Table 21Clinical evidence profile: treatment versus no treatment at systolic blood pressure thresholds (with and without type 2 diabetes)

Quality assessmentNo of patientsEffectQualityImportance
No of studiesDesignRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionOther considerationsTreatment versus no treatmentControlRelative (95% CI)Absolute
All-cause mortality - <140mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1no serious imprecisionnone--RR 0.98 (0.9 to 1.07)[4,897 events in 68, 16 people]5

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
All-cause mortality - 140–159mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1serious1none--RR 0.87 (0.75 to 1.01)7 fewer per 1000 (from 14 fewer to 1 more)3

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
All-cause mortality - ≥160mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1no serious imprecisionnone--RR 0.93 (0.87 to 0.99)6 fewer per 1000 (from 1 fewer to 11 fewer)3

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Stroke - <140 (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1serious1none--RR 0.85 (0.68 to 1.06)4 fewer per 1000 (from 10 fewer to 2 more)4

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Stroke - 140–159 (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1serious1none--RR 0.86 (0.72 to 1.03)6 fewer per 1000 (from 12 fewer to 1 more)4

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Stroke - ≥160 (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1no serious imprecision1none--RR 0.69 (0.6 to 0.79)19 fewer per 1000 (from 13 fewer to 25 fewer)4

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Coronary heart disease - <140 mmHg (Copy; follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyVery serious1no serious imprecisionnone--RR 0.98 (0.88 to 1.09)1 fewer per 1000 (from 8 fewer to 6 more)4

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

CRITICAL
Coronary heart disease - 140–159mmHg (Copy)
1no methodology chosenno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyVery serious1serious1none--RR 0.86 (0.76 to 0.97)5 fewer per 1000 (from 1 fewer to 8 fewer)4

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Coronary heart disease - ≥160mmHg (Copy)
1no methodology chosenno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyVery serious1serious1none--RR 0.86 (0.78 to 0.95)8 fewer per 1000 (from 3 fewer to 12 fewer)4

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

CRITICAL
Heart failure - <140mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1serious1none--RR 0.88 (0.78 to 0.99)[2,261 events in 60,879 people]5

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

IMPORTANT
Heart failure - 140–159mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1serious1none--RR 0.87 (0.73 to 1.04)[1,113 events in 35,254 people]5

⨁◯◯◯

VERY LOW

IMPORTANT
Heart failure - ≥160mmHg (follow-up mean 4 years)
1randomised trialsno serious risk of biasno serious inconsistencyvery serious1no serious imprecisionnone--RR 0.53 (0.42 to 0.67)[520 events in 23,395 people]5

⨁⨁◯◯

LOW

IMPORTANT
1

Downgraded by 1 increment due to population or outcome indirectness or by 2 increments for both population and outcome indirectness.

2

Downgraded by 1 increment if the confidence interval crossed 1 MID or by 2 increments if the confidence interval crossed both MIDs.

3

Control group risk not reported; values extrapolated from Bulpitt 198838

4

Control group risk not reported; values extrapolated from Law 200990

5

Control group risk not reported; therefore, absolute risk could not be calculated: no data was available that values could be extrapolated from.

From: Evidence review for initiating treatment

Cover of Evidence review for initiating treatment
Evidence review for initiating treatment: Hypertension in adults: diagnosis and management: Evidence review C.
NICE Guideline, No. 136.
National Guideline Centre (UK).
Copyright © NICE 2019.

NCBI Bookshelf. A service of the National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.