 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c2 c5">80</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c2 c6">1.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c3 c7">21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c3 c8">1.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c4 c9">0.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r34 c4 c10">0.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r20 c1">Unknown <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c2 c5">69</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c2 c6">1.72</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c3 c7">10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c3 c8">0.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c4 c9">-0.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r20 r35 c4 c10">-81.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r36" headers="c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r37" headers="r36 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c2 c5">3,636</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c2 c6">90.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c3 c7">653</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c3 c8">62.01</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c4 c9">-28.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r37 c4 c10">-31.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r36 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c2 c5">386</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c2 c6">9.60</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c3 c7">400</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c3 c8">37.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c4 c9">28.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r36 r38 c4 c10">295.73</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r39" headers="c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r40" headers="r39 c1">Initial application</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c2 c5">197</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c2 c6">4.90</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c3 c7">31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c3 c8">2.94</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c4 c9">-1.96</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r40 c4 c10">-40.00</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r39 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c2 c5">2,511</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c2 c6">62.43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c3 c7">705</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c3 c8">66.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c4 c9">4.52</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r41 c4 c10">7.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r39 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c2 c5">503</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c2 c6">12.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c3 c7">105</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c3 c8">9.97</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c4 c9">-2.54</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r42 c4 c10">-20.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r39 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c2 c5">811</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c2 c6">20.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c3 c7">212</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c3 c8">20.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c4 c9">-0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r39 r43 c4 c10">-0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r44" headers="c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r45" headers="r44 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c2 c5">3,164</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c2 c6">78.67</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c3 c7">737</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c3 c8">69.99</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c4 c9">-8.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r45 c4 c10">-11.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r44 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c2 c5">858</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c2 c6">21.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c3 c7">316</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c3 c8">30.01</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c4 c9">8.68</td>
|
|
<td headers="r44 r46 c4 c10">40.69</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r47" headers="c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r48" headers="r47 c1">No</th>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c2 c5">2,111</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c2 c6">52.49</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c3 c7">496</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c3 c8">47.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c4 c9">-5.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r48 c4 c10">-10.27</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r47 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c2 c5">1,911</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c2 c6">47.51</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c3 c7">557</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c3 c8">52.90</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c4 c9">5.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r47 r49 c4 c10">11.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r50" headers="c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r51" headers="r50 c1">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c2 c5">956</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c2 c6">23.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c3 c7">320</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c3 c8">30.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c4 c9">6.62</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r51 c4 c10">27.85</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r50 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c2 c5">1,010</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c2 c6">25.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c3 c7">289</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c3 c8">27.45</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c4 c9">2.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r52 c4 c10">9.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r50 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c2 c5">1,058</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c2 c6">26.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c3 c7">254</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c3 c8">24.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c4 c9">-2.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r53 c4 c10">-8.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r54" headers="r50 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c2 c5">998</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c2 c6">24.81</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c3 c7">190</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c3 c8">18.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c4 c9">-6.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r50 r54 c4 c10">-27.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Rounded components of percentage distributions do not necessarily sum to 100.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">a. Impairment type is missing in the <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableC1">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table C-1. </span>Standard errors for proportional hazard regression results (hazard ratios) of time to first successful reapplication to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 8 years of a <span class="nobr">2003–2008</span> <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by former program type and beneficiary characteristics</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="6" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, return to—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c4">Former concurrent workers, return to—</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c2"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c8" headers="c3"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c9" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">DI</abbr></th>
|
|
<th id="c10" headers="c4"><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td class="panel" colspan="6" id="r1">Aggregate effects</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="r1 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r1 r2 c1">Not expected </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c5">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c6">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c7">0.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c8">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c4 c9">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r1 r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c5">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c6">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c7">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c8">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c4 c9">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r1 r2 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="r1 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r1 r6 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r1 r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c7">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c8">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c4 c10">0.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r1 r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c7">0.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c8">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c4 c10">0.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r1 r10 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c6">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c7">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c8">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c4 c10">0.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c5">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c7">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c8">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c4 c10">0.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c5">0.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c6">0.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c7">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c8">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c4 c10">0.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="r1 c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 2 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">2–3</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c6">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c4 c9">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c4 c10">0.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c5">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c6">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c7">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c8">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c4 c9">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c4 c10">0.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r20" headers="r1 r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c2 c5">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c2 c6">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c3 c7">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c3 c8">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c4 c9">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r20 c4 c10">0.