Time Trends in the Burden of Environmental Heat and Cold Exposure Among Children and Adolescents
- PMID: 39495532
- PMCID: PMC11536307
- DOI: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.4392
Time Trends in the Burden of Environmental Heat and Cold Exposure Among Children and Adolescents
Abstract
Importance: Environmental heat and cold exposure (EHCE) remains the principal preventable cause of morbidity and mortality in children and adolescents globally.
Objective: To report EHCE-related burden and analyze its temporal trends among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019.
Design, setting, and participants: This repeated cross-sectional study used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, which encompassed 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Children and adolescents aged 0 to 19 years were included in the study. Data analysis occurred from December 2023 to March 2024.
Exposure: EHCE in children and adolescents from January 1990 to December 2019.
Main outcomes and measures: The primary outcomes were cases and rates of EHCE incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Global trends in these metrics were also analyzed by sex, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI), which is a comprehensive indicator of the socioeconomic status of a country or region. A linear regression model was used to calculate AAPCs and a joinpoint regression model was used to identify the years in which trends changed significantly.
Results: From 1990 to 2019, EHCE-related incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs showed a downward trend globally. However, an upward trend in EHCE incidence and prevalence was detected between 2010 and 2019 (incidence AAPC, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.05-1.87; prevalence AAPC, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.01-1.50). Regionally, although EHCE-related incidence showed a decreasing trend in most regions from 1990 to 2019, there were still some regions with an increasing trend (Southern sub-Saharan Africa AAPC, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.01-0.44). In 2019, the mortality and DALYs of EHCE were higher among children and adolescents in countries with low SDI levels. Additionally, the burden of EHCE among children and adolescents varied according to sex and age.
Conclusions and relevance: In this cross-sectional study, a global increase was observed in EHCE incidence and prevalence since 2010. Furthermore, children and adolescents in low-SDI regions, which bear the brunt of the climate crisis, were disproportionately impacted. This suggests that future responses to climate change crises should emphasize health equity, which implies that vulnerable populations, such as children and adolescents, should be given priority in the allocation of resources to address climate change.
Conflict of interest statement
Similar articles
-
Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Lancet. 2024 May 18;403(10440):2133-2161. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00757-8. Epub 2024 Apr 17. Lancet. 2024. PMID: 38642570 Free PMC article.
-
Global, regional and national burdens of acne vulgaris in adolescents and young adults aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2021: a trend analysis.Br J Dermatol. 2025 Jan 24;192(2):228-237. doi: 10.1093/bjd/ljae352. Br J Dermatol. 2025. PMID: 39271178
-
Global burden of subarachnoid hemorrhage among adolescents and young adults aged 15-39 years: A trend analysis study from 1990 to 2021.PLoS One. 2024 Dec 20;19(12):e0316111. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0316111. eCollection 2024. PLoS One. 2024. PMID: 39705242 Free PMC article.
-
Depressing time: Waiting, melancholia, and the psychoanalytic practice of care.In: Kirtsoglou E, Simpson B, editors. The Time of Anthropology: Studies of Contemporary Chronopolitics. Abingdon: Routledge; 2020. Chapter 5. In: Kirtsoglou E, Simpson B, editors. The Time of Anthropology: Studies of Contemporary Chronopolitics. Abingdon: Routledge; 2020. Chapter 5. PMID: 36137063 Free Books & Documents. Review.
-
Topical fluoride as a cause of dental fluorosis in children.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024 Jun 20;6(6):CD007693. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD007693.pub3. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024. PMID: 38899538 Review.
References
-
- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) . AR6 Synthesis Report: climate change 2023. Accessed May 8, 2024. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-cycle/
-
- UNICEF . Three children or youth died every minute in South Asia in 2021. – UN report. Accessed March 9, 2024. https://www.unicef.org/rosa/press-releases/three-children-or-youth-died-...
-
- UNICEF . The climate-changed child. Accessed January 23, 2024. https://www.unicef.org/reports/climate-changed-child
MeSH terms
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Medical