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<p><a href="../../pubs.html">Actuarial Publications</a></p>
<p><a href="index.html">2011 Trustees Report</a><br />
&nbsp; <a href="trTOC.html">Contents</a><br />
&nbsp; <a href="X1_trLOT.html">Tables</a><br />
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<h2 align="center">Contents</h2>
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<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" summary="formatting">
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="I_intro.html#1000302">I. INTRODUCTION</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="II_A_highlights.html">II. OVERVIEW</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="II_A_highlights.html#76460">A. HIGHLIGHTS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="II_B_cyoper.html#94983">B. TRUST FUND FINANCIAL OPERATIONS IN 2010</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="II_C_assump.html#95492">C. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="II_D_project.html#105057">D. PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE FINANCIAL STATUS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="II_E_conclu.html#86802">E. CONCLUSION</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="III_A_cyoper.html">III. FINANCIAL OPERATIONS OF THE TRUST FUNDS AND LEGISLATIVE CHANGES IN THE LAST YEAR</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="III_A_cyoper.html#84778">A. OPERATIONS OF THE OLD‑AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE(OASI) AND DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) TRUST FUNDS, IN CALENDAR YEAR 2010</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="III_A_cyoper.html#84548">1. OASI Trust Fund</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="III_A_cyoper.html#105731">2. DI Trust Fund</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="III_A_cyoper.html#156168">3. OASI and DI Trust Funds, Combined</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="III_B_amdmts.html#92782">B. SOCIAL SECURITY AMENDMENTS SINCE THE 2010 REPORT</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html">IV. ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html#90333">A. SHORT-RANGE ESTIMATES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html#90386">1. Operations of the OASI Trust Fund</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html#178551">2. Operations of the DI Trust Fund</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html#126084">3. Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_A_SRest.html#307256">4. Factors Underlying Changes in 10-Year Trust Fund Ratio Estimates From the 2010 Report</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#378399">B. LONG-RANGE ESTIMATES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#154978">1. Annual Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#222190">2. Comparison of Workers to Beneficiaries</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#366403">3. Trust Fund Ratios</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#402226">4. Summarized Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#254423">5. Additional Measures of OASDI Unfunded Obligations</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#408304">6. Test of Long-Range Close Actuarial Balance</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_B_LRest.html#400766">7. Reasons for Change in Actuarial Balance From Last Report</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="V_A_demo.html">V. ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS UNDERLYING ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="V_A_demo.html#79489">A. DEMOGRAPHIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_A_demo.html#79491">1. Fertility Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_A_demo.html#155199">2. Mortality Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_A_demo.html#79519">3. Immigration Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_A_demo.html#81231">4. Total Population Estimates</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_A_demo.html#228705">5. Life Expectancy Estimates</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="V_B_econ.html#170227">B. ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#131307">1. Productivity Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#131314">2. Price Inflation Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#131323">3. Average Earnings Assumptions</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#214592">4. Assumed Real-Wage Differentials</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#189335">5. Labor Force and Unemployment Projections</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#168800">6. Gross Domestic Product Projections</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_B_econ.html#209902">7. Interest Rates</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="V_C_prog.html#147902">C. PROGRAM-SPECIFIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#96145">1. Automatically Adjusted Program Parameters</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#121228">2. Covered Employment</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#121260">3. Taxable Payroll and Payroll Tax Revenue</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#87218">4. Insured Population</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#87223">5. Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Beneficiaries</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#89099">6. Disability Insurance Beneficiaries</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#90083">7. Average Benefits</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#90086">8. Benefit Payments</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#90089">9. Administrative Expenses</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#90091">10. Railroad Retirement Financial Interchange</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#146824">11. Military Service Transfers</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_C_prog.html#129121">12. Income From Taxation of Benefits</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td colspan="4"><a href="VI_A_cyoper_hist.html">VI. APPENDICES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_A_cyoper_hist.html#207125">A. HISTORY OF OASI AND DI TRUST FUND OPERATIONS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_B_LRact_bal.html#102806">B. HISTORY OF ACTUARIAL BALANCE ESTIMATES</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_C_SRfyproj.html#185082">C. FISCAL YEAR HISTORICAL DATA AND PROJECTIONS THROUGH 2020</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#100512">D. LONG-RANGE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#100885">1. Total Fertility Rate</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#92688">2. Death Rates</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#92900">3. Net Immigration</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top"><td width="4%"></td><td width="4%"></td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#93098">4. Real-Wage Differential</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#93311">5. Consumer Price Index</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#93516">6. Real Interest Rate</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#103017">7. Disability Incidence Rates</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_D_LRsens.html#93910">8. Disability Termination Rates</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_E_stoch.html#103970">E. STOCHASTIC PROJECTIONS</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_E_stoch.html#100956">1. Background</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_E_stoch.html#100960">2. Methodology</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_E_stoch.html#100970">3. Results</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_F1_OASDHI_payroll.html#105439">F. ESTIMATES FOR OASDI AND HI, SEPARATE AND COMBINED</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_F1_OASDHI_payroll.html#101353">1. Estimates as a Percentage of Taxable Payroll</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_F2_OASDHI_GDP.html#113389">2. Estimates as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_F3_OASDHI_dollars.html#116339">3. Estimates in Dollars</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_G_OASIforDI.html#97986">G. ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT DISBURSEMENTS FROM THE OASI TRUST FUND WITH RESPECT TO DISABLED BENEFICIARIES</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="3"><a href="VI_H_glossary.html#1042403">H. GLOSSARY</a></td></tr>
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<td colspan="4"><a href="Z_trActOpn.html#162632">STATEMENT OF ACTUARIAL OPINION </a></td></tr>
</table>
</td></tr></table><small>Last reviewed or modified: May 11, 2011</small>
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