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r21" headers="r1 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r1 r21 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c2 c5">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c2 c6">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c3 c7">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c3 c8">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c4 c9">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r22 c4 c10">0.09</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r1 r21 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c2 c5">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c2 c6">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c3 c7">0.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c3 c8">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c4 c9">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r23 c4 c10">0.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r1 r21 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c2 c5">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c2 c6">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c3 c7">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c3 c8">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c4 c9">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r24 c4 c10">0.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r1 r21 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c2 c5">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c2 c6">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c3 c7">0.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c3 c8">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c4 c9">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r25 c4 c10">0.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r26" headers="r1 r21 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c2 c5">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c2 c6">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c3 c7">0.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c3 c8">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c4 c9">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r27 c4 c10">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c2 c6">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c3 c7">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c3 c8">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c4 c9">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r28 c4 c10">0.10</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c2 c6">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c3 c7">0.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c3 c8">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c4 c9">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r29 c4 c10">0.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c2 c5">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c2 c6">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c3 c7">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c3 c8">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c4 c9">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r30 c4 c10">0.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c2 c6">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c3 c7">0.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c3 c8">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c4 c9">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r31 c4 c10">0.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c2 c5">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c2 c6">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c3 c7">0.47</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c3 c8">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c4 c9">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r32 c4 c10">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r33" headers="r1 r21 r26 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r26 r33 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r1 r21 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c2 c5">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c2 c6">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c3 c7">0.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c3 c8">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c4 c9">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r34 c4 c10">0.08</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r1 r21 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c2 c5">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c2 c6">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c3 c7">0.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c3 c8">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c4 c9">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r35 c4 c10">0.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r36" headers="r1 r21 c1">Unknown <sup>b</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c2 c5">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c2 c6">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c3 c7">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c3 c8">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c4 c9">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r21 r36 c4 c10">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r37" headers="r1 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r1 r37 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r38 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r39" headers="r1 r37 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c2 c5">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c3 c7">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c3 c8">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c4 c9">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r37 r39 c4 c10">0.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r40" headers="r1 c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r1 r40 c1">Initial application (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r41 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r1 r40 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c2 c5">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c2 c6">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c3 c7">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c3 c8">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c4 c9">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r42 c4 c10">0.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r1 r40 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c2 c5">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c2 c6">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c3 c7">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c3 c8">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c4 c9">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r43 c4 c10">0.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r44" headers="r1 r40 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c2 c6">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c3 c7">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c3 c8">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c4 c9">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r40 r44 c4 c10">0.10</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r45" headers="r1 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r1 r45 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r46 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r47" headers="r1 r45 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c2 c6">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c3 c7">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c3 c8">0.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r45 r47 c4 c10">a</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r48" headers="r1 c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r1 r48 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r49 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r50" headers="r1 r48 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c2 c5">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c2 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c3 c7">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c3 c8">0.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c4 c9">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r48 r50 c4 c10">0.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r51" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r1 r51 c1">Younger than 18 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r52 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r53" headers="r1 r51 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c3 c7">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c3 c8">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r51 r53 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r54" headers="r1 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r1 r54 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r55 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r1 r54 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c2 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r56 c4 c10">0.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r1 r54 c1">Lowest or second (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r57 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r1 r54 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c2 c6">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c3 c7">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c3 c8">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r58 c4 c10">0.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r59" headers="r1 r54 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c2 c6">0.02</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c3 c7">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c3 c8">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c4 c9">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r54 r59 c4 c10">0.05</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th colspan="6" class="panel" id="r60">Time-varying effects </th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r61" headers="r60 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r62" headers="r60 r61 c1">Not expected</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r63" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r63 c4 c10">0.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r64" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r64 c4 c10">0.30</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r65" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r65 c4 c10">0.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r66" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r66 c4 c10">0.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r67" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r67 c4 c10">0.56</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r68" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r68 c4 c10">0.31</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r69" headers="r60 r61 r62 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r62 r69 c4 c10">0.27</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r70" headers="r60 r61 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r71" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r71 c4 c10">0.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r72" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r72 c4 c10">0.10</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r73" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r73 c4 c10">0.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r74" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r74 c4 c10">0.13</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r75" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r75 c4 c10">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r76" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r76 c4 c10">0.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r77" headers="r60 r61 r70 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r70 r77 c4 c10">0.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r78" headers="r60 r61 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r61 r78 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r79" headers="r60 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r80" headers="r60 r79 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r80 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r81" headers="r60 r79 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r82" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c2 c6">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c4 c9">0.