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<li><a href="/policy/docs/program-explainers/scheduled-payable.html">Scheduled <abbr title="versus">vs.</abbr> Payable Benefits</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/program-explainers/special-minimum.html">Special Minimum Benefit</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/program-explainers/poverty-decline.html">Why Will Poverty Decline for Beneficiaries?</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/program-explainers/windfall-elimination-provision.html">Windfall Elimination Provision</a></li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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<li class="noClick menu1a" id="PM"><a href="#" tabindex="-1">Projections</a></li>
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<li class="hasFly menu2a" id="PFS"><a href="#" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false">Fact sheets</a>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations/divorced-spousal-2050.html">By beneficiary type</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/populations/beneficiaries-60-or-older.html">By demographic group</a></li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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<li class="hasFly menu2a" id="PPO"><a href="#" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false">Tables</a>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/policy-options/index.html">Policy options/proposals</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/tables/beneficiaries.html">Profile of beneficiaries by race & ethnicity</a></li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/tables/taxpayers.html">Profile of taxpayers by race & ethnicity</a></li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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</ul>
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</nav></div>
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<div class="column-9">
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<h3>Modeling Income in the Near Term (<abbr>MINT</abbr>) Overview</h3>
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<p>Some of our research uses the <abbr>MINT</abbr> microsimulation model to project future retirement income, marital trends, Social Security benefits, income, and poverty. These projections allow researchers and policy analysts to study future retirement conditions and the effects of proposed retirement policy changes.</p>
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<p>The following resources detail the history and methodology of the <abbr>MINT</abbr> model.</p>
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<h5>Social Security Administration > Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics</h5>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/projections/methodology.html">Projection Methodology</a> (<abbr>MINT</abbr>8), August 2021</li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/rsnotes/rsn2017-02.html">A Field Guide to Social Security Distributional Analysis</a>, Research and Statistics Note <span class="nobr">2017-02,</span> December 2017</li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/rsnotes/rsn2014-03.html">The Effects of Alternative Demographic and Economic Assumptions on <abbr>MINT</abbr> Simulations: A Sensitivity Analysis</a>, Research and Statistics Note 2014-03, April 2014</li>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/workingpapers/wp91.html">Methods in Modeling Income in the Near Term (<abbr>MINT</abbr> 1)</a>, <abbr class="spell">ORES</abbr> Working Paper 91, June 2001</li>
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</ul>
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<h5>Urban Institute</h5>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term">Modeling Income in the Near Term 8: Final Report</a>, October 21, 2021</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term-8-and-2014-primer">Modeling Income in the Near Term 8 and 2014 Primer</a>, September 5, 2019</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/primer-modeling-income-near-term-version-7-mint7">A Primer on Modeling Income in the Near Term, Version 7 (<abbr>MINT</abbr>7)</a>, October 1, 2013</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term-version-6">Modeling Income in the Near Term 6</a>, January 6, 2012</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/comparisons-mint-2003-and-2004-projections-survey-data">Comparisons of <abbr>MINT</abbr> 2003 and 2004 Projections with Survey Data</a>, December 1, 2008</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term-5">Modeling Income in the Near Term 5</a>, November 5, 2007</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term-4">Modeling Income in the Near Term 4</a>, April 19, 2005</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/research/publication/modeling-income-near-term-revised-projections-retirement-income-through-2020-1931-1960-birth-cohorts">Modeling Income in the Near Term: Revised Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the <span class="nobr">1931–1960</span> Birth Cohorts</a>, June 1, 2002</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/66386/410315-Modeling-Income-in-the-Near-Term-Projections-of-Retirement-Income-Through-for-the--Birth-Cohorts.PDF">Modeling Income in the Near Term—Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the <span class="nobr">1931–60</span> Birth Cohorts</a>, September 1, 1999</li>
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</ul>
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<h5><abbr>RAND</abbr></h5>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="/policy/docs/contractreports/NearTermModelDev.pdf">Near Term Model Development, Part <abbr title="two">II</abbr></a>, August 15, 1999</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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