CDC-Data-2025/attachments/DownscalerPM_Metadata_CensusTract_May2017_djvu.txt
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National Environmental Public Health Tracking Network
Downscaler PM 2.5 Metadata — Census Tract Data
Publication Date
01/11/2017
Background
The Downscaler PM25 dataset provides the output from a Bayesian space-time
downscaling fusion model called Downscaler (DS) that combines PM25 monitoring data
from the US EPA Air Quality System (AQS) repository of ambient air quality data (e.g.,
National Air Monitoring Stations/State and Local Air Monitoring Stations (NAMS/SLAMS))
and simulated PM25 data from the deterministic prediction model, Models-3/Community
Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ). The files contain estimates of the mean prediction and
associated standard error for each of the 2010 U.S. Census Tracts within the contiguous
U.S. for each day of the modeling year.
The data are intended for use by professionals comparing air quality and health
outcomes, through techniques such as case crossover analysis. Other uses may be
developed at a later time. The standard errors of the predictions should be taken into
account when using the results.
Data Values
The dataset includes nine variables:
STATEFIPS: State FIPS code
COUNTYFIPS: County FIPS code
CTFIPS: Census tract FIPS code
LATITUDE: Latitude of census tract centroid (degrees)
LONGITUDE: Longitude of census tract centroid (degrees)
YEAR: Year of prediction
DATE: Date (day-month-year) of prediction
DS_PM_PRED: Mean estimated 24-hour average PM25 concentration in pg/m?
DS _PM_STDD: Standard error of the estimated PM2.5 concentration
Geographic Scale
All census tracts in the contiguous United States
& Scope
Time Period January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2014
Raw Data The air quality monitoring data from the NAMS/SLAMS network were downloaded from
Processing the Air Quality System (AQS) database. Only Federal Reference Method (FRM) samplers
were included in the dataset. Data from all Pollutant Occurrence Codes (POC) were used.
The data was downloaded covering January 1, 2001 through December 31, 2014. The
CMAQ data was created from version 4.7.1 of the model using Carbon Bond Mechanism-
05 (CB-05). The CMAQ data are daily 24-hour average PM25 concentrations calculated on
a 12 km x 12 km grid for the continental United States. The CMAQ emissions data are
based on 2008 NEI version 2, with specific updates including data from regional planning
organizations and year-specific data for some larger point sources, including continuous
emissions monitoring data for NOx and SO2 sources. The onroad mobile source
emissions were generated using MOVES 2010B, except for California, in which data
provided by the California Air Resources Board was interpolated to each year. In
addition, the meteorological data used are from the Weather Research and Forecasting
Model (WRF) version 3.2 at 12 km simulation. The WRF simulation included the physics
options of the Pleim-Xiu land surface model (LSM), Asymmetric Convective Model
version 2 planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme, Morrison double moment
microphysics, Kain- Fritsch cumulus parameterization scheme and the RRTMG long-wave
and shortwave radiation (LWR/SWR) scheme. The DS combines the actual monitoring
data and the estimated PM25 concentration surface (CMAQ) to predict PM25 through
space and time. It attempts to find an optimal linear relationship between CMAQ output
and measurement data to predict new "measurements" at each spatial point in the area
of interest. Fitted parameters are based on sampling from distributions (built into the
code by the developers) rather than an objective function minimum, which allows
calculation of a standard error associated with each prediction.
Additional processing of the data was conducted to standardize variable names across all
years of data and to expand FIPS variable into separate statefips, countyfips, and ctfips
variables.
Additional
Information
Berrocal, V., Gelfand, A. E. and Holland, D. M. (2011). Space-time fusion under error in
sitll aiodel output: an application to modeling air quality
Berrocal, V., Gelfand, A. E. and Holland, D. M. (2010). A bivariate space-time downscaler
under space and time misalignment. The Annals of Applied Statistics 4, 1942-1975
Berrocal, V., Gelfand, A. E., and Holland, D. M. (2010). A spatio-temporal downscaler for
output from numerical models. J. of Agricultural, Biological,and Environmental Statistics
15, 176-197