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r82 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r83" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c4 c9">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r83 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r84" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c2 c5">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c4 c9">0.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r84 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r85" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c2 c5">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c2 c6">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c4 c9">0.70</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r85 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r86" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c2 c5">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c2 c6">0.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c4 c9">0.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r86 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r87" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c2 c5">0.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c2 c6">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c4 c9">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r87 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r88" headers="r60 r79 r81 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c2 c5">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c2 c6">0.90</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c4 c9">0.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r81 r88 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r89" headers="r60 r79 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r90" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c4 c9">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r90 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r91" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c2 c6">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c4 c9">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r91 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r92" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c4 c9">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r92 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r93" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c2 c5">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c2 c6">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c4 c9">0.77</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r93 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r94" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c2 c5">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c2 c6">0.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c4 c9">0.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r94 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r95" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c2 c5">0.34</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c2 c6">0.16</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c4 c9">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r95 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r96" headers="r60 r79 r89 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c2 c5">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c2 c6">0.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c4 c9">0.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r79 r89 r96 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r97" headers="r60 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r98" headers="r60 r97 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r98 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r99" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r100" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r100 c4 c10">0.17</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r101" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r101 c4 c10">0.16</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r102" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r102 c4 c10">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r103" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r103 c4 c10">0.18</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r104" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r104 c4 c10">0.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r105" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r105 c4 c10">0.29</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r106" headers="r60 r97 r99 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r99 r106 c4 c10">0.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r107" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r108" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r108 c4 c10">0.22</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r109" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r109 c4 c10">0.22</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r110" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r110 c4 c10">0.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r111" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r111 c4 c10">0.25</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r112" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r112 c4 c10">0.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r113" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r113 c4 c10">0.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r114" headers="r60 r97 r107 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r107 r114 c4 c10">0.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r115" headers="r60 r97 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r116" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r116 c4 c10">0.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r117" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r117 c4 c10">0.42</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r118" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r118 c4 c10">0.46</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r119" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r119 c4 c10">0.65</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r120" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r120 c4 c10">0.78</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r121" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r121 c4 c10">1.14</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r122" headers="r60 r97 r115 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r97 r115 r122 c4 c10">0.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r123" headers="r60 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r124" headers="r60 r123 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group) </th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r124 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r125" headers="r60 r123 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r126" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c2 c6">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r126 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r127" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c2 c6">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r127 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r128" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c2 c6">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r128 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r129" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c2 c6">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r129 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r130" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c2 c6">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r130 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r131" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c2 c6">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r131 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r132" headers="r60 r123 r125 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c2 c5">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c2 c6">0.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c4 c9">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r123 r125 r132 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r133" headers="r60 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r134" headers="r60 r133 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r134 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r135" headers="r60 r133 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r136" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c2 c5">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c2 c6">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c4 c9">0.03</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r136 c4 c10">0.03</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r137" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c2 c5">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c2 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c4 c9">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r137 c4 c10">0.04</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r138" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c2 c5">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c2 c6">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c4 c9">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r138 c4 c10">0.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r139" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c2 c5">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c2 c6">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c4 c9">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r139 c4 c10">0.06</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r140" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c2 c5">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c2 c6">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c4 c9">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r140 c4 c10">0.07</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r141" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c2 c5">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c2 c6">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c4 c9">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r141 c4 c10">0.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r142" headers="r60 r133 r135 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c2 c6">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c4 c9">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r133 r135 r142 c4 c10">0.12</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r143" headers="r60 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r144" headers="r60 r143 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c2 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c4 c9">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r144 c4 c10">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r145" headers="r60 r143 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r146" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c2 c5">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c4 c9">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r146 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r147" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c4 c9">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r147 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r148" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c2 c5">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c4 c9">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r148 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r149" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c2 c5">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c4 c9">0.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r149 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r150" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c2 c5">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c4 c9">0.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r150 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r151" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c2 c5">0.36</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c4 c9">0.42</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r151 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r152" headers="r60 r143 r145 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c2 c5">0.