8247 lines
No EOL
398 KiB
HTML
8247 lines
No EOL
398 KiB
HTML
<!doctype html>
|
|
<html class="no-js" lang="en">
|
|
<head>
|
|
<meta charset="UTF-8" /><meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=Edge,chrome=1" /><meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1" />
|
|
<title>Projected effects of a proposal to reduce the cost-of-living adjustment</title>
|
|
<meta name="DCTERMS:contentOffice" content="ORDP:ORES" />
|
|
<meta name="DCTERMS:contentOwner" content="publications@ssa.gov" />
|
|
<meta name="DCTERMS:coderOffice" content="ORDP:ORES:OD" />
|
|
<meta name="DCTERMS:coder" content="op.webmaster@ssa.gov" />
|
|
<meta name="DCTERMS:dateCertified" content="2025-01-01" />
|
|
<meta name="description" content="Social Security Administration Research, Statistics, and Policy Analysis" />
|
|
<!-- STYLES & SCRIPTS -->
|
|
<script src="https://code.jquery.com/jquery-3.7.1.min.js" integrity="sha256-/JqT3SQfawRcv/BIHPThkBvs0OEvtFFmqPF/lYI/Cxo=" crossorigin="anonymous"></script>
|
|
<link href="/framework/css/phoenix.css" rel="stylesheet" media="all" />
|
|
<link href="/policy/styles/navORP.css" rel="stylesheet" media="all" />
|
|
<link href="/policy/styles/nav-shared.css" rel="stylesheet" media="all" />
|
|
<link href="/policy/styles/newpop.css?v2" rel="stylesheet" media="all" />
|
|
<!-- SSA INTERNET HEAD SCRIPTS -->
|
|
<script src="/framework/js/ssa.internet.head.js"></script>
|
|
|
|
<script>(window.BOOMR_mq=window.BOOMR_mq||[]).push(["addVar",{"rua.upush":"false","rua.cpush":"false","rua.upre":"false","rua.cpre":"false","rua.uprl":"false","rua.cprl":"false","rua.cprf":"false","rua.trans":"SJ-3a3bb884-f513-47e3-a86c-84bab05e21dc","rua.cook":"true","rua.ims":"false","rua.ufprl":"false","rua.cfprl":"false","rua.isuxp":"false","rua.texp":"norulematch","rua.ceh":"false","rua.ueh":"false","rua.ieh.st":"0"}]);</script>
|
|
<script>!function(e){var n="https://s.go-mpulse.net/boomerang/";if("False"=="True")e.BOOMR_config=e.BOOMR_config||{},e.BOOMR_config.PageParams=e.BOOMR_config.PageParams||{},e.BOOMR_config.PageParams.pci=!0,n="https://s2.go-mpulse.net/boomerang/";if(window.BOOMR_API_key="LERZW-HECFS-R8H4E-23UQ7-ERMQB",function(){function e(){if(!o){var e=document.createElement("script");e.id="boomr-scr-as",e.src=window.BOOMR.url,e.async=!0,i.parentNode.appendChild(e),o=!0}}function t(e){o=!0;var n,t,a,r,d=document,O=window;if(window.BOOMR.snippetMethod=e?"if":"i",t=function(e,n){var t=d.createElement("script");t.id=n||"boomr-if-as",t.src=window.BOOMR.url,BOOMR_lstart=(new Date).getTime(),e=e||d.body,e.appendChild(t)},!window.addEventListener&&window.attachEvent&&navigator.userAgent.match(/MSIE [67]\./))return window.BOOMR.snippetMethod="s",void t(i.parentNode,"boomr-async");a=document.createElement("IFRAME"),a.src="about:blank",a.title="",a.role="presentation",a.loading="eager",r=(a.frameElement||a).style,r.width=0,r.height=0,r.border=0,r.display="none",i.parentNode.appendChild(a);try{O=a.contentWindow,d=O.document.open()}catch(_){n=document.domain,a.src="javascript:var d=document.open();d.domain='"+n+"';void(0);",O=a.contentWindow,d=O.document.open()}if(n)d._boomrl=function(){this.domain=n,t()},d.write("<bo"+"dy onload='document._boomrl();'>");else if(O._boomrl=function(){t()},O.addEventListener)O.addEventListener("load",O._boomrl,!1);else if(O.attachEvent)O.attachEvent("onload",O._boomrl);d.close()}function a(e){window.BOOMR_onload=e&&e.timeStamp||(new Date).getTime()}if(!window.BOOMR||!window.BOOMR.version&&!window.BOOMR.snippetExecuted){window.BOOMR=window.BOOMR||{},window.BOOMR.snippetStart=(new Date).getTime(),window.BOOMR.snippetExecuted=!0,window.BOOMR.snippetVersion=12,window.BOOMR.url=n+"LERZW-HECFS-R8H4E-23UQ7-ERMQB";var i=document.currentScript||document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0],o=!1,r=document.createElement("link");if(r.relList&&"function"==typeof r.relList.supports&&r.relList.supports("preload")&&"as"in r)window.BOOMR.snippetMethod="p",r.href=window.BOOMR.url,r.rel="preload",r.as="script",r.addEventListener("load",e),r.addEventListener("error",function(){t(!0)}),setTimeout(function(){if(!o)t(!0)},3e3),BOOMR_lstart=(new Date).getTime(),i.parentNode.appendChild(r);else t(!1);if(window.addEventListener)window.addEventListener("load",a,!1);else if(window.attachEvent)window.attachEvent("onload",a)}}(),"".length>0)if(e&&"performance"in e&&e.performance&&"function"==typeof e.performance.setResourceTimingBufferSize)e.performance.setResourceTimingBufferSize();!function(){if(BOOMR=e.BOOMR||{},BOOMR.plugins=BOOMR.plugins||{},!BOOMR.plugins.AK){var n="false"=="true"?1:0,t="cookiepresent",a="eyd7g6aaiaaamjqacqdfqaaaabt3morh-f-6b0319827-clienttons-s.akamaihd.net",i="false"=="true"?2:1,o={"ak.v":"39","ak.cp":"1204614","ak.ai":parseInt("728289",10),"ak.ol":"0","ak.cr":3,"ak.ipv":6,"ak.proto":"h2","ak.rid":"c7ffea","ak.r":19138,"ak.a2":n,"ak.m":"dsca","ak.n":"essl","ak.bpcip":"2607:f378:40:6::","ak.cport":40614,"ak.gh":"184.50.26.202","ak.quicv":"","ak.tlsv":"tls1.3","ak.0rtt":"","ak.0rtt.ed":"","ak.csrc":"-","ak.acc":"","ak.t":"1739995687","ak.ak":"hOBiQwZUYzCg5VSAfCLimQ==/lsVnWw6byb/3/S1LmQ2v8VTIyqLLxJilTm08domL/b34cOwOngw0kksN1VlOZALvbQVPqO/Ts127Yj8HlcEMED0cuF7ZfvWly+r3SGNjyITFhwKfK7PO1rsGiTG9jfdVAXpgvKJEdeiALutypk0n2cGKLvvnBo1uri01p5m0cju/yVpKEDpsYjaReEgFSfGfjZwuAhSS4FNrh+MlMtvxFqLPuoC673vuoElXniiq92Kxk9ZcZXtgbivbJXRxYTKjJjJWcbPETMEp8IFKkvG6NNNnI2pOUulRboNCvOHzTwxXupJ0KQtcubvTeK5somlbNyF3pYcwy24wnNvlg4ZUiLuNUwUZf4UDSI4sIjk2n9m9xnZhMuN35EwBJK6sacHxL9IuMq7e2RO6JdK73Ef8pHwzuLVIN1tfqX5fz0sIXY=","ak.pv":"98","ak.dpoabenc":"","ak.tf":i};if(""!==t)o["ak.ruds"]=t;var r={i:!1,av:function(n){var t="http.initiator";if(n&&(!n[t]||"spa_hard"===n[t]))o["ak.feo"]=void 0!==e.aFeoApplied?1:0,BOOMR.addVar(o)},rv:function(){var e=["ak.bpcip","ak.cport","ak.cr","ak.csrc","ak.gh","ak.ipv","ak.m","ak.n","ak.ol","ak.proto","ak.quicv","ak.tlsv","ak.0rtt","ak.0rtt.ed","ak.r","ak.acc","ak.t","ak.tf"];BOOMR.removeVar(e)}};BOOMR.plugins.AK={akVars:o,akDNSPreFetchDomain:a,init:function(){if(!r.i){var e=BOOMR.subscribe;e("before_beacon",r.av,null,null),e("onbeacon",r.rv,null,null),r.i=!0}return this},is_complete:function(){return!0}}}}()}(window);</script></head>
|
|
<body class="newpops">
|
|
<!-- PAGE CONTAINER -->
|
|
<div id="page">
|
|
<div class="bg-dark-gray accessibility" id="accessibility"><a id="skip-navigation" href="#content">Skip to main content</a></div><ssa-header class="print-hide"><noscript><header class="banner-neo" id="banner" role="banner" style="background-color: #0b4778;"><div class="banner-wrapper"><h1 class="banner-logo"><a class="banner-logo__link" href="/">Social Security</a></h1><nav class="banner-nav" id="banner-nav"><a class="banner-nav__link banner-search" href="https://search.ssa.gov/search?affiliate=ssa" title="Search" target="_blank"><svg class="banner-nav__icon" focusable="false" width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24"><path d="M 10 23 C 11.219 23 12.384 22.762 13.496 22.285 C 14.608 21.808 15.565 21.169 16.367 20.367 C 17.169 19.565 17.808 18.608 18.285 17.496 C 18.762 16.384 19 15.219 19 14 C 19 12.953 18.829 11.951 18.488 10.992 C 18.147 10.033 17.661 9.164 17.031 8.383 L 22.711 2.711 C 22.904 2.518 23 2.281 23 2 C 23 1.713 22.905 1.475 22.715 1.285 C 22.525 1.095 22.287 1 22 1 C 21.719 1 21.482 1.096 21.289 1.289 L 15.617 6.969 C 14.836 6.339 13.966 5.853 13.008 5.512 C 12.05 5.171 11.047 5 10 5 C 8.781 5 7.616 5.238 6.504 5.715 C 5.392 6.192 4.435 6.831 3.633 7.633 C 2.831 8.435 2.192 9.392 1.715 10.504 C 1.238 11.616 1 12.781 1 14 C 1 15.219 1.238 16.384 1.715 17.496 C 2.192 18.608 2.831 19.565 3.633 20.367 C 4.435 21.169 5.392 21.808 6.504 22.285 C 7.616 22.762 8.781 23 10 23 Z M 10 21 C 9.052 21 8.146 20.815 7.281 20.445 C 6.416 20.075 5.672 19.578 5.047 18.953 C 4.422 18.328 3.925 17.584 3.555 16.719 C 3.185 15.854 3 14.948 3 14 C 3 13.052 3.185 12.146 3.555 11.281 C 3.925 10.416 4.422 9.672 5.047 9.047 C 5.672 8.422 6.416 7.925 7.281 7.555 C 8.146 7.185 9.052 7 10 7 C 10.948 7 11.854 7.185 12.719 7.555 C 13.584 7.925 14.328 8.422 14.953 9.047 C 15.578 9.672 16.075 10.416 16.445 11.281 C 16.815 12.146 17 13.052 17 14 C 17 14.948 16.815 15.854 16.445 16.719 C 16.075 17.584 15.578 18.328 14.953 18.953 C 14.328 19.578 13.584 20.075 12.719 20.445 C 11.854 20.815 10.948 21 10 21 Z" transform="matrix(-1, 0, 0, -1, 24.000001, 24.000001)" vector-effect="non-scaling-stroke"></path></svg> <span>Search</span> </a><a class="banner-nav__link banner-menu" href="/menu" id="ssa-menu" title="Menu"><svg class="banner-nav__icon" focusable="false" width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24"><path d="M3 5h18q.414 0 .707.293T22 6t-.293.707T21 7H3q-.414 0-.707-.293T2 6t.293-.707T3 5zm0 12h18q.414 0 .707.293T22 18t-.293.707T21 19H3q-.414 0-.707-.293T2 18t.293-.707T3 17zm0-6h18q.414 0 .707.293T22 12t-.293.707T21 13H3q-.414 0-.707-.293T2 12t.293-.707T3 11z" vector-effect="non-scaling-stroke"></path></svg> <span>Menu</span> </a><a class="banner-nav__link banner-languages" href="/es" id="ssa-languages" title="Español" hreflang="es"><svg class="banner-nav__icon" focusable="false" width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24"><path d="M12 0C5.373 0 0 5.373 0 12s5.373 12 12 12c.812 0 1.604-.08 2.37-.235-.31-.147-.343-1.255-.037-1.887.34-.703 1.406-2.485.35-3.08-1.053-.6-.76-.868-1.405-1.56-.644-.692-.38-.796-.422-.974-.14-.61.62-1.523.656-1.616.035-.094.035-.446.023-.55-.012-.107-.48-.387-.597-.4-.117-.01-.176.188-.34.2-.164.012-.88-.433-1.03-.55-.154-.117-.224-.398-.435-.61-.21-.212-.235-.047-.562-.175-.327-.13-1.382-.516-2.19-.844-.81-.33-.88-.79-.892-1.114-.012-.325-.492-.797-.718-1.137-.225-.342-.267-.81-.348-.705-.082.106.422 1.336.34 1.37-.083.037-.26-.338-.493-.643-.235-.304.245-.14-.505-1.617-.75-1.476.235-2.23.282-3 .048-.77.633.28.328-.21-.304-.493.023-1.524-.21-1.9-.235-.374-1.57.423-1.57.423.034-.363 1.17-.985 1.99-1.56.82-.573 1.322-.128 1.982.083.66.21.703.142.48-.07-.222-.21.094-.316.61-.235.516.082.656.704 1.442.645.784-.06.08.152.186.35.105.2-.117.177-.633.53-.516.35.012.35.926 1.02.913.667.632-.447.538-.94-.094-.49.668-.105.668-.105.563.375.46.02.87.15.408.13 1.52 1.07 1.52 1.07-1.395.762-.516.844-.282 1.02.235.175-.48.515-.48.515-.294-.293-.34.012-.528.117-.187.105-.012.375-.012.375-.97.153-.75 1.173-.738 1.418.012.247-.62.622-.786.973-.164.35.423 1.113.117 1.16-.305.048-.61-1.148-2.25-.703-.495.134-1.593.703-1.008 1.863.585 1.16 1.558-.328 1.886-.164.33.163-.093.902-.023.913.07.012.927.033.974 1.032.048 1 1.3.914 1.57.938.27.023 1.173-.74 1.3-.774.13-.035.646-.47 1.77.175 1.126.644 1.7.55 2.086.82.387.27.117.81.48.985.365.176 1.818-.058 2.18.54.364.597-1.5 3.597-2.085 3.925-.586.328-.856 