Preoperative chemotherapy for non-metastatic colon cancer
Evidence review C7
NICE Guideline, No. 151
Authors
National Guideline Alliance (UK).Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
This evidence review supports recommendation 1.3.13.
Review question
Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Introduction
Localised and resectable non-metastatic colon cancer has traditionally required an aggressive therapeutic approach through complete oncologic resection with post-operative chemotherapy, with extensive surgical resection needed to achieve negative margins. While preoperative chemotherapy is commonly used for localised oesophageal, gastric and rectal cancers, its use is not well-established for colon cancer as of yet. Preoperative chemotherapy has the potential to provide earlier and more effective eradication of occult micrometastatic disease, minimise the extent of surgery and debulk tumours to reduce the frequency of tumour cell shedding during surgery. Therefore, the aim of this review was to determine which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy.
Summary of the protocol
Please see Table 1 for a summary of the population, intervention, comparison and outcomes (PICO) characteristics of this review.
Table 1
Summary of the protocol (PICO table).
For further details see the review protocol in appendix A.
Methods and process
This evidence review was developed using the methods and process described in Developing NICE guidelines: the manual 2014. Methods specific to this review question are described in the review protocol in appendix A.
Declarations of interest were recorded according to NICE’s 2014 conflicts of interest policy until 31 March 2018. From 1 April 2018, declarations of interest were recorded according to NICE’s 2018 conflicts of interest policy. Those interests declared until April 2018 were reclassified according to NICE’s 2018 conflicts of interest policy (see Register of Interests).
Clinical evidence
Included studies
Two studies were included in this review (FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012]; Dehal 2017).
The clinical studies included in this evidence review are summarised in Table 2.
One pilot RCT (FOxTROT 2012 [Agbamu 2012]) compared preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy and 1 retrospective cohort study (Dehal 2017) compared preoperative chemotherapy + surgery to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Expert evidence
The published evidence base is weak and relies on one retrospective study and the pilot phase of the FOxTROT trial. The FOxTROT trial is an international, mainly UK-based, phase III randomised trial that investigates the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in colon cancer and is the only trial in the topic to date. The results from FOxTROT were presented to the guideline committee as academic in confidence data by one of the FOxTROT trialists as expert witness evidence. Where outcomes were reported in both the pilot trial and expert evidence presentation, data from the expert evidence presentation were used as these data were most recent and more mature (longer follow-up). Since the expert witness presentation, the results of the trial have been presented in a conference making them publicly available, although not peer-reviewed.
See the summary of expert evidence in appendix M.
Excluded studies
Studies not included in this review and their reasons for exclusion are listed in appendix K.
Summary of clinical studies included in the evidence review
Table 2
Summary of included studies.
See the full evidence tables in appendix D and the forest plots in appendix E.
Quality assessment of clinical outcomes included in the evidence review
See the clinical evidence profiles in appendix F.
Economic evidence
Included studies
A systematic review of the economic literature was conducted but no economic studies were identified which were applicable to this review question.
Excluded studies
A global search of economic evidence was undertaken for all review questions in this guideline. See Supplement 2 for further information.
Economic model
No economic modelling was undertaken for this review because the committee agreed that other topics were higher priorities for economic evaluation.
Evidence statements
Clinical evidence statements
Comparison 1: Preoperative chemotherapy versus no preoperative chemotherapy
Critical outcomes
Disease-free survival
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Overall survival
T3 patients
- Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed no clinically important difference in 3-year overall survival between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
T4a patients
- Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed no clinically important difference in 3-year overall survival between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
T4b patients
- Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed a clinically important increase in 3-year overall survival between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Resection margins
T4b patients
- Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed a clinically important decrease in resection margins between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Important outcomes
Any Grade 3 or 4 adverse events
Grade ≥3 adverse events
- Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important difference in Grade ≥3 adverse events within 6, 12, 18, or 24 weeks between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Anastomotic leak
- More recent data for this outcome were available in the expert evidence summary.
Wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess
- Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important difference in wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Bronchopneumonia
- Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important difference in bronchopneumonia between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Deep vein thrombosis
- Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important difference in deep vein thrombosis between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Neutropenia
- Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important difference in neutropenia between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Overall quality of life
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Treatment-related mortality
- More recent data for this outcome were available in the expert evidence summary.
Local recurrence
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Expert evidence statements
Comparison 1: Preoperative chemotherapy versus no preoperative chemotherapy
Critical outcomes
Disease-free survival
- Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed a clinically important decrease in recurrence between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Overall survival
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Resection margins
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Important outcomes
Any Grade 3 or 4 adverse events
Anastomotic leak
- Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed a clinically important decrease in anastomotic leak between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess
- No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Bronchopneumonia
- No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Pulmonary embolism ± deep vein thrombosis
- No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Overall quality of life
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Treatment-related mortality
- Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed no clinically important difference in treatment-related mortality (postoperative mortality) between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Local recurrence
No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
Economic evidence statements
No economic evidence was identified which was applicable to this review question.
The committee’s discussion of the evidence
Interpreting the evidence
The outcomes that matter most
Disease-free survival and overall survival were considered critical outcomes for decision making because disease progression suggests ineffective control of the localised colon cancer, potentially requiring further treatment and affecting overall survival. Resection margins were also critical as they are indicative of whether further treatment, likely surgical, is needed.
Quality of life was an important outcome because of the impact that different treatment options can have on patients’ functioning and the potential long term adverse effects. Any grade 3 or 4 adverse events and treatment-related mortality were also important outcomes, as they are indicative of the complications of treatments. Additionally, local recurrence was an important outcome because lesions that extend into surrounding structures and organs indicate the need for further surgical resection.
The quality of the evidence
Evidence was available from 1 pilot RCT comparing preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy and 1 retrospective cohort study comparing preoperative chemotherapy + surgery to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
Evidence was available for overall survival, resection margins, any grade 3 or 4 adverse events and treatment-related mortality. There was no evidence for quality of life or local recurrence. The quality of the evidence was assessed using GRADE and was of very low quality. The quality of evidence was downgraded because of methodological limitations affecting the risk of bias and imprecision around the risk estimate.
Methodological limitations leading to risk of bias were due to confounding from differences in baseline characteristics, lack of blinding and allocation concealment.
Indirectness in the study interventions was attributable to numerous protocol violations in both arms of the RCT that potentially diluted the effectiveness of the interventions.
Uncertainty around the risk estimate was due to low event rates and small sample sizes.
An expert witness presented academic in confidence results of the FoXTROT trial which provided expert evidence for the comparison of preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy versus surgery + postoperative surgery. Evidence was available for disease-free survival, any grade 3 or 4 adverse events and treatment-related mortality. This evidence was assessed using GRADE as moderate quality.
The range in quality of the evidence and lack of evidence for many comparisons and outcomes impacted the decision-making and the strength of the recommendation as there was insufficient evidence to make a strong recommendation or to make recommendations for all subgroups within the population.
Benefits and harms
The evidence indicated that there were benefits for disease-free survival, overall survival and clear resection margins for patients with more advanced (T4b) colonic tumours who received preoperative chemotherapy. No benefit on overall survival was found for patients with T3 or T4a colonic tumours. However, the committee agreed that differentiating between T4a and T4b tumours would be difficult in preoperative clinical staging (imaging), therefore, based on their clinical experience and knowledge they agreed that the recommendation to consider preoperative therapy should cover patients with T4 tumours.
While the expert evidence showed that there was a clinically important decrease in anastomotic leak, otherwise the clinical evidence did not show any clinically important difference between treatment groups in terms of adverse events or treatment-related mortality. From their clinical experience, the committee noted that there is a potential for harm from increased surgical morbidity. The committee was not aware of any evidence regarding treatment decision-making pertaining to the extent of surgical resection (that is, whether decisions should be based on pre- or post-chemotherapy imaging). However, they noted that most clinicians would base their decisions on the extent of surgery on pre-chemotherapy imaging.