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c3 c8">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c4 c9">0.40</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r145 r152 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r153" headers="r60 r143 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r154" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c4 c9">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r154 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r155" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c4 c9">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r155 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r156" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c4 c9">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r156 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r157" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c2 c5">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c4 c9">0.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r157 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r158" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c2 c5">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c4 c9">0.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r158 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r159" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c2 c5">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c4 c9">0.37</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r159 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r160" headers="r60 r143 r153 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c2 c5">0.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c4 c9">0.58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r153 r160 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r161" headers="r60 r143 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r162" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c2 c5">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c4 c9">0.15</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r162 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r163" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c2 c5">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c4 c9">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r163 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r164" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c2 c5">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c4 c9">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r164 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r165" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 4</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c2 c5">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c4 c9">0.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r165 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r166" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 5</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c2 c5">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c4 c9">0.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r166 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r167" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 6</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c2 c5">0.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c4 c9">0.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r167 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r168" headers="r60 r143 r161 c1">Year 7 or 8</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c2 c5">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c2 c6">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c3 c7">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c3 c8">c</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c4 c9">0.91</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r143 r161 r168 c4 c10">c</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr class="shaded">
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r169" headers="r60 c1">Observations</th>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c2 c5">169,466</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c2 c6">175,582</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c3 c7">24,522</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c3 c8">24,522</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c4 c9">87,854</td>
|
|
<td headers="r60 r169 c4 c10">87,437</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">NOTES: Covers cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in <span class="nobr">2003–2008,</span> and followed through 2010.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">a. Included as a time-varying effect. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="7">b. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">c. No time-varying Cox regression was calculated because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> satisfied the proportionality assumption.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="table" id="tableD1">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption><span class="tableNumber">Table D-1. </span>Standard errors for proportional hazard regression results (hazard ratios) of time to first successful reapplication to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 3 years of a 2003 or 2008 <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> cessation decision, by selected beneficiary characteristics</caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:25em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="4" style="width:5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" id="c1">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c2">Former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers, returned to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> within 3 years of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> in—</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" id="c3">Former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, returned to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> within 3 years of <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr> in—</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th id="c4" headers="c2">2003</th>
|
|
<th id="c5" headers="c2">2008</th>
|
|
<th id="c6" headers="c3">2003</th>
|
|
<th id="c7" headers="c3"><span class="nobr">2007–2008</span> <sup>a</sup></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<td class="panel" colspan="4" id="r1">Aggregate effects</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r2" headers="r1 c1">Diary type (prospective medical improvement)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r3" headers="r1 r2 c1">Not expected </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c4">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c2 c5">0.74</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c6">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r3 c3 c7">0.52</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r4" headers="r1 r2 c1">Possible</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c4">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c2 c5">0.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c6">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r4 c3 c7">0.45</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r5" headers="r1 r2 c1">Expected (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r2 r5 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r6" headers="r1 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r7" headers="r1 r6 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r7 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r8" headers="r1 r6 c1">Medium</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c4">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c2 c5">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c6">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r8 c3 c7">0.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r9" headers="r1 r6 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c4">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c6">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r6 r9 c3 c7">0.28</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r10" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r11" headers="r1 r10 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r11 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r12" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c4">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c2 c5">a</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c6">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r12 c3 c7">0.20</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r13" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c4">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c2 c5">0.89</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c6">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r13 c3 c7">0.25</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r14" headers="r1 r10 c1"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c4">0.28</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c2 c5">1.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c6">0.18</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r10 r14 c3 c7">0.51</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r15" headers="r1 c1">Years in program</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r16" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 4 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r16 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r17" headers="r1 r15 c1"><span class="nobr">4–5</span></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c4">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c2 c5">0.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r17 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r18" headers="r1 r15 c1">Fewer than 6 (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r18 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r19" headers="r1 r15 c1">6 or more</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c4">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c2 c5">0.29</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r15 r19 c3 c7">0.34</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r20" headers="r1 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r21" headers="r1 r20 c1">Neoplasms</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r21 c2 c4">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r21 c2 c5">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r21 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r21 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r22" headers="r1 r20 c1">Intellectual disabilities</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r22 c2 c4">0.38</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r22 c2 c5">1.84</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r22 c3 c6">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r22 c3 c7">0.32</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r23" headers="r1 r20 c1">Schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c2 c4">0.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c2 c5">0.41</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c3 c6"><sup>c</sup> 0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r23 c3 c7"><sup>c</sup> 0.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r24" headers="r1 r20 c1">Other mental disorders</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c2 c4">0.11</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c2 c5">0.26</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c3 c6"><sup>c</sup> 0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r24 c3 c7"><sup>c</sup> 0.23</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r25" headers="r1 r20 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r26" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r27" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Nervous system and sense organs </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c2 c4">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c2 c5">0.