1.078-1.442 1.558-.69.563-1.418 1.076-2.18 1.535-.684.407-.807 1.137-1.112 1.367C19.984 22.52 24 17.73 24 12c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12zm2.813 11.262c-.165.047-.504.352-1.336-.14-.832-.494-1.406-.4-1.477-.48 0 0-.07-.2.293-.236.747-.072 1.688.692 1.9.704.21.012.315-.21.69-.09.375.12.094.195-.07.242zM10.887 1.196c-.082-.06.068-.128.157-.246.05-.07.013-.182.078-.246.175-.177 1.043-.423.874.058-.17.48-.98.527-1.11.434zm2.098 1.523c-.293-.013-.983-.086-.856-.212.494-.492-.188-.633-.61-.668-.423-.036-.598-.27-.388-.294.21-.024 1.055.013 1.196.13.14.117.902.422.95.644.047.223 0 .41-.293.4zm2.542-.083c-.234.188-1.413-.673-1.64-.867-.985-.844-1.513-.563-1.72-.703-.206-.142-.132-.33.184-.61.318-.282 1.21.094 1.724.152.516.058 1.113.457 1.125.93.01.474.562.91.327 1.097z" vector-effect="non-scaling-stroke"></path></svg> <span>Español</span> </a><a class="banner-nav__link banner-signin" href="https://secure.ssa.gov/RIL/SiView.action" id="ssa-signin" title="Sign in" target="_blank"><svg class="banner-nav__icon" focusable="false" width="24" height="24" viewbox="0 0 24 24"><path d="M12 17.016q-.797 0-1.406-.61t-.61-1.405.61-1.405 1.406-.61 1.406.61.61 1.406-.61 1.407-1.406.61zm6 3V9.986H6v10.03h12zm-6-17.11q-1.266 0-2.18.914T8.906 6H9v2.016h6.094V6q0-1.266-.914-2.18T12 2.906zm6 5.11q.797 0 1.406.586t.61 1.383v10.03q0 .798-.61 1.384T18 21.984H6q-.797 0-1.406-.586t-.61-1.384V9.986q0-.798.61-1.384T6 8.016h.984V6q0-2.063 1.477-3.54T12 .985t3.54 1.477T17.015 6v2.016H18z" vector-effect="non-scaling-stroke"></path></svg> <span>Sign in</span></a></nav></div></header></noscript></ssa-header><script src="https://www.ssa.gov/legacy/components/dist/ssa-header.js"></script>
|
|
<div id="title-bar"><h2>Research, Statistics & Policy Analysis</h2></div>
|
|
<div class="rMenuBtn show-phone" id="rMenuBtn">☰ Browse publications</div>
|
|
<!-- CONTENT -->
|
|
<div id="content" role="main">
|
|
<div class="grid">
|
|
<div class="breadORP" itemscope itemtype="http://schema.org/BreadcrumbList">You are here: <span itemprop="itemListElement" itemscope itemtype="http://schema.org/ListItem"><a href="/" itemprop="item"><span itemprop="name">Social Security Administration</span></a><meta itemprop="position" content="1" /></span> > <span itemprop="itemListElement" itemscope itemtype="http://schema.org/ListItem"><a href="/policy/index.html" itemprop="item"><span itemprop="name">Research, Statistics & Policy Analysis</span></a><meta itemprop="position" content="2" /></span> > <span itemprop="itemListElement" itemscope itemtype="http://schema.org/ListItem"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/policy-options/index.html" itemprop="item"><span itemprop="name">Policy Option Projections</span></a><meta itemprop="position" content="3" /></span></div>
|
|
<div class="row-12">
|
|
<h3>Projected Effects of a Proposal to Reduce the Cost-of-Living <br>Adjustment (<abbr>COLA</abbr>)</h3>
|
|
<div id="utilitiesORP" style="top:2.4em">
|
|
<ul>
|
|
<li id="emailORP"><a class="js-ga-event" href="#" data-event="outbound-link" data-event-action="click" data-event-label="email-this">Email</a></li>
|
|
<li id="printORP"><a href="#">Save/Print</a></li>
|
|
<li><a href="reduce-COLA-with-chained-CPI.xlsx">Excel </a></li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="column-10">
|
|
<p><span class="detailsHead">Details:</span><span style="font-size:110%"> Base it on the <a href="https://www.bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/chained-cpi.htm">Chained Consumer Price Index <abbr class="spell">CPI</abbr></a></span></p>
|
|
<p class="resourceLinks"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html">Table user guide</a> | <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html">Projection methodology</a> | <a href="/policy/docs/projections/policy-options/summary.html">All options comparison</a> | <a href="/OACT/COLA/latestCOLA.html">Current COLA</a> | <a href="/policy/research.html?keyword=distributional%20effects">Related research</a></p>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="column-2"></div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="row-12 margin-top">
|
|
<div class="column-10">
|
|
<div class="popsTabsPanel">
|
|
<div id="tableBenefits2030" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Benefits in 2030 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2030">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>Social Security benefits <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit <br>increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>69%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>71%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableBenefits2050" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Benefits in 2050 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2050">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>Social Security benefits <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit <br>increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>68%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>97%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableBenefits2070" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Benefits in 2070 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2070">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>Social Security benefits <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Benefit <br>increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>68%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-11%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>98%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-10%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-9%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-8%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-10%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>75%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableTaxes2030" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Taxes Paid in 2030 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law payroll taxpayers aged 31 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableTaxpayers2030">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in Social Security taxes paid <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Change in taxes paid <br>(in 2024$) <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">31–39</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">70 or older</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#taxes">Current-law payroll taxes quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="9">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="9">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableTaxes2050" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Taxes Paid in 2050 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law payroll taxpayers aged 31 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableTaxpayers2050">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in Social Security taxes paid <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Change in taxes paid <br>(in 2024$) <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">31–39</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">70 or older</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#taxes">Current-law payroll taxes quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="9">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="9">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableTaxes2070" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Social Security Taxes Paid in 2070 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law payroll taxpayers aged 31 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableTaxpayers2070">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:5.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in Social Security taxes paid <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Change in taxes paid <br>(in 2024$) <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Tax increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">31–39</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">40–49</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">50–59</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">70 or older</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#taxes">Current-law payroll taxes quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="8"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
<td>$0</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="9">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="9">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableIncome2030" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Household Income in 2030 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2030">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with an—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>household income <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>29%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>40%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>23%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>36%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>38%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>37%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>36%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>15%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>37%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>38%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>56%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>55%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>73%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>43%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableIncome2050" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Household Income in 2050 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2050">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with an—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>household income <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>69%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>61%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>63%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>66%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>68%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>60%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>66%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>64%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>64%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>55%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>54%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>64%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>69%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>70%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>62%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>58%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>63%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>70%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>45%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableIncome2070" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Household Income in 2070 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2070">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:20em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:8em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with an—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in <br>household income <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Income increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>67%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>71%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>63%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>69%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>69%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>58%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>68%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>73%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>67%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>60%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>60%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>66%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>71%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>71%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>67%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>76%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#hiq">Current-law household income quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>59%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>76%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="5"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-7%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>70%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="6">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="6">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">%ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tablePoverty2030" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Official Poverty Measure in 2030 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2030">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Official poverty rate</th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Number of population in poverty <br>(in thousands)</th>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" scope="colgroup">Percent change in the number in poverty</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>4,062</td>
|
|
<td>4,224</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">161</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>2,368</td>
|
|
<td>2,476</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">107</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>1,693</td>
|
|
<td>1,748</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>788</td>
|
|
<td>814</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>2,250</td>
|
|
<td>2,334</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>11%</td>
|
|
<td>732</td>
|
|
<td>770</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>292</td>
|
|
<td>305</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>2,969</td>
|
|
<td>3,095</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>1,092</td>
|
|
<td>1,129</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>9%</td>
|
|
<td>1,986</td>
|
|
<td>2,056</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">70</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>1,556</td>
|
|
<td>1,634</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">77</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>469</td>
|
|
<td>483</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>50</td>
|
|
<td>50</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>855</td>
|
|
<td>886</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>11%</td>
|
|
<td>1,365</td>
|
|
<td>1,440</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>901</td>
|
|
<td>939</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>19%</td>
|
|
<td>941</td>
|
|
<td>959</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>117</td>
|
|
<td>119</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>386</td>
|
|
<td>401</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>842</td>
|
|
<td>882</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>1,910</td>
|
|
<td>1,991</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>807</td>
|
|
<td>830</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>162</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">161</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>4,062</td>
|
|
<td>4,062</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>2,764</td>
|
|
<td>2,855</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">91</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>734</td>
|
|
<td>781</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>256</td>
|
|
<td>269</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>11%</td>
|
|
<td>12%</td>
|
|
<td>308</td>
|
|
<td>318</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">10</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tablePoverty2050" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Official Poverty Measure in 2050 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2050">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Official poverty rate</th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Number of population in poverty <br>(in thousands)</th>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" scope="colgroup">Percent change in the number in poverty</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>4,247</td>
|
|
<td>4,857</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">609</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>2,446</td>
|
|
<td>2,787</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">340</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>1,801</td>
|
|
<td>2,070</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">268</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>1,112</td>
|
|
<td>1,261</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">148</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>1,992</td>
|
|
<td>2,312</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">319</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>9%</td>
|
|
<td>759</td>
|
|
<td>858</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">99</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>384</td>
|
|
<td>426</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">10%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>2,904</td>
|
|
<td>3,307</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">403</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>1,343</td>
|
|
<td>1,549</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">206</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>1,559</td>
|
|
<td>1,637</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">77</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>1,496</td>
|
|
<td>1,676</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">180</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>978</td>
|
|
<td>1,247</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">269</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>214</td>
|
|
<td>296</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>813</td>
|
|
<td>897</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">10%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>9%</td>
|
|
<td>1,233</td>
|
|
<td>1,422</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">188</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>914</td>
|
|
<td>1,124</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">210</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>13%</td>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>1,286</td>
|
|
<td>1,413</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">126</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>198</td>
|
|
<td>223</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>388</td>
|
|
<td>466</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">20%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>827</td>
|
|
<td>977</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">149</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">18%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>1,879</td>
|
|
<td>2,145</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">265</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>13%</td>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>954</td>
|
|
<td>1,046</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">91</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>610</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">609</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>4,247</td>
|
|
<td>4,247</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>3,150</td>
|
|
<td>3,519</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">368</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>606</td>
|
|
<td>784</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">178</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>263</td>
|
|
<td>318</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">20%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>228</td>
|
|
<td>236</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">8</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">3%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tablePoverty2070" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Official Poverty Measure in 2070 <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries aged 60 or older <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2070">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:19.5em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:7em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Official poverty rate</th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Number of population in poverty <br>(in thousands)</th>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" scope="colgroup">Percent change in the number in poverty</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Under current law</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">With proposal</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Change</th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>2,953</td>
