298 lines
21 KiB
HTML
298 lines
21 KiB
HTML
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<meta name="lead_content_manager" content="JeffK">
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<meta name="dc.date.created" scheme="ISO8601" content="2006-05-01">
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<meta name="dc.date.reviewed" scheme="ISO8601" content="2006-05-01">
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<meta name="dc.title" content="THE 2006 ANNUAL REPORT OF THE BOARD OF TRUSTEES OF THE FEDERAL OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE AND DISABILITY INSURANCE TRUST FUNDS">
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<body>
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<table summary="Document navigation links" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
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<tr>
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<td width="60%"><h2 class="pTitle">2006 OASDI Trustees Report</h2></td>
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<td><a accesskey="c" href="trTOC.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq1" src="images/toc.gif" border="0" alt="Contents" /></a></td>
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<td><a accesskey="p" href="VI_glossary.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq2" src="images/prev.gif" border="0" alt="Previous" /></a></td>
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<td><a accesskey="n" href="trLOF.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq3" src="images/next.gif" border="0" alt="Next" /></a></td>
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<td><a accesskey="t" href="trLOT.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq4" src="images/tablesx.gif" border="0" alt="List of Tables" /></a></td>
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<td><a accesskey="f" href="trLOF.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq5" src="images/figures.gif" border="0" alt="List of Figures" /></a></td>
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<td><a accesskey="i" href="trIX.html"><img id="LongDescNotReq6" src="images/index.gif" border="0" alt="Index" /></a></td>
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</tr>
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<tr align="left">
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<td colspan="7"><hr /></td>
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</tr>
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</table>
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<p class="pTOC1">II. OVERVIEW </p>
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<a name="wp450629"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="II_cyoper.html#wp95421">II.B1 Summary of 2005 Trust Fund Financial Operations</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450631"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="II_cyoper.html#wp89438">II.B2 Tax Rates for 2005 and Later</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450635"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="II_assump.html#wp95325">II.C1 Ultimate Values of Key Demographic and Economic Assumptions for the Long-Range (75-year) Projection Period </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450639"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="II_project.html#wp105724">II.D1 Projected Maximum Trust Fund Ratios Attained and Trust Fund Exhaustion Dates Under the Intermediate Assumptions </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450641"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="II_project.html#wp107685">II.D2 Reasons for Change in the 75-Year Actuarial Balance Under Intermediate Assumptions </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC1">III. FINANCIAL OPERATIONS OF THE TRUST FUNDS AND LEGISLATIVE CHANGES IN THE LAST YEAR</p>
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<a name="wp450649"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp143267">III.A1 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Calendar Year 2005</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450651"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp141327">III.A2 Operations of the DI Trust Fund, Calendar Year 2005</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450653"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp142447">III.A3 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Year 2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450655"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp133937">III.A4 Comparison of Actual Calendar Year 2005 Trust Fund Operations With Estimates Made in Prior Reports  </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450657"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp129884">III.A5 Distribution of Benefit Payments by Type of Beneficiary or Payment, Calendar Years 2004 and 2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450659"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp139166">III.A6 Administrative Expenses as a Percentage of Contribution Income and of Total Expenditures, Calendar Years 2001-05 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450661"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="III_cyoper.html#wp139527">III.A7 Trust Fund Investment Transactions, Calendar Year 2005</a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC1">IV. ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES</p>
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<a name="wp450669"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_SRest.html#wp224195">IV.A1 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Calendar Years 2001-15</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450671"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_SRest.html#wp227295">IV.A2 Operations of the DI Trust Fund, Calendar Years 2001-15 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450673"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_SRest.html#wp231082">IV.A3 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Years 2001-15  </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450675"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_SRest.html#wp202798">IV.A4 Reasons for Change in Trust Fund Ratios at the Beginning of the Tenth Year of Projection </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450679"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp297030">IV.B1 Estimated Annual Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances Calendar Years 1990-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450681"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp295447">IV.B2 Covered Workers and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450683"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp287654">IV.B3 Estimated Trust Fund Ratios, Calendar Years 2006-80</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450685"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp274087">IV.B4 Components of Summarized Income Rates and Cost Rates, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450687"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp276411">IV.B5 Components of 75-Year Actuarial Balance Under Intermediate Assumptions (2006-80) </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450689"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp267528">IV.B6 Unfunded OASDI Obligations for 1935 (Program Inception) Through the Infinite Horizon </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450691"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp267012">IV.B7 Present Values of OASDI Cost Less Tax Revenue and Unfunded Obligations for Program Participants </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450693"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp220056">IV.B8 Comparison of Estimated Long-Range Actuarial Balances With the Minimum Allowable in the Test for Close Actuarial Balance, Based on Intermediate Assumptions </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450695"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="IV_LRest.html#wp219298">IV.B9 Reasons for Change in the 75-Year Actuarial Balance Under Intermediate Assumptions </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC1">V. ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS UNDERLYING ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450701"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_demographic.html#wp178759">V.A1 Principal Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450703"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_demographic.html#wp167717">V.A2 Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios, Calendar Years 1950-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450705"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_demographic.html#wp151333">V.A3 Period Life Expectancy </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450707"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_demographic.html#wp156683">V.A4 Cohort Life Expectancy </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450711"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_economic.html#wp188118">V.B1 Principal Economic Assumptions </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450713"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_economic.html#wp192078">V.B2 Additional Economic Factors </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450717"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp170500">V.C1 Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2015 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450719"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp181310">V.C2 Selected Wage-Indexed Program Amounts, Calendar Years 1978-2015 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450721"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp180548">V.C3 Legislated Changes in Normal Retirement Age and Delayed Retirement Credits, for Persons Reaching Age 62 in Each Year 1986 and Later </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450723"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp182758">V.C4 OASI Beneficiaries With Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the End of Calendar Years 1945-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450725"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp123215">V.C5 Long-Range Ultimate Disabled Worker Age-Sex-Adjusted Incidence Rates </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450727"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="V_programatic.html#wp157829">V.C6 DI Beneficiaries With Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the End of Calendar Years 1960-2080 </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC1">VI. APPENDICES </p>