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c3 c6">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r27 c3 c7">0.40</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r28" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Circulatory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c2 c4">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c2 c5">0.64</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r28 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r29" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Respiratory system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c2 c4">0.24</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c2 c5">0.86</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r29 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r30" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Digestive system</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c2 c4">0.12</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c2 c5">0.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r30 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r31" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r32" headers="r1 r20 r25 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r25 r32 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r33" headers="r1 r20 c1">Injuries</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r33 c2 c4">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r33 c2 c5">0.39</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r33 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r33 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r34" headers="r1 r20 c1">Other</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r34 c2 c4">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r34 c2 c5">0.58</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r34 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r34 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r35" headers="r1 r20 c1">Unknown <sup>d</sup></th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r35 c2 c4">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r35 c2 c5">1.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r35 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r20 r35 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r36" headers="r1 c1">Mailer receipt status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r37" headers="r1 r36 c1">No (direct release to <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; reference group) </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r37 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r37 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r37 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r37 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r38" headers="r1 r36 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r38 c2 c4">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r38 c2 c5">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r38 c3 c6">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r36 r38 c3 c7">0.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r39" headers="r1 c1">Adjudication level of initial program entry</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r40" headers="r1 r39 c1">Initial application (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r40 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r40 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r40 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r40 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r41" headers="r1 r39 c1">Reconsideration</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r41 c2 c4">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r41 c2 c5">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r41 c3 c6">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r41 c3 c7">0.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r42" headers="r1 r39 c1">Administrative Law Judge or higher </th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r42 c2 c4">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r42 c2 c5">0.27</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r42 c3 c6">0.08</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r42 c3 c7">0.21</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r43" headers="r1 r39 c1">Unknown</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r43 c2 c4">0.13</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r43 c2 c5">0.78</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r43 c3 c6">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r39 r43 c3 c7">0.27</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r44" headers="r1 c1">Prior <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r45" headers="r1 r44 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r45 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r45 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r45 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r45 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r46" headers="r1 r44 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c2 c4">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c2 c5">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c3 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r44 r46 c3 c7">0.11</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r47" headers="r1 c1">Consultative examination request status</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r48" headers="r1 r47 c1">No (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r48 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r48 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r48 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r48 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r49" headers="r1 r47 c1">Yes</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r49 c2 c4">0.06</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r49 c2 c5">0.17</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r49 c3 c6">0.04</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r47 r49 c3 c7">0.15</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r50" headers="r1 c1">Age at initial program entry (<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> only)</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r51" headers="r1 r50 c1">Younger than 18 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r51 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r51 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r51 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r51 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r52" headers="r1 r50 c1">18 or older</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r52 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r52 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r52 c3 c6">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r50 r52 c3 c7">0.36</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r53" headers="r1 c1">Preeligibility earnings quartile</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r54" headers="r1 r53 c1">Lowest (reference group for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r54 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r54 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r54 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r54 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r55" headers="r1 r53 c1">Second</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r55 c2 c4">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r55 c2 c5">0.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r55 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r55 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r56" headers="r1 r53 c1">Lowest or second (reference group for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r56 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r56 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r56 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r56 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r57" headers="r1 r53 c1">Third</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r57 c2 c4">0.09</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r57 c2 c5">0.22</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r57 c3 c6">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r57 c3 c7">0.26</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r58" headers="r1 r53 c1">Highest</th>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r58 c2 c4">0.07</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r58 c2 c5">0.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r58 c3 c6">0.05</td>
|
|
<td headers="r1 r53 r58 c3 c7">0.24</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td> </td>
|
|
<th colspan="4" class="panel" id="r59">Time-varying effects </th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r60" headers="r59 c1"><abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r61" headers="r59 r60 c1">Low (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r61 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r61 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r61 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r61 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r62" headers="r59 r60 c1">High</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r63" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c2 c4">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c2 c5">0.31</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r63 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r64" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c2 c4">0.23</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c2 c5">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r64 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r65" headers="r59 r60 r62 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c2 c4">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c2 c5">0.10</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r60 r62 r65 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r66" headers="r59 c1">Age at initial <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> decision</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r67" headers="r59 r66 c1">Younger than 30 (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r67 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r67 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r67 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r67 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r68" headers="r59 r66 c1"><span class="nobr">30–39</span></th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r69" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c2 c4">0.19</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c2 c5">0.43</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r69 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r70" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c2 c4">0.21</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c2 c5">0.73</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r70 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r71" headers="r59 r66 r68 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c2 c4">0.14</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c2 c5">1.92</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c3 c6">e</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r66 r68 r71 c3 c7">e</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r72" headers="r59 c1">Diagnosis</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" id="r73" headers="r59 r72 c1">Diseases of the—</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r74" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r75" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c2 c4">0.20</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c2 c5">1.95</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r75 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r76" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c2 c4">0.48</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c2 c5">0.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r76 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r77" headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c2 c4">0.32</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c2 c5">0.00</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r74 r77 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r78" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Genitourinary system</th>
|
|
