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<p><a href="../../pubs.html">Actuarial Publications</a></p>
<p><a href="index.html">2010 Trustees Report</a><br />
&nbsp; Contents<br />
&nbsp; <a href="I_intro.html">Next</a><br />
&nbsp; <a href="trLOT.html">Tables</a><br />
&nbsp; <a href="trLOF.html">Figures</a><br />
&nbsp; <a href="trIX.html">Index</a></p>
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<p><center>CONTENTS</center><hr /></p>
<ul style="list-style-type: none;">
<table width="100%" summary="formatting table of content">
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>I.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="I_intro.html#1000302">INTRODUCTION
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>II.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="II_highlights.html#76455">OVERVIEW
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">A.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="II_highlights.html#76460">HIGHLIGHTS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">B.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="II_cyoper.html#94983">TRUST FUND FINANCIAL OPERATIONS IN 2009
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">C.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="II_assump.html#95492">ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT THE FUTURE
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">D.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="II_project.html#105057">PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE FINANCIAL STATUS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">E.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="II_conclu.html#86802">CONCLUSION
</a></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>III.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="III_cyoper.html#89773">FINANCIAL OPERATIONS OF THE TRUST FUNDS AND LEGISLATIVE CHANGES IN THE LAST YEAR
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">A.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="III_cyoper.html#84778">OPERATIONS OF THE OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) AND DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) TRUST FUNDS, IN CALENDAR YEAR 2009
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="III_cyoper.html#84548">OASI Trust Fund
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="III_cyoper.html#105731">DI Trust Fund
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="III_cyoper.html#156168">OASI and DI Trust Funds, Combined
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">B.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="III_amdmts.html#90567">SOCIAL SECURITY AMENDMENTS SINCE THE 2009 REPORT
</a></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>IV.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="IV_SRest.html#77658">ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">A.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_SRest.html#90333">SHORT-RANGE ESTIMATES
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="IV_SRest.html#90386">Operations of the OASI Trust Fund
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="IV_SRest.html#178551">Operations of the DI Trust Fund
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="IV_SRest.html#126084">Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="IV_SRest.html#169569">Factors Underlying Changes in 10-Year Trust Fund Ratio Estimates From the 2009 Report
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">B.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="IV_LRest.html#378399">LONG-RANGE ESTIMATES
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#154978">Annual Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#222190">Comparison of Workers to Beneficiaries
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#366403">Trust Fund Ratios
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#266203">Summarized Income Rates, Cost Rates, and Balances
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">5.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#254423">Additional Measures of OASDI Unfunded Obligations
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">6.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#329232">Test of Long-Range Close Actuarial Balance
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">7.</td><td><a href="IV_LRest.html#154458">Reasons for Change in Actuarial Balance From Last Report
</a></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>V.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="V_demographic.html#193783">ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS UNDERLYING ACTUARIAL ESTIMATES
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">A.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_demographic.html#79489">DEMOGRAPHIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="V_demographic.html#79491">Fertility Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="V_demographic.html#155199">Mortality Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="V_demographic.html#79519">Immigration Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="V_demographic.html#81231">Total Population Estimates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">5.</td><td><a href="V_demographic.html#228705">Life Expectancy Estimates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">B.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_economic.html#170227">ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#131307">Productivity Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#131314">Price Inflation Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#131323">Average Earnings Assumptions
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#214592">Assumed Real-Wage Differentials
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">5.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#189335">Labor Force and Unemployment Projections
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">6.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#168800">Gross Domestic Product Projections
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">7.</td><td><a href="V_economic.html#209902">Interest Rates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">C.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="V_programatic.html#147902">PROGRAM-SPECIFIC ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#96145">Automatically Adjusted Program Parameters
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#121228">Covered Employment
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#121260">Taxable Payroll and Payroll Tax Revenue
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#87218">Insured Population
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">5.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#87223">Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Beneficiaries
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">6.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#89099">Disability Insurance Beneficiaries
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">7.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#90083">Average Benefits
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">8.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#90086">Benefit Payments
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">9.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#90089">Administrative Expenses
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">10.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#90091">Railroad Retirement Financial Interchange
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">11.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#146824">Military Service Transfers
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">12.</td><td><a href="V_programatic.html#129121">Income From Taxation of Benefits
</a></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"><b>VI.</b></td>
<td colspan="3"><b><a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#77658">APPENDICES
</a></b></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">A.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_cyoper_history.html#90303">HISTORY OF OASI AND DI TRUST FUND OPERATIONS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">B.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_LRact_bal.html#102806">HISTORY OF ACTUARIAL BALANCE ESTIMATES
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">C.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_SRfyproj.html#185082">FISCAL YEAR HISTORICAL DATA AND PROJECTIONS THROUGH 2019
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">D.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#100512">LONG-RANGE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#100885">Total Fertility Rate
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#92688">Death Rates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#92900">Net Immigration
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">4.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#93098">Real-Wage Differential
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">5.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#93311">Consumer Price Index
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">6.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#93516">Real Interest Rate
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">7.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#103017">Disability Incidence Rates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">8.</td><td><a href="VI_LRsensitivity.html#93910">Disability Termination Rates
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">E.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_stochastic.html#103970">STOCHASTIC PROJECTIONS
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="VI_stochastic.html#100956">Background
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="VI_stochastic.html#100960">Methodology
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="VI_stochastic.html#100970">Results
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">F.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_OASDHI_payroll.html#105439">ESTIMATES FOR OASDI AND HI, SEPARATE AND COMBINED
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">1.</td><td><a href="VI_OASDHI_payroll.html#101353">Estimates as a Percentage of Taxable Payroll
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">2.</td><td><a href="VI_OASDHI_GDP.html#113389">Estimates as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">3.</td><td><a href="VI_OASDHI_dollars.html#116339">Estimates in Dollars
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">G.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_OASIforDI.html#97986">ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT DISBURSEMENTS FROM THE OASI TRUST FUND WITH RESPECT TO DISABLED BENEFICIARIES
</a></td></tr>
<tr valign="top">
<td width="2%"></td>
<td width="2%">H.</td>
<td colspan="2"><a href="VI_glossary.html#1042403">GLOSSARY
</a></td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4">&nbsp;</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="4"><a href="trActOpn.html"><b>STATEMENT OF ACTUARIAL OPINION</b></a></td></tr></table>
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