|
|
<td>3,380</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">427</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>1,652</td>
|
|
<td>1,897</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">245</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>1,301</td>
|
|
<td>1,483</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">182</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>961</td>
|
|
<td>1,084</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">122</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>1,193</td>
|
|
<td>1,403</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">209</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>468</td>
|
|
<td>526</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">58</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>331</td>
|
|
<td>368</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>1,927</td>
|
|
<td>2,240</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">313</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>6%</td>
|
|
<td>1,026</td>
|
|
<td>1,141</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">114</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#age">Age</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">60–69</span></th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>1,017</td>
|
|
<td>1,064</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">4%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">70–79</span></th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>1,050</td>
|
|
<td>1,197</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">147</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">80–89</span></th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>671</td>
|
|
<td>825</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">153</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">90 or older</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>215</td>
|
|
<td>295</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#marital">Marital status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Married</th>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>510</td>
|
|
<td>578</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">68</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Divorced</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>736</td>
|
|
<td>816</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">10%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Widowed</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>515</td>
|
|
<td>652</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">136</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Never married</th>
|
|
<td>7%</td>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>1,192</td>
|
|
<td>1,334</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">142</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>162</td>
|
|
<td>174</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">7%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>1%</td>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>226</td>
|
|
<td>288</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">62</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>503</td>
|
|
<td>576</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>1,289</td>
|
|
<td>1,488</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">198</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>8%</td>
|
|
<td>9%</td>
|
|
<td>773</td>
|
|
<td>855</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">10%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#poverty">Current-law poverty status</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Above poverty</th>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0</td>
|
|
<td>429</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">429</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">. . .</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">In poverty</th>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>100%</td>
|
|
<td>2,953</td>
|
|
<td>2,951</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#type">Current-law benefit type</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="6"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Retired worker only</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>2,314</td>
|
|
<td>2,590</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">275</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row"><span class="nobr">Widow(er)</span> (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>330</td>
|
|
<td>447</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">116</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Spousal (includes dually entitled)</th>
|
|
<td>2%</td>
|
|
<td>3%</td>
|
|
<td>150</td>
|
|
<td>171</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">20</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Disabled worker only</th>
|
|
<td>4%</td>
|
|
<td>5%</td>
|
|
<td>158</td>
|
|
<td>173</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="7">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="7">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote">. . . = not applicable.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRatios1960" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Benefit/Tax Ratios <span class="population">POPULATION: Workers born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">1960–1969</span> with a benefit/tax ratio <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWorkers1960">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in benefit/tax ratio <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">145%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">450%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">139%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">437%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">182%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">644%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">175%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">625%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">266%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">257%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>76%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">162%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">569%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">156%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">557%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">140%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">406%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">135%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">392%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>70%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">149%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">473%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">144%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">462%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">146%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">508%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">141%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">491%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">141%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">416%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">136%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">401%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>76%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">164%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">599%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">158%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">577%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">264%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">251%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">137%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">362%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">132%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">346%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">146%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">393%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">141%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">379%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">153%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">519%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">148%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">506%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>65%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">161%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">803%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">156%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">779%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>93%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">108%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">157%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">104%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">150%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">134%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">201%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">192%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">160%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">270%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">14%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">154%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">258%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">228%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">504%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">220%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">488%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>59%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">254%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,561%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">245%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,512%