<td colspan="4"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r79" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 1</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c2 c4">0.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c2 c5">0.56</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r79 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r80" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 2</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c2 c4">0.33</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c2 c5">1.25</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r80 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub3" id="r81" headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 c1">Year 3</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c2 c4">0.30</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c2 c5">4.73</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c3 c6">b</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r78 r81 c3 c7">b</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" id="r82" headers="r59 r72 r73 c1">Musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (reference group)</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c2 c4">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c2 c5">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c3 c6">. . .</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r72 r73 r82 c3 c7">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr class="shaded">
|
|
<th class="stub0" id="r83" headers="r59 c1">Observations</th>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r83 c2 c4">21,671</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r83 c2 c5">6,061</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r83 c3 c6">9,888</td>
|
|
<td headers="r59 r83 c3 c7">1,091</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="5">SOURCE: Authors' calculations using Social Security administrative records.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">NOTES: Covers cessation decisions reached in <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s conducted in 2003 or 2008 (and, for former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients, 2007), and followed through 2010.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">a. <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> data for 2008 are available only in combination with 2007 data. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">b. Sample size too small to permit statistically meaningful estimates. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">c. Categories were pooled to provide a sample large enough to permit statistically meaningful estimates. </td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="note" colspan="5">d. Impairment type missing from <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall data file.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="5">e. No time-varying Cox regression was calculated because the <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr> satisfied the proportionality assumption.</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="notes">
|
|
<h2>Notes</h2>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt1" id="mn1">1</a> The <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr> earnings level for 2013 is $1,040. To be eligible for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, an individual is limited to $2,000 in countable resources. Once receiving <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments, an individual must continue to meet the resource limit but can have earnings above the <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr> level. Payments are reduced $1 for every $2 earned above $65 in a month. Unearned income, such as <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits, is offset dollar-for-dollar after the first $20. Additional exclusions to income and assets factor into the determination of the monthly <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payment and optional state supplemental payments. Most <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients are also Medicaid participants. <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> also provides payments to individuals aged 65 or older without disabilities, although the income and asset limits still apply. See <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> (2012f) for more information on <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> rules.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt2" id="mn2">2</a> Insured status for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> requires an individual to have a sufficient work history, measured in quarters of coverage, over a recent period. In 2013, an individual earns one quarter of coverage for each $1,160 earned and may earn up to four quarters of coverage per year. For younger workers, fewer quarters of coverage are required to reach insured status. Individuals awarded <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits receive a monthly benefit check, as do certain dependent spouses, children, and parents. After 24 months, <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries are eligible for Medicare. See <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> (2012c) for more information on <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> rules.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt3" id="mn3">3</a> The sequential evaluation process used in a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>, the Medical Improvement Review Standard, differs from that used in an initial disability claim. In general, the review standard process compares the beneficiary's current impairment with that examined at the most recent favorable decision to determine if medical improvement has occurred. Even with evidence of improvement, the examiner must still determine if the severity of the impairment precludes <abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>. For exceptions to the Medical Improvement Review Standard, see CFR (1996).</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt4" id="mn4">4</a> The savings rate is highly dependent on the composition of <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> types (for example, <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> worker, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> adult, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> child), as well as assumptions regarding interest rates and cost-of-living adjustments.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt5" id="mn5">5</a> The president's 2012 budget requested an increase in <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> funding and $938 million for program integrity overall (<abbr class="spell">OMB</abbr> 2011, 163). <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> expected to spend an estimated $756 million for program integrity in fiscal year 2012 (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012a).</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt6" id="mn6">6</a> However, some studies have looked at the related issue of <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries who return to work (for example, Bound 1989; Hennessey and Muller 1995; Schimmel, Stapleton, and Song 2010; Liu and Stapleton 2011; and Schimmel and Stapleton 2011). See also Bound and Burkhauser (1999) for an overview of the research on <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> and Mashaw and Reno (1996) for additional information on <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> policy.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt7" id="mn7">7</a> Although those studies and ours examine similar demographic characteristics, we focus on <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> characteristics not available in those studies.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt8" id="mn8">8</a> The mailer contains six questions about the individual's health, employment, and medical care use in the last 2 years; for more information, see <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> (2012e). We note that mailer respondents have an inherent incentive to understate their health status. Although that incentive exists throughout the disability determination and review processes, the mailer response does not require supporting medical evidence, which may amplify the incentive. Certain beneficiaries and recipients are not eligible for a mailer. For example, all child <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients, including those undergoing <span class="nobr">age-18</span> redeterminations, receive a <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>. <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> does not initiate <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>s for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients and <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiaries participating in the Ticket to Work Program as long as they are making timely progress toward their employment goals.</p>
|
|
<p> <a href="#mt9" id="mn9">9</a> Postponed reviews may never take place for some individuals whose characteristics change to the extent that their subsequent profiling model score indicates a lower probability of improvement. Other individuals may leave the programs for other reasons (for example, finding work, reaching full retirement age, or dying).</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt10" id="mn10">10</a> Over our sample period of 2003 through 2008, about 2.7 percent of mailer cases with a low <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score eventually resulted in a scheduled <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>; however, the availability of resources determined whether those <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s took place.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt11" id="mn11">11</a> The <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> requests a consultative examination when current medical evidence is insufficient to make a decision or if there is conflicting medical information.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt12" id="mn12">12</a> Beginning at age 50 (or 45 in certain cases), age is added to the other factors (education, work experience, and residual functional capacity) used in determining an individual's ability to work. Because that change makes the medical improvement standard more difficult to meet, fewer <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s for older beneficiaries result in cessations.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt13" id="mn13">13</a> There are four levels of appeal: reconsideration at the <abbr class="spell">DDS</abbr> level, the Administrative Law Judge level, an Appeals Council, and federal district court. An individual has 60 days to appeal a cessation decision at each level and 10 days to request continued payments after the initial and reconsideration determinations, although <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> may waive those time limits if there is "good cause." In fiscal year 2008, about 67 percent of adult <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only initial cessations were appealed to the reconsideration level, with 69 percent of those overturned. Additionally, over <span class="nobr">three-fourths</span> of those with a cessation at the reconsideration level appealed that year; over <span class="nobr">one-third</span> were successful (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012b).</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt14" id="mn14">14</a> <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> field office staff may also initiate <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s if they have reason to believe medical improvement has occurred. However, <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s central office initiates the vast majority of reviews, following the process described in this article.