Cost effectiveness and resource use
A systematic review of the economic literature was conducted but no relevant studies were identified which were applicable to this review question.
The committee considered that the addition of preoperative chemotherapy would not increase costs for patients with T4 colon cancer as postoperative chemotherapy is current standard of care and costs between pre and post would be similar given the almost identical regimens. The committee acknowledged that preoperative chemotherapy was already being done in some centres and that it would only represent a change for some centres. There would also be increases in overall survival and quality of life through reduced surgical morbidity.
Other factors the committee took into account
The committee acknowledged the FOxTROT trial, which compares preoperative plus post-operative chemotherapy (+/− panitumumab) with standard post-operative chemotherapy. Results from the earlier feasibility trial (FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012]) were included in this review. Primary outcomes include 2-year recurrence-free survival and pathological down-staging and secondary outcomes include disease-specific survival and overall survival at 2 years and quality of life by EORTC QLQ C-30 and EuroQol EQ-5D before surgery, before the first post-operative chemotherapy and 1 year post-randomisation. The committee considered expert evidence about the unpublished results of the FOxTROT trial from the primary randomisation (preoperative-and-postoperative chemotherapy versus standard postoperative chemotherapy) to neoadjuvant treatment as data analysis for the substudy (patients with KRAS-wild type tumours randomised 1:1 to preoperative-and-postoperative chemotherapy +/− panitumumab) was not complete. Moderate quality evidence from the primary randomisation phase showed that complete clinical response and tumour downstaging are more likely in those who receive preoperative chemotherapy, although follow-up is not yet long enough to assess long-term outcomes. The results presented to the committee as academic in confidence were since presented at an international conference. See more details in appendix M.
References
FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012]
Agbamu D, Day N, Walsh C, et al. (2012) Feasibility of preoperative chemotherapy for locally advanced, operable colon cancer: The pilot phase of a randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncology 13(11): 1152–1160 [PMC free article: PMC3488188] [PubMed: 23017669]Dehal 2017
Dehal A, Vuong B, Graff-Baker A, et al. (2017) Neoadjuvant chemotherapy improves survival in patients with clinical T4B colon cancer. Gastroenterology 152 (5): S1209
Appendices
Appendix A. Review protocol
Review protocol for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Table 3. Review protocol for pre-operative chemotherapy for people with non-metastatic colon cancer
Appendix B. Literature search strategies
Appendix C. Clinical evidence study selection
Clinical study selection for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Appendix D. Clinical evidence tables
Clinical evidence tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Table 4. Clinical evidence tables (PDF, 384K)
Appendix E. Forest plots
Forest plots for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Appendix F. GRADE tables
GRADE tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Appendix G. Economic evidence study selection
Economic evidence study selection for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy
A global search of economic evidence was undertaken for all review questions in this guideline. See Supplement 2 for further information.
Appendix H. Economic evidence tables
Economic evidence tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy
No economic evidence was identified which was applicable to this review question. 5
Appendix I. Economic evidence profiles
Economic evidence profiles for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
No economic evidence was identified which was applicable to this review question.
Appendix J. Economic analysis
Economic analysis for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
No economic analysis was conducted for this review question. 5
Appendix K. Excluded studies
Excluded clinical studies for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Appendix L. Research recommendations
Research recommendations for review question: Which people with non-meta static colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
No research recommendations were made for this review question.
Appendix M. Expert evidence
Expert evidence for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?
Table 7. Expert evidence: Preliminary findings from the FOxTROT trial (PDF, 216K)
Table 8. Gaps addressed and recommendations supported by expert evidence
Final
Evidence reviews
Developed by the National Guideline Alliance part of the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists
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