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">108%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">152%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">104%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">145%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">136%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">202%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">131%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">193%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">161%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">267%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">156%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">254%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>73%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">18%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">218%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">454%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">18%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">210%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">440%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>55%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">308%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,585%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">298%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,546%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">194%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">111%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">185%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">139%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">269%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">258%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">19%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">160%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">363%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">19%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">153%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">349%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">185%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">516%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">179%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">507%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>52%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">205%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,138%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">199%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,113%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRatios1980" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Benefit/Tax Ratios <span class="population">POPULATION: Workers born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">1980–1989</span> with a benefit/tax ratio <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWorkers1980">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in benefit/tax ratio <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">404%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">385%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">156%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">570%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">150%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">542%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>77%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">110%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">275%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">106%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">264%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>74%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">447%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">426%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">130%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">403%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">385%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>75%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">130%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">355%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">345%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">104%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">383%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">100%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">363%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">130%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">369%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">6%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">353%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>70%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">602%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">570%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">113%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">278%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">108%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">266%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">117%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">311%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">113%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">295%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>81%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">348%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">128%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">333%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">143%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">533%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">138%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">513%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>68%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">627%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">598%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>94%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">96%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">138%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">92%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">131%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">128%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">192%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">184%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">157%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">271%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">151%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">260%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">220%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">568%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">212%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">539%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>53%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2,087%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,981%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">96%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">137%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">92%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">131%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>90%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">194%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">185%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">159%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">274%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">153%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">261%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">215%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">505%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">208%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">482%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">95%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2,194%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">93%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2,114%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">99%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">163%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">95%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">154%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">131%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">267%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">252%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">158%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">359%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">152%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">344%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">188%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">575%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">182%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">550%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>45%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,049%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,013%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRatios2000" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Benefit/Tax Ratios <span class="population">POPULATION: Workers born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">2000–2009</span> with a benefit/tax ratio <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWorkers2000">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in benefit/tax ratio <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">357%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">341%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">145%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">519%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">5%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">139%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">495%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">103%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">246%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">99%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">236%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>77%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">401%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">383%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">343%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">326%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>76%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">333%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">114%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">321%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">105%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">349%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">101%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">332%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">319%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">304%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>73%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">565%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">117%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">537%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">109%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">259%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">104%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">246%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">110%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">278%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">12%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">105%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">262%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">318%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">305%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">441%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">423%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">594%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">562%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>95%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">88%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">127%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">177%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">113%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">168%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">144%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">246%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">138%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">235%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">196%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">466%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">189%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">444%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>55%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,729%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,657%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">89%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">127%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">179%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">114%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">170%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">144%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">249%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">138%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">237%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">192%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">442%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">13%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">185%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">422%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>53%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,771%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,686%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">91%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">145%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">87%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">138%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>93%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">122%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">227%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">117%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">215%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">140%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">302%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">134%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">288%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">172%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">532%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">166%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">507%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>50%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">996%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">947%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRatios2020" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Benefit/Tax Ratios <span class="population">POPULATION: Workers born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">2020–2029</span> with a benefit/tax ratio <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWorkers2020">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in benefit/tax ratio <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Benefit/tax ratio <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Ratio increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">366%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">350%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>85%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">149%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">531%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">143%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">505%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">107%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">252%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">103%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">242%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>78%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">400%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">383%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">126%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">363%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">346%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>77%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">306%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">117%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">296%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>79%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">113%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">335%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">107%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">319%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">324%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">11%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">309%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>73%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">516%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">491%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>89%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">116%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">286%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">111%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">271%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">115%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">300%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">9%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">110%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">284%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">325%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">309%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>80%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">439%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">127%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">417%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>72%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">129%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">578%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">539%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>96%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">95%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">91%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">126%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>91%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">181%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">172%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>86%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">149%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">251%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">142%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">239%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">208%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">500%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">200%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">475%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>54%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,555%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,475%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>97%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">95%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">91%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">126%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>92%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">182%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">173%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>87%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">149%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">254%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">143%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">242%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>82%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">202%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">466%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">194%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">443%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>53%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