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt15" id="mn15">15</a> The file is created by the Office of Quality Performance and includes data from various <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> systems including 831/832/833 files, the Supplemental Security Record, the Master Beneficiary Record, and files from the Office of Disability Adjudication and Review. The <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> Waterfall file groups individuals into 10 program-participant categories (such as <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> disabled-worker beneficiary, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> child recipient, and so on), according to their status in July before the fiscal year in which the centrally initiated <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> is scheduled. We only use the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> adult recipient, <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> disabled-worker beneficiary, and disabled-worker concurrent <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-<abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> beneficiary groups; other target population restrictions are detailed later. Thus, we include individuals receiving <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits only on their own record, not as dependents of other beneficiaries; and adult <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> recipients, meaning they either entered <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after age 18 or continued in the program after an <span class="nobr">age-18</span> redetermination.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt16" id="mn16">16</a> We use age at the time of the initial decision for consistency with our other measures. We group individuals into four age groups: younger than 30, <span class="nobr">30–39,</span> <span class="nobr">40–49,</span> and <span class="nobr">50–59.</span></p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt17" id="mn17">17</a> Expedited reinstatement allows individuals whose benefits terminated because of work to return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> or <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> through an abbreviated process as long as their medical impairments are the same as, or related to, their original disabling impairments.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt18" id="mn18">18</a> Furthermore, the relative scarcity of individuals aged <span class="nobr">60–62</span> would have resulted in imprecise estimates and some multicollinearity issues had we included them.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt19" id="mn19">19</a> Our target population includes five individuals who had two <abbr class="spell">FMR</abbr>s that fit our study criteria. Because the number is relatively small, we do not adjust for any serial correlation that may cause.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt20" id="mn20">20</a> Attaining age 62 does not affect <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> eligibility, but we use that cutoff to analyze <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> return for consistency across our analyses. Additionally, attaining age 62 may still affect an individual's behavior because of (a) a family member's receipt of benefits or (b) the difference in the definition of "insured status" between the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and the <span class="nobr">Old-Age</span> and Survivors Insurance programs. For example, an individual generally must have worked during the last 10 years to qualify for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> (although there are exceptions for younger workers and people with prior periods of disability); there is no such requirement for the <span class="nobr">old-age</span> program. Future research might explore the return between age 62 and full retirement age more fully.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt21" id="mn21">21</a> We follow Coviello and Boggess (2004) and estimate <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s using the Stata statistical package. See Hosmer, Lemeshow, and May (2008) for more detail on the Kaplan-Meier survival function.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt22" id="mn22">22</a> This estimation strategy is not without its drawbacks. The longest outcomes in our study are based on the earliest cohort in our target population. To the extent that subsequent cohorts are more or less likely to return, die, or reach early retirement age, our estimates could be either too high or too low.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt23" id="mn23">23</a> See Hosmer, Lemeshow, and May (2008), Singer and Willett (2003), or Allison (2010) for a fuller discussion of this model.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt24" id="mn24">24</a> Hosmer, Lemeshow, and May (2008, 209) note that this model is the same as "specifying an interaction between one of the covariates and the stratification variable."</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt25" id="mn25">25</a> See also Schoenfeld (1982). Operationally (and equivalently), we test that the log hazard-ratio function is constant over time.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt26" id="mn26">26</a> After examining those hazard ratios and formally testing the equality of the ratios for each time-specific effect (that is, the hazard ratio of a high <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score in the first year and the hazard ratio of a high <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr> profile score in the second year), we determined that some of the time-varying effects could be combined. For example, as will be shown, the effect of having medical improvement deemed as possible is not significant after the first year; we could thus conceivably combine years 2 through <span class="nobr">7+</span> and improve the efficiency of the empirical model. However, because we estimate multiple empirical models, we keep the yearly effects separate for consistency.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt27" id="mn27">27</a> Note that the baseline hazard is not directly estimated by the empirical model, but is recoverable.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt28" id="mn28">28</a> This model is described in Hosmer, Lemeshow, and May (2008).</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt29" id="mn29">29</a> We note that many of the changes over time are likely due to changes in the population size, which drops by at least 70 percent for each target population. One exception is the percentage receiving a mailer, which increased in each group by more than 220 percent from 2003 to 2008. We do not present the distribution of each year's cohort by follow-up status (returned, died, reached age 62, or censored) because such a table does not account for the timing of the event and would likely lead to incorrect interpretations if not viewed carefully. However, such a table is available upon request.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt30" id="mn30">30</a> An individual may apply or return to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> on another individual's record (as a child or survivor of another beneficiary). However, more than 98 percent of returns to <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> by <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and concurrent beneficiaries were on their own record. About 87 percent of former <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only recipients entering <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> did so on their own record.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt31" id="mn31">31</a> It is not immediately clear why former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers would enter <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. Most would likely retain their <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-insured status over the observed period. However, some would lose their insured status if they did not return to work. That may explain why entering <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> generally took longer than entering <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> (the curve for former <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only workers in <a href="#chart2">Chart 2</a> is flatter than that in <a href="#chart1">Chart 1</a>). Possibly, those individuals would have been eligible for concurrent <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> payments but had not applied for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>. Similarly, some may have been in <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> nonpayment status during the month they were selected for a <abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>, and thus were categorized as <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only on a technicality. (That circumstance may also apply to <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only individuals, although suspensions of payments are much less common in <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> than in <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>.) Alternatively, many individuals may have spent down their assets while receiving <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> benefits (or while dealing with the loss of <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>), making them newly eligible for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt32" id="mn32">32</a> In similar (unreported) analyses, we estimate that <span class="nobr">one-third</span> (33.2 percent) of our <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only group reapply for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and over <span class="nobr">one-half</span> (54.2 percent) of the <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only group reapply for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> after 8 years. Dividing those reapplication rates by the return rates we estimated, the respective postparticipation award rates are 59 percent and 55 percent for the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr>-only and <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>-only individuals. Those are substantially higher than the initial award rates reported in <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> publications, which range from 31 percent to 36 percent for <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> and from 40 percent to 47 percent for <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> over the observation period (<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> 2012c, 2012f).</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt33" id="mn33">33</a> The small yearly sample sizes preclude estimating <abbr class="spell">CIF</abbr>s for each characteristic.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt34" id="mn34">34</a> The <span class="nobr">95-percent</span> confidence intervals overlap for all neighboring cohorts (for example, 2004 and 2005) during their common followup periods.</p>
|
|
<p><a href="#mt35" id="mn35">35</a> Those amounts are adjusted to 2009 dollars using the Consumer Price Index-All Urban Consumers. The nominal values are $551 million in 2003 and $307 million in 2008.</p>
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<p><a href="#mt36" id="mn36">36</a> Note that the Great Recession would be expected to shift the curves in the opposite direction—with fewer jobs available, we would expect greater return by the later cohorts early in the followup period; we do not observe that result.</p>
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<p><a href="#mt37" id="mn37">37</a> <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> systems record no more than two diagnosis codes for an individual; differences between the precessation-decision and the program-return diagnosis codes would not necessarily identify truly new disabilities, especially in cases of high comorbidity. Similarly, worsening health due to the original disability may not be captured in the data if new impairments occur that more readily meet <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>'s definition of disability. </p>
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</div>
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<div id="references">
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<h2>References</h2>
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<p>Allison, Paul D. 2010. <i>Survival Analysis Using <abbr>SAS</abbr>: A Practical Guide, Second Edition.</i> Cary, <abbr title="North Carolina">NC</abbr>: <abbr>SAS</abbr> Institute, <abbr title="Incorporated">Inc.</abbr></p>
