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<title>C. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE</title>
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<h2 class="pHeading1">2024 OASDI Trustees Report </h2>
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<div class="CodeAnchor"><a name="92290"></a></div>
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<div class="Section">
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<span style="list-style-type: upper-alpha">C. </span><a name="95492">ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE</a></div>
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<div class="Body"><a name="95495">The future income and cost of the OASI and DI Trust Funds will depend on many factors, including the size and characteristics of the population receiving benefits, the level of monthly benefit amounts, the size of the workforce, and the level of covered workers’ earnings. These factors will depend in turn on future birth rates, death rates, immigration, marriage and divorce rates, retirement patterns, disability incidence and termination rates, employment rates, productivity gains, wage increases, inflation, interest rates, and many other demographic, economic, and program-specific factors.</a></div>
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<div class="Body"><a name="95805">The Trustees set key demographic, economic, and programmatic assumptions for three alternative scenarios. The intermediate assumptions reflect the Trustees’ best estimates of future experience. Therefore, most of the results presented in this overview indicate outcomes under the intermediate assumptions only. Any projection of the future is uncertain. For this reason, results are also presented under low-cost and high-cost alternatives to provide a range of possible future outcomes. The actual future costs are unlikely to be as extreme as those portrayed by the low-cost or high-cost projections. A separate section on the uncertainty of the projections, beginning on </a><a href="II_D_project.html#117340" title="D. PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE FINANCIAL STATUS">page 19</a>, highlights the implications of these alternative scenarios.</div>
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<div class="Body"><a name="99470">The Trustees reexamine the assumptions each year in light of recent experience and new information. This annual review helps to ensure that the Trustees’ assumptions provide the best estimate of future possibilities.</a></div>
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<div class="Body"><a name="105037">For each of the three alternative scenarios, table </a><a href="#101021" title="C. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE">II.C1</a> presents key demographic, economic, and programmatic assumptions used for long-range projections. The measures shown are applicable for the last 65 years of the 75‑year projection period, unless otherwise specified. Details on near-term assumptions about growth rates and parameter levels are provided in Chapter <a href="V_A_demo.html#253046" title="V. ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS UNDERLYING ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES">V</a>.</div>
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<table class="UltimateKeyAssumps" style="margin-bottom: 0.0pt" cellspacing="0" summary="">
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<caption>
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<div class="TableTitle">
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<span style="list-style-type: decimal">Table II.C1.—</span><a name="101021"><!--o--></a>Key Assumptions and Summary Measures <br />for Long-Range (75-Year) Projections<sup><a name="wwfootnote_inline_2" href="#2">a</a></sup></div>
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</caption>
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<tr>
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<th style="background-color: #FFFFFF; border-top-color: #000000; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 0.5pt; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom; width: 63.1%">
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<div class="CellHeading"><a name="101029">Assumption</a></div>
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</th>
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<th style="background-color: #FFFFFF; border-top-color: #000000; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 0.5pt; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom; width: 12.2%">
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<div class="CellHeadingR"><a name="101032">Intermediate</a></div>
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</th>
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<th style="background-color: #FFFFFF; border-top-color: #000000; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 0.5pt; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom; width: 12.2%">
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<div class="CellHeadingR"><a name="101035">Low-cost</a></div>
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</th>
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<th style="background-color: #FFFFFF; border-top-color: #000000; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 0.5pt; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom; width: 12.3%">
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<div class="CellHeadingR"><a name="101038">High-cost</a></div>
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</th>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><a name="101040">Demographic:</a></span></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101042"> </a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101044"> </a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101046"> </a></div>
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</td>
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<tr>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><span class="Link"><a href="VI_I_glossary.html#1052617" title="I. GLOSSARY" name="101050">Total fertility rate</a></span> (children per woman)<span class="Link"> for years <br />2040 and later</span> </div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101052">1.9</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101054">2.1</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101056">1.6</a></div>
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</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101059">Annual percentage reduction in total age‑sex‑adjusted<br />death rates </a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101061">.73</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101063">.28</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101065">1.23</a></div>
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</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101068">Annual net lawful permanent resident (LPR) immigration <br />(in thousands) </a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101070">788</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101072">1,000</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101074">595</a></div>
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</td>
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</tr>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="102459">Average annual net other-than-LPR immigration <br />(in thousands) </a></div>
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</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="102404">457</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="102406">683</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="102408">234</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><a name="101076">Economic:</a></span></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101078"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101080"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101082"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101093">Annual percentage change in productivity<br />(total U.S. economy) </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101095">1.63</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101097">1.93</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101099">1.33</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101107">Annual percentage change in Consumer Price Index <br />(CPI-W)</a> </div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101109">2.4</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101111">3.0</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101113">1.8</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="103856">Average annual percentage change in average OASDI <br />covered wage </a>(nominal) </div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103844">3.56</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103846">4.79</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103848">2.34</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="103926">Average annual percentage change in average OASDI <br />covered wage </a>(real) </div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103915">1.14</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103917">1.74</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="103919">.53</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101138">Age-sex-adjusted unemployment rate (percent) </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101140">4.5</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101142">3.5</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101144">5.5</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101147">Annual trust fund new-issue real interest rate (percent) <br />for years 2041 and later </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101149">2.3</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101151">2.8</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101153">1.8</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: bold; text-transform: none; vertical-align: baseline"><a name="101155">Programmatic:</a></span></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101157"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101159"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101161"> </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101163">Age-sex-adjusted disability incidence rate <br />(per thousand exposed) </a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101165">4.5</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101167">3.6</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
|
||
<div class="CellBody"><a name="101169">5.4</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
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<div class="CellBodyL" style="text-indent: -5.4pt"><a name="101171">Age-sex-adjusted disability recovery rate <br />(per thousand beneficiaries) </a></div>
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</td>
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||
<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101173">10.8</a></div>
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</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101175">13.0</a></div>
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||
</td>
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<td style="border-bottom-color: WhiteSmoke; border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: WhiteSmoke; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: WhiteSmoke; border-right-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: WhiteSmoke; border-top-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 1pt; padding-left: 0pt; padding-right: 0pt; padding-top: 0pt; vertical-align: bottom">
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<div class="CellBody"><a name="101177">8.6</a></div>
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<a name="2" href="#wwfootnote_inline_2">a</a>
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<div class="TableFootnote"><a name="105573">Measures shown in this table are applicable for the last 65 years of the 75-year projection period (years 2034-98), unless otherwise specified. See chapter </a><a href="V_A_demo.html#253046" title="V. ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS UNDERLYING ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES">V</a> for additional details, including historical and projected values.</div>
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