,589%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">121%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">1,509%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>97%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-2%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">98%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">152%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">49%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">94%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">145%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>93%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-4%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">235%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">119%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">225%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>88%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">146%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">316%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">140%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">300%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>83%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-5%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">8%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">183%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">543%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">8%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">176%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">515%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>50%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-6%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-3%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">73%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">797%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">748%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRates1960" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Initial Replacement Rates <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">1960–1969</span> with a replacement rate <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWithRates1960">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in initial replacement rate <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>23%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>19%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">86%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>26%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">86%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">89%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>29%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>47%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>38%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>13%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">32%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">32%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>40%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">64%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>12%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">70%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">70%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">120%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>46%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">49%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>17%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">68%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">112%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">68%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">111%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>47%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">17%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">36%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>23%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">70%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">69%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>16%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">86%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>10%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRates1980" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Initial Replacement Rates <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">1980–1989</span> with a replacement rate <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWithRates1980">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in initial replacement rate <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">44%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>40%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>48%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">20%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">41%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>39%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">87%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">86%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>43%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">64%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">73%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">73%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">122%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">49%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>30%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">58%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">37%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>26%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">30%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>19%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>16%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">116%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">114%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>47%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">62%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">61%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>26%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>14%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">102%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">49%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">100%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRates2000" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Initial Replacement Rates <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">2000–2009</span> with a replacement rate <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWithRates2000">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in initial replacement rate <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>29%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">89%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">88%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>42%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>48%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">77%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>41%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">77%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">87%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">87%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>16%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>43%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>26%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">64%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">125%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">123%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">48%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">24%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">59%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">58%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">73%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">118%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">116%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">63%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">62%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>26%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">29%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">70%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">86%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>15%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">104%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">102%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div id="tableRates2020" class="popsArea">
|
|
<div class="table">
|
|
<table>
|
|
<caption>Projected Effects of Proposal on Initial Replacement Rates <span class="population">POPULATION: Current-law beneficiaries born <span class="nobr" style="color:#2d8773">2020–2029</span> with a replacement rate <a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableWithRates2020">(characteristics)</a></span></caption>
|
|
<colgroup span="1" style="width:16em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="2" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<colgroup span="3" style="width:4.2em"></colgroup>
|
|
<thead>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th rowspan="2" class="stubHeading" scope="colgroup">Characteristic</th>
|
|
<th colspan="2" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#decrease-increase">Percent of <br>population <span class="nobr">with a—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percent-change">Percent change in initial replacement rate <span class="nobr">at the—</span></a></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate under current law <span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
<th colspan="3" class="spanner" scope="colgroup">Initial replacement rate <br>with proposal <br><span class="nobr">at the—</span></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate decrease</th>
|
|
<th scope="col">Rate increase</th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">10th %ile</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">Median</a></th>
|
|
<th scope="col"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#percentiles">90th %ile</a></th>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</thead>
|
|
<tbody>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub2" scope="rowgroup">Total</th>
|
|