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<p class="pTOC2"> A. HISTORY OF OASI AND DI TRUST FUND OPERATIONS </p>
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<a name="wp450733"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp144732">VI.A1 Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450735"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp113052">VI.A2 Historical Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Calendar Years 1937-2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450737"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp120754">VI.A3 Historical Operations of the DI Trust Fund, Calendar Years 1957-2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450739"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp96419">VI.A4 Historical Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Years 1957-2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450741"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp145956">VI.A5 Assets of the OASI Trust Fund, End of Calendar Years 2004 and 2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450743"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#wp142299">VI.A6 Assets of the DI Trust Fund, End of Calendar Years 2004 and 2005 </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC2">B. HISTORY OF ACTUARIAL BALANCE ESTIMATES </p>
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<a name="wp450747"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRact_bal.html#wp102608">VI.B1 Long-Range OASDI Actuarial Balances   as Shown in the Trustees Reports for 1982-2006 </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC2">C. FISCAL YEAR HISTORICAL DATA AND PROJECTIONS THROUGH 2015 </p>
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<a name="wp450751"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp206620">VI.C1 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Fiscal Year 2005</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450753"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp175287">VI.C2 Operations of the DI Trust Fund, Fiscal Year 2005</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450755"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp195871">VI.C3 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Fiscal Year 2005 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450757"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp207235">VI.C4 Operations of the OASI Trust Fund in Fiscal Years 2001-15</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450759"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp204711">VI.C5 Operations of the DI Trust Fund in Fiscal Years 2001-15</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450761"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#wp210778">VI.C6 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in Fiscal Years 2001-15 </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC2">D. LONG-RANGE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS </p>
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<a name="wp450765"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp95682">VI.D1 Sensitivity to Varying Fertility Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450767"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp92699">VI.D2 Sensitivity to Varying Death-Rate Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450769"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp100036">VI.D3 Sensitivity to Varying Net-Immigration Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450771"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp93111">VI.D4 Sensitivity to Varying Real-Wage Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450773"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp93319">VI.D5 Sensitivity to Varying CPI-Increase Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450775"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp93524">VI.D6 Sensitivity to Varying Real-Interest Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450777"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp94262">VI.D7 Sensitivity to Varying Disability Incidence Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450779"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#wp93920">VI.D8 Sensitivity to Varying Disability Termination Assumptions</a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC2">E. STOCHASTIC PROJECTIONS </p>
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<a name="wp450783"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_stochastic.html#wp102692">VI.E1 Long-Range Estimates Relating to the Actuarial Status of the Combined OASDI Program </a>
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</p>
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<p class="pTOC2">F. ESTIMATES FOR OASDI AND HI, SEPARATE AND COMBINED </p>
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<a name="wp450787"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_payroll.html#wp92759">VI.F1 Contribution Rates for the OASDI and HI Programs</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450789"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_payroll.html#wp125334">VI.F2 Estimated OASDI and HI Annual Income Rates, Cost Rates,  and Balances, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450791"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_payroll.html#wp100318">VI.F3 Summarized OASDI and HI Income Rates and Cost Rates for Valuation Periods, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450793"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_GDP.html#wp126693">VI.F4 OASDI and HI Annual and Summarized Income, Cost, and Balance as a Percentage of GDP, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450795"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_GDP.html#wp103985">VI.F5 Ratio of OASDI Taxable Payroll to GDP, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
|
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<a name="wp450797"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#wp133537">VI.F6 Selected Economic Variables, Calendar Years 2005-80</a>
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</p>
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<a name="wp450799"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#wp140103">VI.F7 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in Constant 2006 Dollars, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
|
|
<a name="wp450801"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
|
<a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#wp150920">VI.F8 Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in Current Dollars, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
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</p>
|
|
<a name="wp450803"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
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<a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#wp147082">VI.F9 OASDI and HI Annual Income Excluding Interest, Cost, and Balance in Current Dollars, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
|
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</p>
|
|
<a name="wp450805"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
|
<a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#wp119381">VI.F10 Estimated Annual Scheduled Benefit Amounts for Retired Workers With Various Pre-Retirement Earnings Patterns Based on Intermediate Assumptions, Calendar Years 2006-80 </a>
|
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</p>
|
|
<p class="pTOC2">G. ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT DISBURSEMENTS FROM THE OASI TRUST FUND WITH RESPECT TO DISABLED BENEFICIARIES </p>
|
|
<a name="wp450809"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
|
<a href="VI_OASIforDI.html#wp104254">VI.G1 Benefit Disbursements From the OASI Trust Fund With Respect to Disabled Beneficiaries </a>
|
|
</p>
|
|
<a name="wp450811"> </a><p class="pTOC3">
|
|
<a href="VI_OASIforDI.html#wp105878">VI.G2 Benefit Disbursements Under the OASDI Program With Respect to Disabled Beneficiaries </a>
|
|
</p>
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