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<p>Autor, David H., and Mark G. Duggan. 2003. "The Rise in the Disability Rolls and the Decline in Unemployment." <i>Quarterly Journal of Economics</i> 118(1): <span class="nobr">157–206.</span></p>
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<p>———. 2006. "The Growth in the Social Security Disability Rolls: A Fiscal Crisis Unfolding." <i>Journal of Economic Perspectives</i> 20(3): <span class="nobr">71–96.</span></p>
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<p>Black, Dan, Kermit Daniel, and Seth Sanders. 2002. "The Impact of Economic Conditions on Participation in Disability Programs: Evidence from the Coal Boom and Bust." <i>American Economic Review</i> 92(1): <span class="nobr">27–50.</span></p>
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<p>Bound, John. 1989. "The Health and Earnings of Rejected Disability Insurance Applicants." <i>The American Economic Review</i> 79(3): <span class="nobr">482–503.</span></p>
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<p>Bound, John, and Richard V. Burkhauser. 1999. "Economic Analysis of Transfer Programs Targeted on People with Disabilities." In <i>Handbook of Labor Economics, <abbr title="Volume">Vol.</abbr> 3C,</i> edited by Orley C. Ashenfelter and David Card, <span class="nobr">3417–3528.</span> Amsterdam: Elsevier.</p>
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<p>Burkhauser, Richard V., and Mary C. Daly. 2011. <i>The Declining Work and Welfare of People with Disabilities: What Went Wrong and a Strategy for Change.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: <abbr class="spell">AEI</abbr> Press.</p>
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<p>[<abbr class="spell">CFR</abbr>] Code of Federal Regulations. 1996. <i>How We Will Determine Whether Your Disability Continues or Ends.</i> Title 20—Employees' Benefits, Chapter <abbr title="three">III</abbr>—Social Security Administration, Part 404—Federal <span class="nobr">Old-Age,</span> Survivors and Disability Insurance (1950– ), Subpart P—Determining Disability and Blindness, Section 1594. 20 <abbr class="spell">CFR</abbr> § 404.1594. <a href="http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/granule/CFR-1996-title20-vol2/CFR-1996-title20-vol2-sec404-1594/content-detail.html">http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/granule/CFR-1996-title20-vol2/CFR-1996-title20-vol2-sec404-1594/content-detail.html</a>.</p>
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<p>Coviello, Vincenzo, and Mary Boggess. 2004. "Cumulative Incidence Estimation in the Presence of Competing Risks." <i>Stata Journal</i> 4(2): <span class="nobr">103–112.</span></p>
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<p>Dykacz, Janice M. 1998. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v61n2/v61n2p3.pdf">Return of Disabled-Worker Beneficiaries to the <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> Program: Some Insights from the New Beneficiary Followup</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 61(2): <span class="nobr">3–11.</span></p>
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<p>Dykacz, Janice M., and John C. Hennessey. 1989. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v52n9/v52n9p42.pdf">Postrecovery Experience of Disabled-Worker Beneficiaries</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 52(9): <span class="nobr">42–66.</span></p>
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<p>Gooley, Ted A., Wendy Leisenring, John Crowley, and Barry E. Storer. 1999. "Estimation of Failure Probabilities in the Presence of Competing Risks: New Representations of Old Estimators." <i>Statistics in Medicine</i> 18(6): <span class="nobr">695–706.</span></p>
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<p>Grambsch, Patricia M., and Terry M. Therneau. 1994. "Proportional Hazards Tests in Diagnostics Based on Weighted Residuals." <i>Biometrika</i> 81(3): <span class="nobr">515–526.</span></p>
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<p>Hennessey, John C., and Janice M. Dykacz. 1993. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v56n2/v56n2p58.pdf">A Comparison of the Recovery Termination Rates of Disabled-Worker Beneficiaries Entitled in 1972 and 1985</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 56(2): <span class="nobr">58–69.</span></p>
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<p>Hennessey, John C., and L. Scott Muller. 1995. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v58n1/v58n1p15.pdf">The Effect of Vocational Rehabilitation and Work Incentives on Helping the Disabled-Worker Beneficiary Back to Work</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 58(1): <span class="nobr">15–28.</span></p>
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<p>Hosmer, David W., Stanley Lemeshow, and Susanne May. 2008. <i>Applied Survival Analysis: Regression Modeling of Time-to-Event Data, Second Edition.</i> Hoboken, <abbr title="New Jersey">NJ</abbr>: John Wiley & Sons, <abbr title="Incorporated">Inc.</abbr></p>
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<p>Kubik, Jeffrey D. 1999. "Incentives for the Identification and Treatment of Children with Disabilities: The Supplemental Security Income Program." <i>Journal of Public Economics</i> 73(2): <span class="nobr">187–215.</span></p>
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<p>———. 2003. "Fiscal Federalism and Welfare Policy: The Role of States in the Growth of Child <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>." <i>National Tax Journal</i> 56(1): <span class="nobr">61–79.</span></p>
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<p>Liu, Su, and David C. Stapleton. 2011. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v71n3/v71n3p35.html">Longitudinal Statistics on Work Activity and Use of Employment Supports for New Social Security Disability Insurance Beneficiaries</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 71(3): <span class="nobr">35–59.</span></p>
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<p>Marubini, Ettore, and Maria Grazia Valsecchi. 1995. <i>Analysing Survival Data from Clinical Trials and Observational Studies.</i> Chichester: John Wiley & Sons <abbr title="Limited">Ltd.</abbr> (<abbr class="spell">UK</abbr>).</p>
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<p>Mashaw, Jerry L., and Virginia P. Reno, editors. 1996. <i>The Environment of Disability Income Policy: Programs, People, History and Context.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: National Academy of Social Insurance.</p>
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<p>[<abbr class="spell">OMB</abbr>] Office of Management and Budget. 2011. <i>Fiscal Year 2012 Budget of the <abbr>U.S.</abbr> Government.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: Government Printing Office. <a href="http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BUDGET-2012-BUD/pdf/BUDGET-2012-BUD.pdf">http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BUDGET-2012-BUD/pdf/BUDGET-2012-BUD.pdf</a>.</p>
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<p>Rupp, Kalman, and David C. Stapleton, editors. 1998. <i>Growth in Disability Benefits: Explanations and Policy Implications.</i> Kalamazoo, <abbr title="Michigan">MI</abbr>: <abbr>W.E.</abbr> Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.</p>
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<p>Schimmel, Jody, and David C. Stapleton. 2011. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v71n3/v71n3p83.html">Disability Benefits Suspended or Terminated Because of Work</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 71(3): <span class="nobr">83–103.</span></p>
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<p>Schimmel, Jody, David C. Stapleton, and Jae Song. 2010. "How Common is 'Parking' Among Social Security Disability Insurance (<abbr class="spell">SSDI</abbr>) Beneficiaries? Evidence from the 1999 Change in the Level of Substantial Gainful Activity (<abbr class="spell">SGA</abbr>)." <abbr class="spell">MRRC</abbr> Working Paper <abbr title="Number">No.</abbr> <span class="nobr">2009-220.</span> Ann Arbor, <abbr title="Michigan">MI</abbr>: Michigan Retirement Research Center.</p>
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<p>Schmidt, Lucie, and Purvi Sevak. 2004. "<abbr class="spell">AFDC</abbr>, <abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr>, and Welfare Reform Agressiveness: Caseload Reductions versus Caseload Shifting." <i>Journal of Human Resources</i> 39(3): <span class="nobr">792–812.</span></p>
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<p>Schmulowitz, Jack. 1973. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v36n6/v36n6p3.pdf">Recovery and Benefit Termination: Program Experience of Disabled-Worker Beneficiaries</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 36(6): <span class="nobr">3–15.</span></p>
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<p>Schoenfeld, David. 1982. "Partial Residuals for the Proportional Hazards Regression Model." <i>Biometrika</i> 69(1): <span class="nobr">239–241.</span></p>
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<p>Singer, Judith D., and John B. Willett. 2003. <i>Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis: Modeling Change and Event Occurrence.</i> Oxford: Oxford University Press (<abbr class="spell">UK</abbr>).</p>
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<p>[<abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>] Social Security Administration. 2012a. <i>Annual Performance Plan for <abbr class="spell">FY</abbr> 2013 and Revised Final Performance Plan for <abbr class="spell">FY</abbr> 2012. </i>Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>. <a href="/agency/performance/materials/2013/FY%202013%20APP%20and%20Revised%20Final%20Performance%20Plan%20for%20FY%202012.pdf">http://www.socialsecurity.gov/performance/2013/</a>.</p>
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<p>———. 2012b. <i>Annual Report of Continuing Disability Reviews, Social Security Administration, Fiscal Year 2010.</i> <a href="/legislation/FY%202010%20CDR%20Report.pdf">http://www.socialsecurity.gov/legislation/FY%202010%20CDR%20Report.pdf</a>.</p>
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<p>———. 2012c. <i>Annual Statistical Report on the Social Security Disability Insurance Program, 2011.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>. <a href="/policy/docs/statcomps/di_asr/2011/index.html">http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/di_asr/2011/index.html</a>.</p>
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<p>———. 2012d. <i>Annual Statistical Supplement to the Social Security Bulletin, 2011.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>. <a href="/policy/docs/statcomps/supplement/2011/index.html">http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/supplement/2011/index.html</a>.</p>
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<p>———. 2012e. "Program Operations Manual System (<abbr>POMS</abbr>) Section <abbr class="spell">DI</abbr> 28001.003: An Overview of Processing Continuing Disability Review (<abbr class="spell">CDR</abbr>) Mailer Forms <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>-455 and <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>-445-<abbr class="spell">OCR</abbr>-<abbr class="spell">SM</abbr>." <a href="https://secure.ssa.gov/apps10/poms.nsf/lnx/0428001003">https://secure.ssa.gov/apps10/poms.nsf/lnx/0428001003</a>.</p>
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<p>———. 2012f. <i><abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> Annual Statistical Report, 2011.</i> Washington, <abbr class="spell">DC</abbr>: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr>. <a href="/policy/docs/statcomps/ssi_asr/2011/index.html">http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/ssi_asr/2011/index.html</a>.</p>
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<p>Treitel, Ralph. 1979. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v42n4/v42n4p3.pdf">Recovery of Disabled Beneficiaries: A 1975 Followup Study of 1972 Allowances</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 42(4): <span class="nobr">3–23.</span></p>
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<p>Wamhoff, Steve, and Michael Wiseman. 2005/2006. "<a href="/policy/docs/ssb/v66n4/v66n4p21.html">The <abbr title="TAN F">TANF</abbr>/<abbr class="spell">SSI</abbr> Connection</a>." <i>Social Security Bulletin</i> 66(4): <span class="nobr">21–36.</span></p>
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