<td>28%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#sex">Sex</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Female</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">28%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Male</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#race">Race and ethnicity</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Hispanic or Latino, any race</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">88%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">25%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">87%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">White, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>31%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Black or African American, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>23%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">All other races, non-Hispanic</th>
|
|
<td>43%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">83%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">43%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#immigration">Country of birth</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">United States</th>
|
|
<td>27%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">80%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Other countries</th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">26%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#education">Highest education level</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Graduate</th>
|
|
<td>49%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">79%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">78%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Bachelor</th>
|
|
<td>40%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">21%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">42%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Associate</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">76%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">High school</th>
|
|
<td>19%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">89%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">88%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Less than high school</th>
|
|
<td>17%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">90%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#AIME">Current-law initial <abbr>AIME</abbr> quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>43%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">46%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">23%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">64%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>22%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">39%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">55%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">81%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">133%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">75%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">130%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax">Lifetime payroll tax quintile</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>47%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">33%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">47%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>32%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">58%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">57%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>24%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">66%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">31%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">65%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>21%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">38%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">54%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">82%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>18%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">74%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">124%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">56%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">73%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">122%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub0" scope="rowgroup"><a href="/policy/docs/projections/user-guide.html#lifetime-tax-shared">Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)</a></th>
|
|
<td colspan="11"></td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Highest</th>
|
|
<td>47%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">16%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">50%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">15%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">34%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">49%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second highest</th>
|
|
<td>33%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">62%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">22%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">40%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">61%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Middle</th>
|
|
<td>25%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">72%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">27%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">45%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">71%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Second lowest</th>
|
|
<td>20%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">53%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">85%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">35%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">52%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">84%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<th class="stub1" scope="row">Lowest</th>
|
|
<td>16%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="maroon">-1%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td>0%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">108%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">51%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">67%</td>
|
|
<td class="navy">107%</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tbody>
|
|
<tfoot>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="firstNote" colspan="12">SOURCE: <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, <a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html"><abbr>MINT</abbr> 8.23</a>. Run ID: <abbr>COLA</abbr> OACT1001v2 02/20/2024</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
<tr>
|
|
<td class="lastNote" colspan="12">NOTES: Start date = 2025.
|
|
<div class="newNote"><abbr>AIME</abbr> = average indexed monthly earnings; %ile = percentile.</div>
|
|
<div class="newNote">Providing these estimates does not imply <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> support for the proposal, nor is <abbr class="spell">SSA</abbr> responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.</div>
|
|
</td>
|
|
</tr>
|
|
</tfoot>
|
|
</table>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div class="column-2">
|
|
<ul class="popsNav">
|
|
<li id="Benefits" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tableBenefits2030">Social Security Benefits</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tableBenefits2030" id="Benefits2030">In 2030 </a><a href="#tableBenefits2050" id="Benefits2050">In 2050 </a><a href="#tableBenefits2070" id="Benefits2070">In 2070</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li id="Taxes" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tableTaxes2030">Social Security Taxes Paid</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tableTaxes2030" id="Taxes2030">In 2030 </a><a href="#tableTaxes2050" id="Taxes2050">In 2050 </a><a href="#tableTaxes2070" id="Taxes2070">In 2070</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li id="Income" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tableIncome2030">Household Income</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tableIncome2030" id="Income2030">In 2030 </a><a href="#tableIncome2050" id="Income2050">In 2050 </a><a href="#tableIncome2070" id="Income2070">In 2070</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li id="Poverty" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tablePoverty2030">Poverty</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tablePoverty2030" id="Poverty2030">In 2030 </a><a href="#tablePoverty2050" id="Poverty2050">In 2050 </a><a href="#tablePoverty2070" id="Poverty2070">In 2070</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li id="Ratios" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tableRatios1960">Benefit/Tax Ratios</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tableRatios1960" id="Ratios1960">For 1960–1969 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRatios1980" id="Ratios1980">For 1980–1989 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRatios2000" id="Ratios2000">For 2000–2009 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRatios2020" id="Ratios2020">For 2020–2029 birth cohort</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
<li id="Rates" class="eachTab">
|
|
<div class="popsCategory"><a href="#tableRates1960">Initial Replacement Rates</a></div>
|
|
<div class="popsToggle"><a href="#tableRates1960" id="Rates1960">For 1960–1969 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRates1980" id="Rates1980">For 1980–1989 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRates2000" id="Rates2000">For 2000–2009 birth cohort </a><a href="#tableRates2020" id="Rates2020">For 2020–2029 birth cohort</a></div>
|
|
</li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
<p class="oactNote">For projected effects on the Social Security trust funds, see the <a href="/oact/solvency/provisions/cola.html">Actuary's provision A3</a>.</p>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<!-- END COLUMN, ROW, GRID, CONTENT -->
|
|
<!-- PAGE FOOTER -->
|
|
<ssa-footer class="print-hide"><noscript><footer class="footer" id="footer" role="contentinfo"><a href="/menu#footer">Footer menu</a></footer></noscript></ssa-footer><script src="https://www.ssa.gov/legacy/components/dist/ssa-footer.js"></script>
|
|
</div>
|
|
<!-- END PAGE CONTAINER -->
|
|
<!-- OCOMM BODY CONTENT -->
|
|
<!-- SSA INTERNET BODY SCRIPTS -->
|
|
<script src="/framework/js/ssa.internet.body.js"></script>
|
|
<script src="/policy/js/newpops.js"></script>
|
|
<script src="/policy/js/orp.nav.js"></script>
|
|
<script src="/policy/js/rspa-shared.js"></script>
|
|
</body>
|
|
</html> |